West Pacific: Invest 99W

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very close to the equator this one

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do you think this has much chance of development mate?

[cycloneye]

Panoramic view of Western Pacific and the disturbance.

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Looks like a shrimp.

[HURAKAN]

THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.6N
135.2E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.4N 136.0E, APPROXIMATELY 250 NM SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF KOROR. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
240044Z METOP-A IMAGE DEPICT AN EXPOSED, POORLY-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL
CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THERE
IS A LINE OF DEEP CONVECTION NORTH OF THE CENTER, WHICH IS
ASSOCIATED WITH CONVERGENT LOW-LEVEL FLOW AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT BUT
NO EVIDENCE OF ANY DEEP CONVECTIVE BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM.
A 240042Z ASCAT IMAGE AND SHIP OBSERVATIONS FROM 2AJU5 AND A8IH5
SUPPORT THE WEAK LLCC WITH 10-15 KNOT WINDS AND SLP NEAR 1008MB.
ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR IS LOW, THE ENVIRONMENT IS POOR WITH
DEEP EASTERLY FLOW AND VERY DRY AIR ABOVE 800MB AS DEPICTED ON THE
LATEST SOUNDING FROM KOROR (91408). MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS
ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS DOWNGRADED
TO POOR.

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