WPAC: INVEST 96W

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Hayabusa
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WPAC: INVEST 96W

#1 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Sep 07, 2021 6:01 pm

An invest behind Chanthu
96W.INVEST

96W.INVEST.15kts.1008mb.12.6N.140.5E

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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Hayabusa
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#2 Postby Hayabusa » Thu Sep 09, 2021 9:06 am

96W* :lol:
ABPW10 PGTW 091330
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE WESTERN AND
/SOUTH PACIFIC OCEANS REISSUED/091330Z-100600ZSEP2021//
REF/A/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090752ZSEP2021//
REF/B/MSG/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI/090751ZSEP2021//
NARR/REFS A AND B ARE TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS.//
RMKS/
1. WESTERN NORTH PACIFIC AREA (180 TO MALAY PENINSULA):
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 94W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
17.0N 132.7E, APPROXIMATELY 623 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF KADENA AB.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS FLARING
CONVECTION OVER AN ILL-DEFINED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION (LLC). A
090913Z SSMIS 91GHZ SATELLITE IMAGE REVEALS A POCKET OF DEEP
CONVECTION DISPLACED TO THE SOUTH OF THE LLC, AND AN OVERALL LACK OF
CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION. INVEST 96W IS IN A MARGINAL ENVIRONMENT
CHARACTERIZED BY WARM (30C) SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES (SST) OFFSET BY
MODERATE (15-25 KT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS), AND WEAK OUTFLOW
ALOFT. GLOBAL MODELS GENERALLY AGREE THAT 96W WILL DISSIPATE AS IT
INTERACTS WITH STY 19W, WITH THE EXCEPTION OF GFS WHICH DEPICTS 96W
TRACKING POLEWARD OF STY 19W AND CONSOLIDATING. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1010 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

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Hayabusa
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Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: INVEST 96W

#3 Postby Hayabusa » Fri Sep 10, 2021 2:05 pm

Image
WTPN21 PGTW 101700
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (INVEST 96W)//
RMKS/
1. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN
180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 22.4N 125.8E TO 23.2N 117.3E
WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. AVAILABLE DATA DOES NOT JUSTIFY
ISSUANCE OF NUMBERED TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNINGS AT THIS TIME.
WINDS IN THE AREA ARE ESTIMATED TO BE 20 TO 25 KNOTS. METSAT
IMAGERY AT 101200Z INDICATES THAT A CIRCULATION CENTER IS LOCATED
NEAR 22.7N 124.9E. THE SYSTEM IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 30
KNOTS.
2. REMARKS: AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 96W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR
22.7N 124.9E, APPROXIMATELY 102 NM SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF ISHIGAKIJIMA.
ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS
PERSISTENT CONVECTION OBSCURING A LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). A 101148Z ASCAT-A IMAGE REVEALS AN ASYMMETRIC WIND FIELD
WITH SHARPLY CURVED WINDS IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY, 25-30 KT WINDS
IN THE EASTERN PERIPHERY, AND LIGHT WINDS TO THE WEST OF THE LLCC.
INVEST 96W IS EMBEDDED IN THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF STY 19W AND IS
UNDERGOING FUJIWARA INTERACTION WITH RAPID TRACK SPEEDS. INVEST 96W
IS UNDER THE WESTERLY OUTFLOW FROM STY 19W, HOWEVER, VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR IS MODERATE (15-20 KNOTS) ALLOWING DEEP CONVECTION TO PERSIST
AND WEAKLY ORGANIZE. ADDITIONALLY, SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE WARM
AT 29-30C. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE INVEST 96W WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE
RAPIDLY AROUND THE PERIPHERY OF STY 19W AND WILL EVENTUALLY
DISSIPATE AS IT BECOMES ABSORBED WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 18 HOURS.
THERE IS A NARROW WINDOW FOR DEVELOPMENT BEFORE THE SYSTEM TRACKS
OVER THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN OF TAIWAN. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS HIGH.
3. THIS ALERT WILL BE REISSUED, UPGRADED TO WARNING OR CANCELLED BY
111700Z.//
NNNN
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ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically


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