WPAC: INVEST 94W [Goring]
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WPAC: INVEST 94W [Goring]
Man they are popping up all over the place now..
This one is located at: 7N 135E Near Yap.
This one is located at: 7N 135E Near Yap.
Last edited by senorpepr on Sun Jul 10, 2011 2:01 pm, edited 3 times in total.
Reason: JMA downgrade from TD
Reason: JMA downgrade from TD
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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Re: WPAC: Invest 94W
A fairly elongated circulation was indicated on the ascat on the last pass in this region, but one none the less.
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Satellites, Charts and Forecasting tools for East Asia at WESTERNPACIFICWEATHER.COM
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Re:
StormingB81 wrote:
Here is the percentage probabilty as it is moving on up..
I guess I should have this link, but I don't, could you pass it to me?
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Satellites, Charts and Forecasting tools for East Asia at WESTERNPACIFICWEATHER.COM
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Re: WPAC: Invest 94W
euro forecasting a large tropical cyclone to develop east of luzon.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
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Things about to get interesting in Wpac and ECMWF has been hinting for a few days now of formation of something near NE Philippines. CMC developing 94W quite aggressively but other models are quite modest with the intensity.
Hey Storming - not wishing to be a spelling nazi but some of your posts are quite difficult to understand these days!
StormingB81 wrote:more then it was 2 days ago..still nothng in the NRL site and TWC..however remember theyare calling ofr it to develop after July though..just have to watch ad wait..SHear sis till a little high around the storm
Hey Storming - not wishing to be a spelling nazi but some of your posts are quite difficult to understand these days!
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Re: Re:
Typhoon Hunter wrote:Things about to get interesting in Wpac and ECMWF has been hinting for a few days now of formation of something near NE Philippines. CMC developing 94W quite aggressively but other models are quite modest with the intensity.StormingB81 wrote:more then it was 2 days ago..still nothng in the NRL site and TWC..however remember theyare calling ofr it to develop after July though..just have to watch ad wait..SHear sis till a little high around the storm
Hey Storming - not wishing to be a spelling nazi but some of your posts are quite difficult to understand these days!
SOrry sometimes I type really quick and don;t check spelling..bad habbit of mine just to hurry up and post....I know I need to slow down and look as smart as a 29 year old..lol So I am sorry. I will slow down and check..Writing is better then typing.
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Re: WPAC: Invest 94W
Lol no worries. I know what it's like, so much to say and so little time
Our blob has now been upgraded to LOW by JTWC:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0N 135.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 25 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 012348Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS WEAK (10-
15 KNOT) FLOW ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC WITH STRONGER
(15-20 KNOT) WESTERLY FLOW FARTHER TO THE SOUTH. OBSERVATIONS FROM
PALAU SHOW NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 6 KNOTS AND AN OVERALL 1 MB
PRESSURE DROP TO 1007 MB IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE NEAR EQUATORIAL
RIDE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
Our blob has now been upgraded to LOW by JTWC:
(1) AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 7.0N 135.0E,
APPROXIMATELY 25 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALAU. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
IMAGERY DEPICTS A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC)
WITH FLARING DEEP CONVECTION. A 012348Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS WEAK (10-
15 KNOT) FLOW ON THE EASTERN PERIPHERY OF THE LLCC WITH STRONGER
(15-20 KNOT) WESTERLY FLOW FARTHER TO THE SOUTH. OBSERVATIONS FROM
PALAU SHOW NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AT 6 KNOTS AND AN OVERALL 1 MB
PRESSURE DROP TO 1007 MB IN THE PAST 24 HOURS. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF THE NEAR EQUATORIAL
RIDE AXIS IN AN AREA OF LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND GOOD DIVERGENCE
ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15
KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB.
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO LOW.
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