Wilma Recon Reports

[EyELeSs1]

i think that is still 700mb so 90% conversion
EDIT : to include
821
URNT12 KNHC 240615
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/05:54:00Z
B. 25 deg 02 min N
083 deg 12 min W
C. 700 mb 2716 m

therefore it is 90% conversion

[DCA]

If I am reading it right, the VDM was before the pass that found the 130 kt wind. Although 130 kt sounds too high.

[curtadams]

950 would be hitting waves at this point, so it's 850.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

It came from 700 millibars or .9 reduce...

[StormFury]

Well, what is the official word on the intensity?

[EyELeSs1]

If I am reading it right, the VDM was before the pass that found the 130 kt wind. Although 130 kt sounds too high.

Vortex msgs report the winds on the inbound pass through the eyewall....and the highest winds up to that point...the 130knts was found after the plane crossed the eye and therefore they had already sent the vortex msg

just incase u were confused?

[EyELeSs1]

021
UZNT13 KNHC 240624
XXAA 74067 99250 70832 08153 99955 26610 10003 00913 ///// /////
92279 25410 29507 85023 22006 27003 70699 15803 13503 88999 77999
31313 09608 80554
61616 AF305 2424A WILMA OB 35
62626 EYE SPL 2503N08318W 0557 MBL WND 29504 AEV 20507 DLM WND 29
004 954759 WL150 06501 081 =
XXBB 74068 99250 70832 08153 00955 26610 11850 22006 22721 17250
33705 17015 44697 15000
21212 00955 10003 11944 03001 22927 29507 33850 27003 44697 13503
31313 09608 80554
61616 AF305 2424A WILMA OB 35
62626 EYE SPL 2503N08318W 0557 MBL WND 29504 AEV 20507 DLM WND 29
004 954759 WL150 06501 081 =



Pressure 955mb with only 3knts of wind from the ESE

[EyELeSs1]

988
SXXX50 KNHC 240625
AF302 2524A WILMA HDOB 06 KNHC
0614 3210N 08415W 06401 0203 227 059 165 373 059 06628 0000000000
0614. 3207N 08414W 06401 0205 227 059 161 373 059 06629 0000000000
0615 3205N 08413W 06400 0206 230 057 161 375 057 06630 0000000000
0615. 3203N 08413W 06401 0208 231 057 161 373 058 06634 0000000000
0616 3200N 08412W 06400 0210 232 055 159 375 056 06634 0000000000
0616. 3158N 08412W 06401 0210 230 056 159 377 056 06636 0000000000
0617 3156N 08411W 06401 0212 227 056 159 369 056 06637 0000000000
0617. 3153N 08411W 06400 0213 227 055 159 361 056 06638 0000000000
0618 3151N 08410W 06400 0214 227 054 155 373 055 06639 0000000000
0618. 3148N 08410W 06401 0214 228 053 155 383 054 06640 0000000000
0619 3146N 08409W 06402 0214 230 053 153 391 053 06641 0000000000
0619. 3144N 08408W 06400 0216 231 052 151 401 054 06641 0000000000
0620 3141N 08408W 06400 0217 231 053 151 405 054 06642 0000000000
0620. 3139N 08407W 06401 0218 230 051 151 399 052 06644 0000000000
0621 3137N 08407W 06401 0219 233 051 147 407 051 06644 0000000000
0621. 3134N 08406W 06401 0220 232 051 149 415 051 06645 0000000000
0622 3132N 08406W 06399 0221 228 052 149 395 052 06647 0000000000
0622. 3129N 08405W 06401 0221 229 051 149 381 051 06647 0000000000
0623 3127N 08405W 06400 0222 226 052 149 389 052 06647 0000000000
0623. 3125N 08404W 06401 0223 225 051 149 377 051 06649 0000000000

[mtm4319]

988
SXXX50 KNHC 240625
AF302 2524A WILMA HDOB 06 KNHC
0614 3210N 08415W 06401 0203 227 059 165 373 059 06628 0000000000
0614. 3207N 08414W 06401 0205 227 059 161 373 059 06629 0000000000
0615 3205N 08413W 06400 0206 230 057 161 375 057 06630 0000000000
0615. 3203N 08413W 06401 0208 231 057 161 373 058 06634 0000000000
0616 3200N 08412W 06400 0210 232 055 159 375 056 06634 0000000000
0616. 3158N 08412W 06401 0210 230 056 159 377 056 06636 0000000000
0617 3156N 08411W 06401 0212 227 056 159 369 056 06637 0000000000
0617. 3153N 08411W 06400 0213 227 055 159 361 056 06638 0000000000
0618 3151N 08410W 06400 0214 227 054 155 373 055 06639 0000000000
0618. 3148N 08410W 06401 0214 228 053 155 383 054 06640 0000000000
0619 3146N 08409W 06402 0214 230 053 153 391 053 06641 0000000000
0619. 3144N 08408W 06400 0216 231 052 151 401 054 06641 0000000000
0620 3141N 08408W 06400 0217 231 053 151 405 054 06642 0000000000
0620. 3139N 08407W 06401 0218 230 051 151 399 052 06644 0000000000
0621 3137N 08407W 06401 0219 233 051 147 407 051 06644 0000000000
0621. 3134N 08406W 06401 0220 232 051 149 415 051 06645 0000000000
0622 3132N 08406W 06399 0221 228 052 149 395 052 06647 0000000000
0622. 3129N 08405W 06401 0221 229 051 149 381 051 06647 0000000000
0623 3127N 08405W 06400 0222 226 052 149 389 052 06647 0000000000
0623. 3125N 08404W 06401 0223 225 051 149 377 051 06649 0000000000

That's the next flight coming in, just to clarify. It's going over southern Georgia and northern Florida right now. That's why I haven't been posting those yet.

[mtm4319]

848
SXXX50 KNHC 240634
AF305 2424A WILMA HDOB 58 KNHC
0623. 2413N 08139W 03048 5029 216 092 106 106 093 03063 0000000000
0624 2412N 08137W 03049 5025 218 093 100 100 094 03068 0000000000
0624. 2412N 08135W 03044 5021 216 093 106 106 094 03067 0000000000
0625 2411N 08134W 03044 5019 212 091 102 102 092 03069 0000000000
0625. 2410N 08132W 03051 5016 209 087 098 098 088 03080 0000000000
0626 2409N 08131W 03045 5013 211 084 084 084 084 03076 0000000000
0626. 2408N 08129W 03047 5010 215 086 092 092 087 03081 0000000000
0627 2408N 08128W 03046 5006 217 082 098 098 084 03084 0000000000
0627. 2407N 08126W 03049 5003 220 083 114 108 084 03090 0000000000
0628 2406N 08124W 03047 0005 217 079 106 106 080 03096 0000000000
0628. 2407N 08122W 03048 0004 217 080 100 100 080 03096 0000000000
0629 2409N 08122W 03046 0002 215 080 100 100 081 03092 0000000000
0629. 2411N 08123W 03045 5001 214 079 108 108 081 03088 0000000000
0630 2412N 08125W 03046 5007 212 079 102 102 081 03083 0000000000
0630. 2413N 08126W 03046 5013 210 083 090 090 085 03077 0000000000
0631 2414N 08128W 03049 5017 205 082 090 090 084 03076 0000000000
0631. 2415N 08129W 03048 5017 210 086 100 100 086 03075 0000000000
0632 2416N 08131W 03042 5020 212 091 100 100 092 03066 0000000000
0632. 2417N 08132W 03050 5024 213 090 104 104 090 03069 0000000000
0633 2418N 08134W 03049 5029 210 089 098 098 090 03063 0000000000

[EyELeSs1]

988
SXXX50 KNHC 240625
AF302 2524A WILMA HDOB 06 KNHC
0614 3210N 08415W 06401 0203 227 059 165 373 059 06628 0000000000
0614. 3207N 08414W 06401 0205 227 059 161 373 059 06629 0000000000
0615 3205N 08413W 06400 0206 230 057 161 375 057 06630 0000000000
0615. 3203N 08413W 06401 0208 231 057 161 373 058 06634 0000000000
0616 3200N 08412W 06400 0210 232 055 159 375 056 06634 0000000000
0616. 3158N 08412W 06401 0210 230 056 159 377 056 06636 0000000000
0617 3156N 08411W 06401 0212 227 056 159 369 056 06637 0000000000
0617. 3153N 08411W 06400 0213 227 055 159 361 056 06638 0000000000
0618 3151N 08410W 06400 0214 227 054 155 373 055 06639 0000000000
0618. 3148N 08410W 06401 0214 228 053 155 383 054 06640 0000000000
0619 3146N 08409W 06402 0214 230 053 153 391 053 06641 0000000000
0619. 3144N 08408W 06400 0216 231 052 151 401 054 06641 0000000000
0620 3141N 08408W 06400 0217 231 053 151 405 054 06642 0000000000
0620. 3139N 08407W 06401 0218 230 051 151 399 052 06644 0000000000
0621 3137N 08407W 06401 0219 233 051 147 407 051 06644 0000000000
0621. 3134N 08406W 06401 0220 232 051 149 415 051 06645 0000000000
0622 3132N 08406W 06399 0221 228 052 149 395 052 06647 0000000000
0622. 3129N 08405W 06401 0221 229 051 149 381 051 06647 0000000000
0623 3127N 08405W 06400 0222 226 052 149 389 052 06647 0000000000
0623. 3125N 08404W 06401 0223 225 051 149 377 051 06649 0000000000

That's the next flight coming in, just to clarify. It's going over southern Georgia and northern Florida right now. That's why I haven't been posting those yet.

very true....didn't look at the co-ords..plus the winds were kinda high
was wondering why u weren't posting...

[mtm4319]

889
SXXX50 KNHC 240644
AF305 2424A WILMA HDOB 59 KNHC
0633. 2419N 08135W 03047 5031 211 092 108 102 093 03059 0000000000
0634 2420N 08136W 03047 5035 210 092 106 106 093 03056 0000000000
0634. 2421N 08138W 03046 5039 208 092 104 104 093 03051 0000000000
0635 2422N 08139W 03045 5045 208 092 108 108 093 03044 0000000000
0635. 2423N 08141W 03048 5051 206 097 104 104 098 03042 0000000000
0636 2424N 08142W 03043 5057 210 095 104 104 097 03030 0000000000
0636. 2425N 08144W 03052 5063 208 096 098 098 100 03033 0000000000
0637 2426N 08145W 03045 5069 207 105 086 086 108 03020 0000000000
0637. 2427N 08147W 03050 5076 211 107 080 080 111 03017 0000000100
0638 2428N 08148W 03043 5084 211 103 084 084 105 03003 0000000100
0638. 2429N 08149W 03050 5090 209 105 098 098 106 03003 0000000000
0639 2430N 08151W 03043 5095 212 102 098 098 104 02991 0000000000
0639. 2431N 08152W 03049 5104 215 100 098 098 101 02989 0000000000
0640 2432N 08154W 03048 5111 214 101 090 090 102 02981 0000000000
0640. 2433N 08155W 03050 5116 209 101 088 088 102 02978 0000000000
0641 2434N 08156W 03044 5119 213 106 086 086 109 02968 0000000100
0641. 2435N 08158W 03045 5126 219 106 086 086 109 02963 0000000100
0642 2436N 08159W 03050 5130 217 105 090 090 108 02964 0000000100
0642. 2437N 08200W 03045 5134 217 109 084 084 109 02955 0000000100
0643 2437N 08202W 03044 5139 217 110 084 084 112 02948 0000000100

They're going back toward the north and west.

[EyELeSs1]

0643 2437N 08202W 03044 5139 217 110 084 084 112 02948 0000000100

with more to come

EDIT: quite large area of 100+knt winds

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

If that cat4 winds where taken from 700 millibars or .9 reduce. Then its pretty hard to say it is not with 4 obs of it ranging from 127 knots to 130 knots.

In what quad did they find that 112 knots from?

[mtm4319]

0643 2437N 08202W 03044 5139 217 110 084 084 112 02948 0000000100

with more to come

EDIT: quite large area of 100+knt winds

That's about 20 miles west of the spot where the 130-kt flight level winds were found earlier. Since Wilma has moved east, this point is somewhere in the S quadrant. They're still moving NW though.

[EyELeSs1]

wow 135Knts

[mtm4319]

Uh oh...

190
SXXX50 KNHC 240654
AF305 2424A WILMA HDOB 60 KNHC
0643. 2438N 08203W 03045 5150 214 111 084 084 113 02939 0000000100
0644 2439N 08204W 03050 5159 213 114 082 082 115 02934 0000000100
0644. 2440N 08205W 03045 5170 216 123 078 078 128 02918 0000000100
0645 2441N 08207W 03046 5180 216 128 078 078 130 02909 0000000100
0645. 2442N 08208W 03051 5190 219 131 082 082 134 02904 0000000100
0646 2443N 08209W 03043 5204 222 132 090 090 135 02883 0000000100
0646. 2443N 08210W 03055 5211 221 114 096 096 119 02887 0000000100
0647 2444N 08211W 03043 5222 223 105 100 100 107 02865 0000000100
0647. 2445N 08213W 03044 5229 221 101 104 104 103 02859 0000000100
0648 2446N 08214W 03044 5235 219 098 118 118 100 02852 0000000100
0648. 2447N 08215W 03048 5245 214 086 130 130 092 02846 0000000000
0649 2448N 08217W 03046 5254 214 080 146 146 082 02835 0000000000
0649. 2449N 08218W 03046 5261 217 076 148 148 077 02828 0000000000
0650 2450N 08220W 03046 5267 217 072 154 154 073 02822 0000000000
0650. 2451N 08221W 03050 5273 216 069 154 154 070 02820 0000000000
0651 2452N 08223W 03046 5280 214 067 152 152 067 02809 0000000000
0651. 2453N 08224W 03048 5288 211 060 144 144 063 02804 0000000000
0652 2454N 08226W 03044 5293 209 054 150 150 056 02795 0000000000
0652. 2455N 08227W 03047 5298 210 049 146 146 049 02792 0000000000
0653 2456N 08229W 03047 5303 213 047 140 140 048 02787 0000000000

[EyELeSs1]

*gasp*

140mph surface

[deltadog03]

CAT 4 for SURE

[curtadams]

Where are the eyewall dropsondes? Aren't they trying to verify these measurements