boca_chris wrote:I don't have a good feeling about beta
Please tell me it's NOT because of the LBAR or NHCA98E "models"! The NHCA98E, is a statistical, similar to CLIPER (which stands for CLImatology and PERsistance). The LBAR is usually quite worthless and considerably more erroneous than the dynamical models such as GFDL, UKMET, GFS, and NOGAPS.