WPAC: NALGAE - Post-Tropical
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- xtyphooncyclonex
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
Death toll already up to 67 and this hasn't even made landfall yet. It's looking bad all the way from Antique to Zamboanga and even here in Cebu.
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
Where can we find the latest MV image? Most recent sat image looks kinda suspicious.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
Hello everyone! Can anyone share with me the expected conditions for Metro Manila, and Igbarras, I have family in these areas, as well as Illio. Thankyou
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
xtyphooncyclonex wrote:Death toll already up to 67 and this hasn't even made landfall yet. It's looking bad all the way from Antique to Zamboanga and even here in Cebu.
It breaks my heart to read these words. My family is located throughout the Philippines, and I'm naturally always concerned whenever a cyclone threatens the region. And I'm always concerned with everyone's well being as well. The topography in the Phillipines adds another level of hazards with landslides, flash flooding, etc. due the mountain terrain, and so forth...I am hoping this system will pass quickly, and with no more loss of life.
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- ElectricStorm
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
That is an absolutely massive burst of convection my goodness
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- cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
dexterlabio wrote:Where can we find the latest MV image? Most recent sat image looks kinda suspicious.
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/itymjV1.gif)
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
cycloneye wrote:dexterlabio wrote:Where can we find the latest MV image? Most recent sat image looks kinda suspicious.
https://i.imgur.com/itymjV1.gif
Looking better organized? If I'm not mistaken, the forecast calls for the cyclone to landfall as a Tropical Storm?
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- cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
According to latest JMA update, Nalgae's center has already crossed over Catanduanes
JTWC's position is almost the same
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/ekh124u.png)
Issued at 2022/10/28 18:50 UTC
Analysis at 10/28 18 UTC
Grade STS
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N13°40′ (13.7°)
E124°00′ (124.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30 km/h (17 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of 30-kt wind area 560 km (300 NM)
Analysis at 10/28 18 UTC
Grade STS
Scale Large
Intensity -
Center position N13°40′ (13.7°)
E124°00′ (124.0°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 30 km/h (17 kt)
Central pressure 985 hPa
Maximum sustained wind speed near center 25 m/s (50 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 35 m/s (70 kt)
Radius of 30-kt wind area 560 km (300 NM)
JTWC's position is almost the same
26W NALGAE 221028 1800 13.8N 124.0E WPAC 55 984
![Image](https://i.imgur.com/ekh124u.png)
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://s4.gifyu.com/images/ezgif-1-4194b6d865-1.gif)
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
![Image](https://s4.gifyu.com/images/20221028.1741.gw1.89hbt.26W.NALGAE.55kts.989mb.14.1N.123.6E.75pc.jpg)
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
According to PAGASA, Nalgae made landfall over Virac, Catanduanes at around 1710 UTC.
Sea level pressure in Virac at 1700UTC was 984.2 hPa
AAXX 28171 98446 41458 80410 10268 20260 39796 49842 5//// 76166 8482/ 333 56190 84816 88270
https://twitter.com/dzbb/status/1586095968818442240
Sea level pressure in Virac at 1700UTC was 984.2 hPa
AAXX 28171 98446 41458 80410 10268 20260 39796 49842 5//// 76166 8482/ 333 56190 84816 88270
https://twitter.com/dzbb/status/1586095968818442240
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- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
Looks like Nalgae would pass directly over my area.
![Image](https://s4.gifyu.com/images/ezgif-5-005f119a87.gif)
Massive flooding is ongoing in Antique, Panay Island
https://twitter.com/dailyguardianph/status/1586030352271040512
![Image](https://s4.gifyu.com/images/ezgif-5-005f119a87.gif)
Massive flooding is ongoing in Antique, Panay Island
https://twitter.com/dailyguardianph/status/1586030352271040512
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- cycloneye
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Severe Tropical Storm
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Severe Tropical Storm
The storm is not yet over, but looking at the damages and death toll so far, I have a feeling that PAGASA will request the retirement of "Nalgae". The local name "Paeng" will certainly get retired.
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Severe Tropical Storm
NAIA and Science Garden 1000Z synop both recorded 987.8 mb
98429 41456 83208 10245 20245 49878 5//// 76266 8672/ 333 56899 83715 85618 88458 QNT 16MPS ED'10
98430 41456 83506 10246 20241 39829 49878 5//// 76166 8272/ 333 56799 82715 88457 90407 91117 91536 JB
98430 41456 83506 10246 20241 39829 49878 5//// 76166 8272/ 333 56799 82715 88457 90407 91117 91536 JB
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ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
ECMWF ensemble NWPAC plots: https://ecmwfensnwpac.imgbb.com/
Multimodel NWPAC plots: https://multimodelnwpac.imgbb.com/
GFS Ensemble NWPAC plots (16 & 35 day forecast): https://gefsnwpac.imgbb.com/
Plots updated automatically
- mrbagyo
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Severe Tropical Storm
An automatic weather station in Lipa City has already recorded 434.11mm of rainfall from 12:00 AM PST to 8:55 PM PST
Many areas in Cavite, Batangas and Laguna have recorded rainfall amount in excess of 250 mm just for today.
Many areas in Cavite, Batangas and Laguna have recorded rainfall amount in excess of 250 mm just for today.
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- InfernoFlameCat
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Severe Tropical Storm
This thing is churning out massive amounts of convection
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- doomhaMwx
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Re: WPAC: NALGAE - Tropical Storm
Nalgae is a rare TC for Southern China in November.
https://twitter.com/squirtleinhk/status/1587523690262138880
https://twitter.com/squirtleinhk/status/1587523690262138880
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