ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

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Astromanía
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1581 Postby Astromanía » Sun Aug 22, 2021 4:08 pm

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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1582 Postby bob rulz » Sun Aug 22, 2021 6:25 pm

Category5Kaiju wrote:It will probably happen someday, but it is interesting that we have yet to see a recorded Cat 4 or 5 hurricane in the BoC despite it being one of the most consistently favorable parts of the Atlantic for RI and powerful, compact cyclones.


It really has to do with geography more than anything. In order for a storm in the BoC to have enough time to blow up to that strength, it would probably have to come into the bay from the northeast from the central GoM or over the tip of the Yucatan, which is meteorologically very improbable. Pretty much every storm in the BoC has to form close to the coast, or cross the Yucatan.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1583 Postby cainjamin » Sun Aug 22, 2021 7:00 pm

bob rulz wrote:It really has to do with geography more than anything. In order for a storm in the BoC to have enough time to blow up to that strength, it would probably have to come into the bay from the northeast from the central GoM or over the tip of the Yucatan, which is meteorologically very improbable. Pretty much every storm in the BoC has to form close to the coast, or cross the Yucatan.


Image

Something like Hurricane Anita but further south. Improbable but could definitely happen.
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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1584 Postby beoumont » Mon Aug 23, 2021 3:58 am

bob rulz wrote:
Category5Kaiju wrote:It will probably happen someday, but it is interesting that we have yet to see a recorded Cat 4 or 5 hurricane in the BoC despite it being one of the most consistently favorable parts of the Atlantic for RI and powerful, compact cyclones.


It really has to do with geography more than anything. In order for a storm in the BoC to have enough time to blow up to that strength, it would probably have to come into the bay from the northeast from the central GoM or over the tip of the Yucatan, which is meteorologically very improbable. Pretty much every storm in the BoC has to form close to the coast, or cross the Yucatan.


Like Super Hurricane Inez, 1966? A 929 mb storm SW of Puerto Rico, and 948 mb (135 mph) in Gulf at longitude 94.5.

Image
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List of 79 tropical cyclones intercepted by Richard Horodner:
http://www.canebeard.com/page/page/572246.htm

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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1585 Postby aspen » Mon Aug 23, 2021 4:12 pm

Josh is teasing some very interesting ground readings from Hurricane Grace.

[Tweet] https://mobile.twitter.com/iCyclone/sta ... gr%5Etweet[/Tweet]
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I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

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Re: ATL: GRACE - Remnants - Discussion

#1586 Postby Nimbus » Mon Aug 23, 2021 6:20 pm

aspen wrote:Josh is teasing some very interesting ground readings from Hurricane Grace.

https://mobile.twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1429907009940467716?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet


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Of course there was hurricane Esther and Henri made landfall next to the firefly.

In 33 he was Bethe.

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