H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

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KWT
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#561 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 3:52 pm

I agree Derek, sometimes the SFMR is off but given everything I see no reason to doubt its validity this time round.
Also yep the center has become much better stacked as has been mentioned in the last post.
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#562 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 3:55 pm

The pressure will likely bounce around a little bit (wasn't it 985 earlier?) as the centers stack up...how much longer does this flight have, and when does the next one go out?
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#563 Postby artist » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:11 pm

I believe they were to continue with 3 hour fixes up until land fall.
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#564 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:14 pm

Can you confirm that Artist, good news if thats the case.
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#565 Postby artist » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:19 pm

KWT wrote:Can you confirm that Artist, good news if thats the case.



http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAREPRPD_last.shtml?

2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK; CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES.

here you go KWT
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#566 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:45 pm

Good thing that after Dolly makes landfall tomorrow we will have some time to recuperate. Covering the reports and doing the Google maps can be tiresome after three storms in a row. I hope that like in 2003 we can get a break after the D storm.
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#567 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:50 pm

Yeah I bet it is Hurakan, anyway right now we have 2 flights in Dolloy so twice the fun I suppose!
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#568 Postby HURAKAN » Tue Jul 22, 2008 4:52 pm

KWT wrote:Yeah I bet it is Hurakan, anyway right now we have 2 flights in Dolloy so twice the fun I suppose!


Let the fun continue tonight and tomorrow! If the current activity continues until the end, then we will have a lot of fun.
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Re: H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

#569 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:02 pm

The AF plane should be leaving when the NOAA plane gets in there. I don't see a need to have both obs in the recon thread at the same time.
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Re: H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

#570 Postby Thunder44 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:28 pm

Latest VDM shows the pressure has dropped to 984mb. But the eye still remains slightly tilted, which is probably we aren't seeing this storm go through rapid intensification yet.
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#571 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:32 pm

Dropsonde: 984mb splashed into 10 kt winds. That would be 983mb actual pressure I believe.
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#572 Postby KWT » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:40 pm

Yeah Crazy thats probably around 983mbs which is about where the extrap pressure estimated in the last center pass.

Anyway NOAA plane currently heading towards the outer edges of the CDO, should see the winds increase quite a lot from the obs from that plane.
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Re: H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

#573 Postby gotoman38 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:50 pm

This TEAM coverage of active recon is the very best I have ever seen - AWESOME job guys!!!

Can anyone share a link for the GE file that shows wind barbs?

I have the day off tomorrow, so I can help with HDOBS or GE plots.... just let me know - these shifts can be long - I know (I worked on plots for Dean's landfall last year).
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Re: H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

#574 Postby littlevince » Tue Jul 22, 2008 5:54 pm

gotoman38 wrote:Can anyone share a link for the GE file that shows wind barbs?


http://bbs.keyhole.com/ubb/download.php?Number=1206119
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#575 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:11 pm

brunota2003 wrote:The Air Force plane should be bugging out momentarily, letting the NOAA plane take over at the helm.


The Air Force plane turned around for a bit. I'm not so sure they aren't possibly trying to determine the tropical storm force wind field so they can adjust that in a future advisory.
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Re:

#576 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:13 pm

Chris_in_Tampa wrote:
brunota2003 wrote:The Air Force plane should be bugging out momentarily, letting the NOAA plane take over at the helm.


The Air Force plane turned around for a bit. I'm not so sure they aren't possibly trying to determine the tropical storm force wind field so they can adjust that in a future advisory.

They probably are skimming the 35 knot region, yes...but as far as penetrations? They are most likely done, and will be heading home very shortly.
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Re: H Dolly Recon Discussion Thread

#577 Postby drezee » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:16 pm

They are both going into the center!!!! SWEET!!!!!!!!!!!
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#578 Postby dhsgal » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:16 pm

Can someone give me the recon flight data link
to download from another members site?
I did it at home last night but forgot to forward to
work.

Thanks
dhs gal
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#579 Postby brunota2003 » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:17 pm

Are they seriously going to send both in at the same time, on the same heading? Yikes...
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#580 Postby Chris_in_Tampa » Tue Jul 22, 2008 6:18 pm

Recon data:
http://wxgr.nl/index.htm?weer_recon.htm
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