ATL: INVEST 92L - Discussion

[SFLcane]

AL, 92, 2021090218, , BEST, 0, 130N, 205W, 25, 1009, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 120, 60, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 029, SPAWNINVEST, al722021 to al922021,

https://ftp.nhc.noaa.gov/atcf/btk/

[IcyTundra]

I don't think this going to do much early due to the shear from Larry's outflow. The bad thing about that though is that it could possibly get further west if it stays weaker or fails to develop in the MDR.

[ouragans]

That one was quick. 3 hours and hop! 92L

[ouragans]

Invest 92L
As of 18:00 UTC Sep 02, 2021:

Location: 13.0°N 20.5°W
Maximum Winds: 25 kt Gusts: N/A
Minimum Central Pressure: 1009 mb
Environmental Pressure: N/A
Radius of Circulation: N/A
Radius of Maximum wind: 60 nm

[ElectricStorm]

Not expecting much out of this for now due to the outflow from Larry. Maybe it can get something going further west down the road.

[Sciencerocks]

[Sciencerocks]

Within my opinion this probably has a LLC and is probably pretty close to classifiable. We will see if the convection can sustain itsself of course.

[Hurricaneman]

This could be a sleeper that gets much farther west as seen in the Canadian but it all depends on the space between this and Larry as more space could allow the ridge to build back in and send it possibly near the US but if not sufficient space could get dragged up around 60w and absorbed. It will be a long few days of watching 92L

[Hurricaneman]

I don't think this going to do much early due to the shear from Larry's outflow. The bad thing about that though is that it could possibly get further west if it stays weaker or fails to develop in the MDR.

Actually looking at this it has just enough space to be outside the outflow but could get close enough to get northerly shear from outflow if it gets any closer to Larry

[AutoPenalti]

You know for a wave that looks to dissipate quickly because of outflow shear, it looks pretty healthy.

[cycloneye]

Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
located a couple of hundred miles southeast of the southernmost Cabo
Verde Islands continue to show some signs of organization. Some
limited development of this system could occur tonight and on
Friday as the low moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. After
that time, conditions are expected to become less conducive for
development. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor
the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[cycloneye]

An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 25W, from 04N
to 19N, moving W around 15 kt. The weak low pressure that had been
associated with this wave has diminished early this morning and
related showers and thunderstorms have also continued to decrease.
In addition, recent satellite derived wind data indicate that the
system does not have a closed circulation. This disturbance is
expected to move westward into an environment less conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and the chances of
formation appear to be decreasing. This system could bring showers
and gusty winds to portions of the southernmost Cabo Verde
Islands during the next several hours. The disturbance has a low
chance of tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hr.

[cycloneye]

Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is occurring in
association with an area of disturbed weather located about 150
miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. This
disturbance is expected to move westward into an environment less
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and the
chances of formation are decreasing. This system could bring
showers and gusty winds to portions of the southernmost Cabo Verde
Islands for a few more hours.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

[otowntiger]

Minimal shower and thunderstorm activity is occurring in
association with an area of disturbed weather located about 150
miles southwest of the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands. This
disturbance is expected to move westward into an environment less
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and the
chances of formation are decreasing. This system could bring
showers and gusty winds to portions of the southernmost Cabo Verde
Islands for a few more hours.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

soooo... poof.