ATL: LARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#741 Postby Sciencerocks » Thu Sep 09, 2021 9:02 pm

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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#742 Postby sikkar » Thu Sep 09, 2021 9:26 pm

Nice core blowup.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#743 Postby TallyTracker » Fri Sep 10, 2021 7:00 am

Does Sable Island have a weather station? It looks like it’s gonna get a great deal of wind and rain from Larry.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#744 Postby al78 » Fri Sep 10, 2021 8:41 am

Does anyone know why the NHC provides a forecast out to a lead time which would put the storm well into the mid-latitudes and extra-tropical? The last forecast point from the 9am advisory is at 60N, 42W. I don't think that many people are worrying about a Greenland landfall. I'm surprised they don't just cap the forecast at 36 hours.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#745 Postby chaser1 » Fri Sep 10, 2021 10:43 am

Anyone chasing Larry for a .......Newfoundland intercept LOL?
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#746 Postby Iceresistance » Fri Sep 10, 2021 10:45 am

Does Larry have a weaker, but similar track to Igor in 2010?
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#747 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Sep 10, 2021 11:00 am

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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#748 Postby PavelGaborik » Fri Sep 10, 2021 12:08 pm

chaser1 wrote:Anyone chasing Larry for a .......Newfoundland intercept LOL?


Funny enough there's a Ferry 20 minutes away from here that takes you directly to Eastern Newfoundland.

If this were stronger I would have definitely considered it.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#749 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 10, 2021 12:11 pm

saved radar loop
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#750 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 10, 2021 2:37 pm

Larry is moving. saved radar loop

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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#751 Postby sikkar » Fri Sep 10, 2021 3:08 pm

Nice wind speeds already.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page. ... m=M&tz=STN
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#752 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Sep 10, 2021 3:38 pm

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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#753 Postby sikkar » Fri Sep 10, 2021 4:32 pm

984.4 mb at the bouy.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#754 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 10, 2021 5:29 pm

I wonder if the wind estimate is conservative? It still looks very tropical and appears to have a closed eyewall at last radar check.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#755 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 10, 2021 5:41 pm

saved loop
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#756 Postby CrazyC83 » Fri Sep 10, 2021 5:45 pm

If there's a clear trackable eye into Newfoundland, I wonder if NHC will do hourly position estimates?
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#757 Postby sikkar » Fri Sep 10, 2021 6:25 pm

962.0 mb -- 5 mbs lower than NHC's estimate.

Wind Speed (WSPD): 46.6 kts
Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST) 60.2 kts
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#758 Postby tolakram » Fri Sep 10, 2021 6:42 pm

saved loop
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#759 Postby Ubuntwo » Fri Sep 10, 2021 6:49 pm

sikkar wrote:962.0 mb -- 5 mbs lower than NHC's estimate.

Wind Speed (WSPD): 46.6 kts
Wind Gust Wind Gust (GST) 60.2 kts

NHC pressure down to 958 mb now.
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Re: ATL: LARRY - Hurricane - Discussion

#760 Postby supercane4867 » Fri Sep 10, 2021 7:08 pm

Larry could end up being worse than Igor for Newfoundland in terms of wind impacts. Most of Igor's damage was done by flooding
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