Blown Away wrote:18z GFS is @1 degree S and 5 degrees W compared to 06z this morning. Fortunately no matter how much SW adjustment, it doesn’t appear NE Caribbean is in play at this point.
If a ridge comes to block Larry while it’s that far SW, it won’t be the Caribbean that’ll have to worry.
Seems like every single model run, we’re seeing yet another SW shift. There has to be a point where any further SW is impossible. I also agree that the Caribbean will probably be safe from this — at the most, a very close call like Jose — and Larry won’t end up nearly as far SW as an Irma-like track.