WPAC: MINDULLE - Post-Tropical

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#161 Postby Hayabusa » Tue Sep 28, 2021 6:09 am

New SMAP came in at 0834Z, 92 knots
WP, 20, 202109280834, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2170N, 13570E, , 1, 86, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 235, 191, 0, 0, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 20, 202109280834, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2170N, 13570E, , 1, 86, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 112, 111, 121, 124, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 20, 202109280834, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2170N, 13570E, , 1, 86, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 61, 71, 79, 83, , , , , 1, 0, , W, NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#162 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Sep 28, 2021 10:42 am

JMA - 95 knots / 935 hPa
20W MINDULLE 210928 1200 22.0N 135.5E WPAC 100 949

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#163 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Sep 28, 2021 2:27 pm

Image
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#164 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Sep 28, 2021 3:41 pm

Image

T5.5 due to ragged eye.
0 likes   

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7266
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#165 Postby Sciencerocks » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:15 pm

Image
1 likes   

User avatar
ElectricStorm
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4493
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Aug 13, 2019 11:23 pm
Location: Skiatook, OK / Norman, OK

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#166 Postby ElectricStorm » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:18 pm

Back to Cat 4

20W MINDULLE 210929 0000 23.3N 135.4E WPAC 115 934
0 likes   
I am in no way a professional. Take what I say with a grain of salt as I could be totally wrong. Please refer to the NHC, NWS, or SPC for official information.

Boomer Sooner!

User avatar
Teban54
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1903
Joined: Sat May 19, 2018 1:19 pm

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#167 Postby Teban54 » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:33 pm

It's amazing how Mindulle and Sam were forming, rapidly strengthening, peaking, rapidly weakening, and then slowly restrengthening at almost exactly the same time.
1 likes   

User avatar
Yellow Evan
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 15948
Age: 25
Joined: Fri Jul 15, 2011 12:48 pm
Location: Henderson, Nevada/Honolulu, HI
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#168 Postby Yellow Evan » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:38 pm

Image

Remarkable recovery. Organized enough where I’m confident it’s a Category 4 hurricane now.
2 likes   

User avatar
Ubuntwo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1089
Age: 30
Joined: Thu Oct 05, 2017 10:41 pm

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#169 Postby Ubuntwo » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:41 pm

Quite the cyclone!
Image
4 likes   
Kendall -> SLO -> PBC

Memorable Storms: Katrina (for its Florida landfall...) Wilma Matthew Irma

User avatar
aspen
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8029
Joined: Sat Oct 12, 2019 7:10 pm
Location: Connecticut, USA

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#170 Postby aspen » Tue Sep 28, 2021 8:44 pm

That is hands down one of the most beautiful annular/massive eye cyclones I’ve ever seen. Incredible how this turned out after such a rough few days.
0 likes   
Irene '11 Sandy '12 Hermine '16 5/15/2018 Derecho Fay '20 Isaias '20 Elsa '21 Henri '21 Ida '21

I am only a meteorology enthusiast who knows a decent amount about tropical cyclones. Look to the professional mets, the NHC, or your local weather office for the best information.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#171 Postby mrbagyo » Tue Sep 28, 2021 9:17 pm

Image

Image
3 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
InfernoFlameCat
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1966
Age: 20
Joined: Mon Dec 14, 2020 10:52 am
Location: Buford, GA

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#172 Postby InfernoFlameCat » Tue Sep 28, 2021 10:19 pm

Wow impressive
0 likes   
I am by no means a professional. DO NOT look at my forecasts for official information or make decisions based on what I post.

Goal: to become a registered expert over tropical and subtropical cyclones.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#173 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Sep 29, 2021 1:48 am

Mindulle's eye temperature is hovering between 19°C to 20°C again.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

Sciencerocks
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 7266
Age: 38
Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#174 Postby Sciencerocks » Wed Sep 29, 2021 1:55 am

Image
2 likes   

User avatar
TyphoonNara
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 367
Age: 23
Joined: Tue Dec 04, 2018 9:41 am
Location: Hong Kong

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#175 Postby TyphoonNara » Wed Sep 29, 2021 3:37 am

Interesting to see how JTWC estimated the central pressure to be as low as 933mb despite being "just" a 115-knot cat 4 typhoon. Maybe this has something to do with the SATCON estimates (928mb, 114kt) and the large size of the system.
1 likes   

User avatar
Meow
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 66
Age: 34
Joined: Mon Aug 03, 2020 9:03 am
Location: New Taipei, Taiwan
Contact:

Typhoon Mindulle with a large eye on September 29

#176 Postby Meow » Wed Sep 29, 2021 4:39 am

1 likes   
Wikimedia User:Meow

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#177 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Sep 29, 2021 7:59 am

TyphoonNara wrote:Interesting to see how JTWC estimated the central pressure to be as low as 933mb despite being "just" a 115-knot cat 4 typhoon. Maybe this has something to do with the SATCON estimates (928mb, 114kt) and the large size of the system.


Nagoya University & University of Ryukyu flew a recon mission to the eye of Typhoon Mindulle today.
Minimum pressure observed during the center fix was 932 hPa.
https://www3.nhk.or.jp/news/html/20210929/k10013282961000.html

 https://twitter.com/ben108472/status/1443194852938694656


1 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3613
Age: 31
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#178 Postby mrbagyo » Wed Sep 29, 2021 11:51 am

Image
2 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
doomhaMwx
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2396
Age: 25
Joined: Tue Apr 18, 2017 4:01 am
Location: Baguio/Benguet, Philippines
Contact:

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#179 Postby doomhaMwx » Wed Sep 29, 2021 7:35 pm

Photo taken in the eye during the recon aircraft mission conducted by Japan yesterday, Sept 29 ~06Z.

Image
 https://twitter.com/ryudaichigaku/status/1443366923127771138


4 likes   
Like my content? Consider giving a tip.

User avatar
Hayabusa
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3735
Joined: Sun Sep 16, 2018 1:05 pm

Re: WPAC: MINDULLE - Typhoon

#180 Postby Hayabusa » Wed Sep 29, 2021 8:42 pm

100 knots, seems perfect for a 00Z estimate too
WP, 20, 202109292117, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2670N, 13640E, , 1, 93, 1, , , , 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 226, 212, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 20, 202109292117, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2670N, 13640E, , 1, 93, 1, , , , 50, NEQ, 139, 0, 146, 146, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
WP, 20, 202109292117, 30, SMAP, IR, , 2670N, 13640E, , 1, 93, 1, , , , 64, NEQ, 88, 121, 119, 66, , , , , 1, 0, , , NASA, RSS, , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , 1, max. wind is 10 minute sustained
0 likes   
ヤンデレ女が寝取られるているのを見たい!!!
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically


Return to “2021”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 11 guests