ATL: FIONA - Models
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Re:
ROCK wrote:I am just really wondering what Gator is going to post now....
I think Fiona will continue moving WNW due to the seperation between the two storms and high pressure building in behind Earl. My 2 cents.
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- Bocadude85
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Re: Re:
boca wrote:ROCK wrote:I am just really wondering what Gator is going to post now....
I think Fiona will continue moving WNW due to the seperation between the two storms and high pressure building in behind Earl. My 2 cents.
I dont know.. Im still thinking there is a better then not chance of Fiona dissipating due to strong shear
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Despite all the signs that Fiona might slow down and not follow the recurve train; the models on the sites all show unification of her turning NW and then North.
However, when the NHC starts talking about "a clockwise loop" in the discussion, memories of Betsy and Jeanne come through.
Rock, might be one of those "throw climatology away" storms. I know you relish when that happens.
I'm still in the recurve camp but looking for a place to jump off when needed.
However, when the NHC starts talking about "a clockwise loop" in the discussion, memories of Betsy and Jeanne come through.
Rock, might be one of those "throw climatology away" storms. I know you relish when that happens.
I'm still in the recurve camp but looking for a place to jump off when needed.
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Re:
fci wrote:Despite all the signs that Fiona might slow down and not follow the recurve train; the models on the sites all show unification of her turning NW and then North.
However, when the NHC starts talking about "a clockwise loop" in the discussion, memories of Betsy and Jeanne come through.
Rock, might be one of those "throw climatology away" storms. I know you relish when that happens.
I'm still in the recurve camp but looking for a place to jump off when needed.
oh dear, I remember Jeanne too well. Guess I better go read the advisory.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: FIONA - Models
18z Tropical Models
Code: Select all
WHXX01 KWBC 011842
CHGHUR
TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1842 UTC WED SEP 1 2010
DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.
ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR
TROPICAL CYCLONE FIONA (AL082010) 20100901 1800 UTC
...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...
100901 1800 100902 0600 100902 1800 100903 0600
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 19.3N 62.2W 21.5N 65.0W 23.8N 67.3W 26.0N 68.6W
BAMD 19.3N 62.2W 20.9N 64.8W 22.0N 66.7W 22.1N 68.2W
BAMM 19.3N 62.2W 21.2N 64.8W 22.7N 66.9W 23.6N 68.3W
LBAR 19.3N 62.2W 21.2N 64.7W 22.8N 66.9W 24.2N 68.9W
SHIP 50KTS 53KTS 54KTS 54KTS
DSHP 50KTS 53KTS 54KTS 54KTS
...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...
100903 1800 100904 1800 100905 1800 100906 1800
LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMS 28.2N 68.9W 31.6N 68.3W 35.9N 66.7W 41.4N 61.4W
BAMD 21.5N 70.0W 19.5N 75.0W 18.3N 81.1W 18.6N 86.7W
BAMM 23.9N 69.5W 23.5N 71.8W 22.7N 75.0W 22.2N 78.4W
LBAR 25.2N 70.3W 24.6N 72.1W 23.4N 73.8W 21.1N 76.2W
SHIP 51KTS 47KTS 46KTS 44KTS
DSHP 51KTS 47KTS 46KTS 44KTS
...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 19.3N LONCUR = 62.2W DIRCUR = 305DEG SPDCUR = 16KT
LATM12 = 17.2N LONM12 = 59.8W DIRM12 = 302DEG SPDM12 = 13KT
LATM24 = 16.3N LONM24 = 56.9W
WNDCUR = 50KT RMAXWD = 60NM WNDM12 = 45KT
CENPRS = 1000MB OUTPRS = 1011MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 90NM RD34SE = 120NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 60NM
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