Tropical Storm Beryl
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- TheEuropean
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Tropical Storm Beryl
Here we are again:
NRL: no pressure, winds 20 kt.
NRL: no pressure, winds 20 kt.
Last edited by TheEuropean on Tue Jul 18, 2006 9:31 am, edited 2 times in total.
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946
WHXX01 KWBC 171325
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972006) ON 20060717 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060717 1200 060718 0000 060718 1200 060719 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 75.4W 31.3N 75.6W 31.4N 76.0W 31.7N 76.4W
BAMM 31.5N 75.4W 31.2N 76.1W 31.2N 77.2W 31.2N 78.3W
A98E 31.5N 75.4W 31.1N 75.4W 31.4N 74.9W 31.7N 75.3W
LBAR 31.5N 75.4W 31.2N 76.1W 31.7N 77.0W 32.6N 77.8W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 31KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 31KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060719 1200 060720 1200 060721 1200 060722 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.8N 76.8W 32.1N 77.3W 32.0N 77.8W 31.3N 76.6W
BAMM 31.3N 79.2W 31.1N 81.2W 31.2N 83.8W 31.2N 84.8W
A98E 31.7N 75.2W 31.2N 74.9W 31.0N 73.7W 30.9N 72.1W
LBAR 33.4N 78.3W 35.2N 78.5W 36.8N 76.7W 40.5N 69.3W
SHIP 34KTS 40KTS 42KTS 44KTS
DSHP 34KTS 40KTS 28KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.5N LONCUR = 75.4W DIRCUR = 190DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 32.3N LONM12 = 75.2W DIRM12 = 186DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 33.1N LONM24 = 75.2W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
WHXX01 KWBC 171325
CHGHUR
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL972006) ON 20060717 1200 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060717 1200 060718 0000 060718 1200 060719 0000
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 75.4W 31.3N 75.6W 31.4N 76.0W 31.7N 76.4W
BAMM 31.5N 75.4W 31.2N 76.1W 31.2N 77.2W 31.2N 78.3W
A98E 31.5N 75.4W 31.1N 75.4W 31.4N 74.9W 31.7N 75.3W
LBAR 31.5N 75.4W 31.2N 76.1W 31.7N 77.0W 32.6N 77.8W
SHIP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 31KTS
DSHP 20KTS 23KTS 27KTS 31KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060719 1200 060720 1200 060721 1200 060722 1200
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.8N 76.8W 32.1N 77.3W 32.0N 77.8W 31.3N 76.6W
BAMM 31.3N 79.2W 31.1N 81.2W 31.2N 83.8W 31.2N 84.8W
A98E 31.7N 75.2W 31.2N 74.9W 31.0N 73.7W 30.9N 72.1W
LBAR 33.4N 78.3W 35.2N 78.5W 36.8N 76.7W 40.5N 69.3W
SHIP 34KTS 40KTS 42KTS 44KTS
DSHP 34KTS 40KTS 28KTS 27KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 31.5N LONCUR = 75.4W DIRCUR = 190DEG SPDCUR = 4KT
LATM12 = 32.3N LONM12 = 75.2W DIRM12 = 186DEG SPDM12 = 4KT
LATM24 = 33.1N LONM24 = 75.2W
WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 40NM WNDM12 = 20KT
CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1015MB OUTRAD = 150NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM
$$
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- brunota2003
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- cheezyWXguy
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- brunota2003
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brunota2003 wrote::lol: Anyways, who thinks recon will go out tomorrow?
Here is the plan for tomorrow:
ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY..POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 18/1800Z NEAR 35N 72W
First day after my holidays - now the season can start
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- cheezyWXguy
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- brunota2003
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Now you give it permission? can you just go on vacation for the rest of the season then and tell it not to form anything??? I can't wait to see the update to those recon plans and see if they are still scheduled to go out tomorrow plus the TWO at 11:30...will hopefully have some new info on the system...TheEuropean wrote:brunota2003 wrote::lol: Anyways, who thinks recon will go out tomorrow?
Here is the plan for tomorrow:
ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY..POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST
AT 18/1800Z NEAR 35N 72W
First day after my holidays - now the season can start
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I'm not sure, but is it the Wet MJO causing this FAST decrease in shear. I mean yeasterday the Atlantic was full of it, now there is decreasing shear almost everywhere!
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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It's a shame there is no pressure data from this buoy. It's real close.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41002
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41002
Last edited by Stormavoider on Mon Jul 17, 2006 8:55 am, edited 1 time in total.
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The Atlantic is starting to cook!
Now we have 4 waves in the Atlantic; 97L, one in the Central Atlantic, one in the Western Caribbean, and a really organized one off by CapeVerde.
Now we have 4 waves in the Atlantic; 97L, one in the Central Atlantic, one in the Western Caribbean, and a really organized one off by CapeVerde.
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
HurricaneHunter914 wrote:The Atlantic is starting to cook!
Now we have 4 waves in the Atlantic; 97L, one in the Central Atlantic, one in the Western Caribbean, and a really organized one off by CapeVerde.
Never amazes me how things change in just a few days. Not that every area has that good of a chance of developing though.
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Stormavoider wrote:It's a shame there is no pressure data from this buoy. It's real close.
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41002
I noticed that. Why doesn't this buoy have a barometer?
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- 'CaneFreak
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