ATL: CINDY - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#101 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:39 am

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#102 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 7:45 am

Keeps going up.

AL, 04, 2023062312, , BEST, 0, 122N, 475W, 45, 1003, TS
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#103 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Jun 23, 2023 8:49 am

SSMIS pass about 3 hours old showed a solid mid level eyewall.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#104 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Jun 23, 2023 9:24 am

Kingarabian wrote:SSMIS pass about 3 hours old showed a solid mid level eyewall.
https://i.postimg.cc/ZngbngGF/image.png

Looks like it’s ingested some dry air since then, but going by vis, that structure still seems to be intact. Should see continued strengthening today.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#105 Postby Teban54 » Fri Jun 23, 2023 9:39 am

According to Best Track and advisories, Cindy formed at 40.5W (though it might be revised in reanalysis) and became a TS at 44.5W.

This is the second easternmost MDR TS in June, only behind Bret (41.4W). It's the third easternmost MDR TD in June, behind TD2 2000 (19.8W) and Bret (40.3W).
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#106 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 10:24 am

Is a very small storm in area that is subject to sudden changes in the enviroment but regardless of what occurs in the next few days, it has made history.

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#107 Postby cheezyWXguy » Fri Jun 23, 2023 11:36 am

cheezyWXguy wrote:
Kingarabian wrote:SSMIS pass about 3 hours old showed a solid mid level eyewall.
https://i.postimg.cc/ZngbngGF/image.png

Looks like it’s ingested some dry air since then, but going by vis, that structure still seems to be intact. Should see continued strengthening today.

Welp, so much for that. Naked swirl alert. Still has some time to rebound but shear is getting to it for now, we’ll see
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#108 Postby Kazmit » Fri Jun 23, 2023 12:49 pm

The path that Cindy will be taking seems unusual for this time of year. Usually the Bermuda high is strong as ever, but based on how wet our weather has been here in Bermuda the past month I guess that’s not the case.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#109 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 23, 2023 12:56 pm

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#110 Postby Hurricane2022 » Fri Jun 23, 2023 1:07 pm

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#111 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 1:47 pm

AL, 04, 2023062318, , BEST, 0, 129N, 487W, 45, 1003, TS
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#112 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 1:54 pm

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#113 Postby Sciencerocks » Fri Jun 23, 2023 4:01 pm

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#114 Postby Nimbus » Fri Jun 23, 2023 4:38 pm

Cindy showing a little bit of convection firing tonight but all the models seem to see her pretty much dissipating by 72 hours. Two early season tropical storms that weren't too dangerous.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#115 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 5:13 pm

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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#116 Postby galaxy401 » Fri Jun 23, 2023 5:52 pm

The last two posts completely contradict each other.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#117 Postby aspen » Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:02 pm

galaxy401 wrote:The last two posts completely contradict each other.

The duality of s2k.

Convection is popping up like crazy again. Perhaps Cindy could get a little stronger before shear increases later this weekend, which would raise its odds of strengthening in the subtropics in 5-6 days.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#118 Postby Ubuntwo » Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:33 pm

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM CINDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75
A. 24/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0104A CINDY
C. 24/1530Z
D. 16.0N 54.0W
E. 24/1730Z TO 24/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 24-HOURLY FIXES ON
TS CINDY IF IT REMAINS A THREAT.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#119 Postby cycloneye » Fri Jun 23, 2023 6:42 pm

Ubuntwo wrote:
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM CINDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75
A. 24/1800Z
B. AFXXX 0104A CINDY
C. 24/1530Z
D. 16.0N 54.0W
E. 24/1730Z TO 24/2100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: CONTINUE 24-HOURLY FIXES ON
TS CINDY IF IT REMAINS A THREAT.

Yes. recon thread is already up for the first mission on Saturday afternoon.
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Re: ATL: CINDY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#120 Postby Kingarabian » Fri Jun 23, 2023 7:13 pm

Deep convection over the center again.
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