Expert Warns of July 4th earthquake for So. Cal

[JTD]

This is not good at all



Joined: 20 Feb 2005
Posts: 564


Posted: Sat Jul 02, 2005 6:42 pm Post subject: July 4th So. Cal. Earthquake Possible

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http://www.unknowncountry.com/news/?id=4682

Frank Condon Says So. Cal. Earthquake Possible
02-Jul-2005

Frank Condon of GeoSeismicLabs says that the July 4th weekend or shortly thereafter could see a strong earthquake in Southern California, but the USGS Real-Time Forecast of Earthquake Hazards in the area does not foresee any significant quakes in the next 24 hours. (As of 2 July, 2005, 11:00 AM PDT).

Mr. Condon of GeoSeismicLabs has appeared on Dreamland (11 March, 2005) discussing the changing seismic situation around the world, with emphasis on California and the US western states. (To listen to this and other archived Dreamland programs, subscribe to Unknowncountry.com.)

Now Mr. Condon suggests that a strong earthquake could affect the Southern California area because of the fact that a recent Nicaragua quake has affected crustal stress levels in the area. Mr. Condon is not predicting a quake, but saying that the possibility of one is higher because of the effects of the Nicaragua quake.

He writes on his website message board, "It appears that triggering from the Nicaragua earthquake is greatly affecting the crustal stress level in Southern California. The way it looks right now, it may be coming to a point."

He continues, "everyone from Central California to Baja, Mexico needs to be aware of what´s currently being detected. We now have some anomalously high levels of deep crustal stress surfacing along the Pacific & North American Plate Boundary in Southern California. The Inland Empire should be at the Warning level in Wrightwood, Lytle Creek, Cucamonga, Fontana, Rialto, Devore, San Bernardino, Redlands, Yucaipa, Banning, Loma Linda, Colton, Riverside, Hemet, Idyllwild, Beaumont, Anza, Borrego Springs, Ocotillo Wells, Desert Hot Springs, Yucca Valley, Indio/Palm Springs to the Salton Sea and anywhere else which is in within 15 miles of any major faults located in Southern California."

To read Mr. Condon's posted message, click here.

The USGS Earthquake Hazards Program utilizes a system of 24 hour earthquake prediction in Southern California based on analysis of foreshocks. At present, this program predicts only a slight chance of an earthquake east of San Diego. To reference the USGS SoCal Earthquake Hazard Map, click here.

[Aslkahuna]

Definition of Expert. X= an unknown quantity and a spurt is a drip under pressure.

Steve

[bfez1]

Sure hope he's wrong

[wx247]

Umm, sorry but I am a skeptic here. Since when did predicting earthquakes become commonplace?

[Miss Mary]

I recall a similar warning for the New Madrid faul, Dec. of 1990 or 1991. Forget which year now, but it was early December also. Experts were saying a very strong earthquake was going to hit this region (from St. Louis to Cincinnati and points all around). It never did. Some people stayed home from work that day, since most buildings in this region are not built to withstand earthquakes. Others were very skeptical and went about their usual routines, saying it wouldn't happen. Of course they were right. Years later I took a Geology course during one of those attempts to get a college degree. My Geo Prof told me the Scientist who came out with this warning/theory either ruined his career over it or nearly lost all credibility. She remembered that month and year quite well.

Mary

[Brent]

Umm, sorry but I am a skeptic here. Since when did predicting earthquakes become commonplace?

Agreed...

didn't they predict several massive quakes a couple of weeks ago around the West Coast???

[streetsoldier]

I recall a similar warning for the New Madrid faul, Dec. of 1990 or 1991. Forget which year now, but it was early December also. Experts were saying a very strong earthquake was going to hit this region (from St. Louis to Cincinnati and points all around). It never did. Some people stayed home from work that day, since most buildings in this region are not built to withstand earthquakes. Others were very skeptical and went about their usual routines, saying it wouldn't happen. Of course they were right. Years later I took a Geology course during one of those attempts to get a college degree. My Geo Prof told me the Scientist who came out with this warning/theory either ruined his career over it or nearly lost all credibility. She remembered that month and year quite well.

Mary

Yes, but (since I LIVE within 20 miles of the 1811-12 epicenter, this is important to me) seismologists all agree that a "big one" is overdue historically.

[Miss Mary]

I agree Bill - we are long overdue. This warning just reminded me of the one in 1990. I did a search on it and lots came up. Didn't bookmark any of it though. The date for that warning was Dec. 2, 1990. They were advising people to avoid driving across bridges, going up into tall buildings. I clearly remember wanting to keep my oldest home from pre-school that day, since it was a good 5 miles from home. I pictured scenes of a disaster movie, to say the least. But in the end I sent her and ran errands near her school. That was a compromise. And nothing did happen, as you know.

But you are right kind sir, we're due for a big one.

Mary

[wxcrazytwo]

Umm, sorry but I am a skeptic here. Since when did predicting earthquakes become commonplace?

It's the same as forecasting the weather and canes..

[Brent]

Umm, sorry but I am a skeptic here. Since when did predicting earthquakes become commonplace?

It's the same as forecasting the weather and canes..

The difference is weather and hurricanes can be reasonably predicted... not just picking a date out of the sky.

[wx247]

Umm, sorry but I am a skeptic here. Since when did predicting earthquakes become commonplace?

It's the same as forecasting the weather and canes..

Send me to the legitimate site.

[azsnowman]

*music fades in*......."Whole lotta shaken goin' on!" Well, less than 7 hours till 5 July and nuthin' happening, hmmmm?

Dennis

[HurryKane]

*music fades in*......."Whole lotta shaken goin' on!" Well, less than 7 hours till 5 July and nuthin' happening, hmmmm?

Dennis

Do NOT taunt the Happy Fun EarthquakeGawds.

[Windsong]

Yes, but (since I LIVE within 20 miles of the 1811-12 epicenter, this is important to me) seismologists all agree that a "big one" is overdue historically.

Don't know if you have this web site, but you might enjoy it.
http://www.syzygyjob.net/frankcondon/
Windsong

[furluvcats]

So far so good here ya'll....lol...nothing but red tides and neon blue glowing nighttime waves....