ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Post-Tropical

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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#41 Postby mrbagyo » Fri Oct 01, 2021 7:12 pm

Microwave eye
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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#42 Postby doomhaMwx » Fri Oct 01, 2021 9:07 pm

03B SHAHEEN-GU 211002 0000 23.9N 62.5E IO 65 979

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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#43 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 02, 2021 12:27 am

shaky morning loop
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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#44 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 02, 2021 3:33 am

bullseye pass
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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#45 Postby doomhaMwx » Sat Oct 02, 2021 4:03 am

Intensity lowered to 60kts at 06Z based on ASCAT (52kts) and SMAP (62kts) as per JTWC. Nonetheless, they're now expecting additional strengthening right over the Gulf of Oman and a typhoon-strength landfall.

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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#46 Postby aspen » Sat Oct 02, 2021 7:34 am

A high-res microwave pass from 7z shows a good structure for future intensification. This looks to be a record-setting system in the Gulf of Oman.
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The 6z HWRF brings this to Category 4 intensity just before landfall, which would be unprecedented for this area of the world.
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Re: ARB: GULAB/SHAHEEN - Cyclonic Storm

#47 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 02, 2021 7:44 am

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Cyclonic Storm

#48 Postby doomhaMwx » Sat Oct 02, 2021 9:56 am

Latest forecast bumps the peak to 85kts cat 2!

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A station on the SE coast of Iran recently recorded TS-force winds of 41kts

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Cyclonic Storm

#49 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 02, 2021 10:46 am

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Cyclonic Storm

#50 Postby aspen » Sat Oct 02, 2021 1:03 pm

Looks like this took a big gulp of dry air and wrecked the core.
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Cyclonic Storm

#51 Postby Statmospheric » Sat Oct 02, 2021 1:04 pm

Unfortunately most of the impacted coastline vis populated. The GFS is dropping 6-10" of rain at the landfall point, which would be disastrous for an area that does not even average that much rainfall in a whole year
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#52 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 02, 2021 11:52 pm

Cyclone Shaheen in the Gulf of Oman
INSAT 3DR satellite
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#53 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Oct 03, 2021 3:16 am

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#54 Postby shah83 » Sun Oct 03, 2021 8:29 am

A bit of a last minute eyewall replacement cycle right now... So much for all the doom stuff from the HWRF...It was fun while it lasted.
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#55 Postby doomhaMwx » Sun Oct 03, 2021 10:12 am

03B SHAHEEN-GU 211003 1200 24.0N 58.1E IO 65 974

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#56 Postby galvestontx » Sun Oct 03, 2021 10:22 am

This is very bad for all of UAE. They have no drainage system at all.
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#57 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Oct 03, 2021 10:41 am

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#58 Postby ChrisH-UK » Sun Oct 03, 2021 10:58 am

UAE has Shaheen on it's radar

Source - https://www.ncm.ae/maps-radars/gcc-rada ... rk?lang=en

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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#59 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Oct 03, 2021 11:09 am

MODIS image from TERRA Satellite
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Re: ARB: SHAHEEN (Gulab) - Severe Cyclonic Storm

#60 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Oct 03, 2021 11:29 am

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