ATL: LARRY - Models

[Shell Mound]

12z GFS still east of Bermuda, but significantly further west than 06z. 06z passed by the island at (33.3N, 57.6W) while 12z passed at (32.8N, 60.8W) so about 220 miles (350 km) further west. One more shift like that could easily send it to Bermuda.

The 06Z EPS also made massive westward shifts vs. 00Z, with numerous members suggesting a dangerously close rendezvous with Bermuda.

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1433499291683852289

[Vdogg]

https://twitter.com/RyanMaue/status/1433499291683852289

Some of those ensembles are looking a bit close. Getting flash backs to Isabel.

[chris_fit]

12z EPS - Once again - W Shift. Couple US Landfalls/Clips

[cycloneye]

Ens has another west shift and Bermuda and Atlantic Canadá really are on the crosshairs of it.

[PavelGaborik]

18z GFS very close to Bermuda and Nova Scotia, eventually takes it into Newfoundland.

[TheDreamTraveler]

18z gfs looks a bit west compared to 12z

[IcyTundra]

Bermuda really in the crosshairs of Larry.

[SconnieCane]

We gonna W shift all the way to Texas?

[Hurricaneman]

If enough west shifts happen, the places affected by Henri and Ida in the northeastern US may have to keep a close eye on Larry

[ColdMiser123]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

[Category5Kaiju]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

Definitely not liking this trend at all. In my opinion, I think the models may be catching on something that is causing the ridge to either build back with vigor and remain much stronger than initially predicted, or whatever trough was supposed to take Larry OTS is being delayed in timing or remaining much weaker than initially predicted.

[Iceresistance]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

And the East Coast are going to be in play at this rate, & they are only recovering from Ida . . .

[gatorcane]

00Z:

[RevanTheJedi96]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

And the East Coast are going to be in play at this rate, & they are only recovering from Ida . . .

The Northeast is overdue for a bad hurricane. Haven't been hit since Bob and the 1938 New England Hurricane is bound to get repeated soon.

[Hurricaneman]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

Several ensembles get close to or impact the Northeastern US or Nova Scotia, those areas may have to deal with this late next week into the weekend

[Category5Kaiju]

 https://twitter.com/andrewwulfeck/status/1433612456111349762

[weeniepatrol]

[shaneomac]

I have a feeling this is going to pull a Teddy somewhat , and effect either Nova Scotia or Newfoundland .. these west trends are interesting to say the least .

[InfernoFlameCat]

18z EPS is another SW shift from 12z, the majority of members would pass west of Bermuda.

And the East Coast are going to be in play at this rate, & they are only recovering from Ida . . .

The Northeast is overdue for a bad hurricane. Haven't been hit since Bob and the 1938 New England Hurricane is bound to get repeated soon.

I know Sandy did not make landfall as tropical, but still.