https://twitter.com/AnthonyMweather/status/1436147718796324864
EPAC: OLAF - Post-Tropical
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cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
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Yellow Evan
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Sciencerocks
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 012031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:16:11 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.1 / 961.4mb/ 92.4kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.1 5.5 5.5
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -63.2C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 72nmi
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : GOES17
Satellite Viewing Angle : 41.2 degrees
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 012031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:16:11 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.1 / 961.4mb/ 92.4kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.1 5.5 5.5
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -63.2C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 72nmi
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : GOES17
Satellite Viewing Angle : 41.2 degrees
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 012031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:16:11 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.1 / 961.4mb/ 92.4kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.1 5.5 5.5
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -63.2C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 72nmi
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : GOES17
Satellite Viewing Angle : 41.2 degrees
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 012031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:16:11 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.1 / 961.4mb/ 92.4kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.1 5.5 5.5
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 13 km
Center Temp : -11.6C Cloud Region Temp : -63.2C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs :
- Average 34 knot radii : 72nmi
- Environmental MSLP : 1008mb
Satellite Name : GOES17
Satellite Viewing Angle : 41.2 degrees
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Kingarabian
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grapealcoholic
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grapealcoholic
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Kingarabian
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1436143578141507604
I hope Josh gives us some actual numbers ahead of time instead of a bunch of "wow crazy getting nuts here" lol.
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1436152936384512000
Eyeball test that this is atleast a Cat.2 here.
I hope Josh gives us some actual numbers ahead of time instead of a bunch of "wow crazy getting nuts here" lol.
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1436152936384512000
Eyeball test that this is atleast a Cat.2 here.
Last edited by Kingarabian on Thu Sep 09, 2021 9:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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grapealcoholic
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
CIMSS ADT Raws jump to 6.0.
UW - CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 015031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:26:24 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.3 / 957.6mb/ 97.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.3 5.9 6.0
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 12 km
Center Temp : -5.1C Cloud Region Temp : -67.4C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 1.3T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 9.0
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
----- Current Analysis -----
Date : 10 SEP 2021 Time : 015031 UTC
Lat : 22:57:35 N Lon : 109:26:24 W
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
5.3 / 957.6mb/ 97.2kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
5.3 5.9 6.0
Estimated radius of max. wind based on IR : 12 km
Center Temp : -5.1C Cloud Region Temp : -67.4C
Scene Type : EYE
Subtropical Adjustment : OFF
Extratropical Adjustment : OFF
Positioning Method : ARCHER POSITIONING
Ocean Basin : EAST PACIFIC
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 1.3T/6hr
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
Last edited by Kingarabian on Thu Sep 09, 2021 9:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
grapealcoholic wrote:Probably sub 950 now
Absolutely not. If this was sub-950, there'd be a full W ring at minimum and/or a much warmer and circular eye.
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Kingarabian
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Yellow Evan
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Kingarabian
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Yellow Evan wrote:https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1436153367932256268?s=21
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1436154648696537114
Lol c'mon!
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toad strangler
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Morgerman says Olaf is an angry 'cane. He loves that word but I believe him. Sounds like more than he expected.
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grapealcoholic
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Yellow Evan
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Kingarabian wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:https://twitter.com/icyclone/status/1436153367932256268?s=21
https://twitter.com/iCyclone/status/1436154648696537114
Lol c'mon!
He should be able to convert his pressure to sea level by his elevation.
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Re: EPAC: OLAF - Hurricane
Not too long before radar swims with the fish.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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grapealcoholic
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