ATL: FIONA - Models

[ROCK]

I am just really wondering what Gator is going to post now....

[boca]

I am just really wondering what Gator is going to post now....

I think Fiona will continue moving WNW due to the seperation between the two storms and high pressure building in behind Earl. My 2 cents.

[Bocadude85]

I am just really wondering what Gator is going to post now....

I think Fiona will continue moving WNW due to the seperation between the two storms and high pressure building in behind Earl. My 2 cents.

I dont know.. Im still thinking there is a better then not chance of Fiona dissipating due to strong shear

[fci]

Despite all the signs that Fiona might slow down and not follow the recurve train; the models on the sites all show unification of her turning NW and then North.
However, when the NHC starts talking about "a clockwise loop" in the discussion, memories of Betsy and Jeanne come through.

Rock, might be one of those "throw climatology away" storms. I know you relish when that happens.
I'm still in the recurve camp but looking for a place to jump off when needed.

[artist]

Despite all the signs that Fiona might slow down and not follow the recurve train; the models on the sites all show unification of her turning NW and then North.
However, when the NHC starts talking about "a clockwise loop" in the discussion, memories of Betsy and Jeanne come through.

Rock, might be one of those "throw climatology away" storms. I know you relish when that happens.
I'm still in the recurve camp but looking for a place to jump off when needed.

oh dear, I remember Jeanne too well. Guess I better go read the advisory.

[cycloneye]

18z Tropical Models

Code: Select all

WHXX01 KWBC 011842
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1842 UTC WED SEP 1 2010
 
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
 
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
 
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIONA (AL082010) 20100901 1800 UTC
 
        ...00 HRS...   ...12 HRS...   ...24 HRS. ..   ...36 HRS...
        100901  1800   100902  0600   100902  1800   100903  0600
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    19.3N  62.2W   21.5N  65.0W   23.8N  67.3W   26.0N  68.6W
BAMD    19.3N  62.2W   20.9N  64.8W   22.0N  66.7W   22.1N  68.2W
BAMM    19.3N  62.2W   21.2N  64.8W   22.7N  66.9W   23.6N  68.3W
LBAR    19.3N  62.2W   21.2N  64.7W   22.8N  66.9W   24.2N  68.9W
SHIP        50KTS          53KTS          54KTS          54KTS
DSHP        50KTS          53KTS          54KTS          54KTS
 
        ...48 HRS...   ...72 HRS...   ...96 HRS. ..   ..120 HRS...
        100903  1800   100904  1800   100905  1800   100906  1800
 
         LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON     LAT    LON
BAMS    28.2N  68.9W   31.6N  68.3W   35.9N  66.7W   41.4N  61.4W
BAMD    21.5N  70.0W   19.5N  75.0W   18.3N  81.1W   18.6N  86.7W
BAMM    23.9N  69.5W   23.5N  71.8W   22.7N  75.0W   22.2N  78.4W
LBAR    25.2N  70.3W   24.6N  72.1W   23.4N  73.8W   21.1N  76.2W
SHIP        51KTS          47KTS          46KTS          44KTS
DSHP        51KTS          47KTS          46KTS          44KTS
 
         ...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR =  19.3N LONCUR =  62.2W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR =  16KT
LATM12 =  17.2N LONM12 =  59.8W DIRM12 = 302DEG SPDM12 =  13KT
LATM24 =  16.3N LONM24 =  56.9W
WNDCUR =   50KT RMAXWD =   60NM WNDM12 =   45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD =  120NM SDEPTH =   M
RD34NE =   90NM RD34SE =  120NM RD34SW =    0NM RD34NW =  60NM


[ROCK]

Nice BAMMs there Luis....hard left turn...