Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
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- jasons2k
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
One difference between now and 2005 are the temps in the Gulf of Alaska.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
It looks like the Atlantic has warmed a little bit after a small cooldown in mid may.
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- HouTXmetro
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
cycloneye wrote:ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.
So which is more condusive to Tropical Activity, negative or positive NAO?
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- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
HouTXmetro wrote:cycloneye wrote:ECMWF forecasts more negative NAO at least thru mid June.
So which is more condusive to Tropical Activity, negative or positive NAO?
Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.
Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
The Northern Gulf coast waters are a lot warmer than normal this year.
Same date last year
Same date last year
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Michael
- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
BigA wrote:cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.
Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?
Well,as this topic is about the ssts,I talked in terms of warmer waters with weaker trade winds. Yes,less trades mean less easterly shear.
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
cycloneye wrote:BigA wrote:cycloneye wrote:Definitly negative because less trade winds mean more warmer ssts.
Doesn't a negative NAO also tend to decrease trades, which generally mean less wind shear?
Well,as this topic is about the ssts,I talked in terms of warmer waters with weaker trade winds. Yes,less trades mean less easterly shear.
My bad, I forgot about the topic. No worries.
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- HouTXmetro
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- somethingfunny
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
This is an image of SST today vs 2005. The Northern Gulf is even warmer now then in 2005, also warmer off Africa. Also note we are pretty much on par with 2005 across most of the MDR....amazing
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Michael
My gosh that is quite unreal!
If that map was against the average SST's for the time of year I'd be impressed, the fact its actually vs 2005 is stunning!
If that map was against the average SST's for the time of year I'd be impressed, the fact its actually vs 2005 is stunning!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Wow,how fast the GOM has warmed in only a relative short period of time.It was the other day that it was cold.If you compare 2005 with 2010,it is warmer this year.
2005
2010
2005
2010
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
And we are still stuck in this pattern. Above normal temps into the upper 90's next week. With some of the predictions of landfalls in the Gulf region, this is bad news
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Michael
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
Here is another image comparing 2010 to 2005....This is scary! This is comparing to 2005!
2010
2005
2010
2005
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Michael
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
The New Euro long range shows a monster ridge in place over the Eastern U.S., the Gulf will continue to bake.
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Michael
- cycloneye
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Re: Atlantic Sea Surface Temperatures and Anomalies
And this is much more troublesome as the Heat Potential this year is way up than last year.
June 3 2009
June 3 2010
June 3 2009
June 3 2010
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We really are well ahead of where we were in 2009 thats for sure, the difference in the MDR is amazing!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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