Xyls wrote:PavelGaborik10 wrote:Very unimpressive winds from both the CMC, and especially the GFS by the time the remnants of Lee make their way onshore in 6 or so days.
I'll continue keep tabs on this one, but not particularly concerned about Lee at this point and time as an Atlantic Canadian.
Very thankful this won't be another Fiona situation, though if it curves W earlier as some models are showing it could give some solid gusts to New England.
I wouldn't write off Lee just yet even Arthur (2014) was very damaging for the area as a tropical storm, power was out for significant periods of time especially in the Yarmouth area and Western New Brunswick.
I don't think the main concern with Lee is going to be the wind anyways, it is likely going to be the storm surge which is the biggest problem. I would actually argue the worst case scenario for Lee at this point would be a model putting it slightly to the West of NS and leading it to landfall in Washington County, ME or the Fundy Isles in New Brunswick. This scenario could push a major storm surge into the Bay of Fundy which could breach the dykes that local officials have been panicking about at the Isthmus of Chignecto.
Indeed, our power grid has never fully recovered from Arthur. There were rural areas in the interior that went without power for one to two weeks. I still vividly recall the lineups in Saint Stephen and Saint Andrews to get water and food before it spoiled from the grocery stores as well as fuel for the generators from the gas stations - the ones that had power during the first few days.
Much of the grid in rural areas had to be extensively rebuilt.
summaries
http://hybridstorm-weatherblog.blogspot.com/2014_07_05_archive.html
power grid
http://hybridstorm-weatherblog.blogspot.com/2014_07_11_archive.html
http://hybridstorm-weatherblog.blogspot.com/2014_07_13_archive.html