EPAC: DORA - Remnants

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Re: EPAC: DORA - Tropical Storm

#321 Postby Yellow Evan » Sat Jul 23, 2011 11:04 pm

Looks dead once again.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Tropical Storm

#322 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 24, 2011 9:36 am

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011

...DORA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 114.2W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND DORA
IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH DORA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Tropical Storm

#323 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:18 am

Dora looks good this morning. Anyone here think it will be around for another 36 hours? It was suppose to be dead already.
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#324 Postby HURAKAN » Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:20 am

Image

Not that good, should die soon
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Re:

#325 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:28 am

HURAKAN wrote:Image

Not that good, should die soon


Better than last night at least. It had no convection at 0300 UTC, and now it has some.
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#326 Postby jaguarjace » Sun Jul 24, 2011 10:53 am

Dora sure is the explorer :lol:
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Re:

#327 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 24, 2011 11:29 am

jaguarjace wrote:Dora sure is the explorer :lol:


1999's Dora is more of an explorer than this one, but yea 2011's Dora is epic.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants

#328 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 24, 2011 3:48 pm

Hasta la vista Dora!

Last Advisory


POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
200 PM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011

A NOAA AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING DORA ON A RESEARCH MISSION FOUND THAT
THE CYCLONE HAS SPUN DOWN TO AN INTENSITY OF AROUND 25 KT.
ALTHOUGH A SMALL PATCH OF DIMINISHING SHOWERS HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN
THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION...THE SYSTEM LACKS
SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CONSIDERED AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DORA.

THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...
AND THE CURRENT MOTION IS NEAR 325/6. THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE
STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE WEST OF A WEAK MID- TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE
OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES. THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN...THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.

FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 24/2100Z 23.9N 114.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 25/0600Z 24.7N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/1800Z 25.7N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 26/0600Z 26.6N 116.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants

#329 Postby Fyzn94 » Sun Jul 24, 2011 5:11 pm

rest in pieces.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants

#330 Postby Macrocane » Sun Jul 24, 2011 5:20 pm

It was a very nice cyclone to watch.
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants

#331 Postby cycloneye » Sun Jul 24, 2011 5:21 pm

Macrocane wrote:It was a very nice cyclone to watch.


Definitly,a text hurricane that was almost annular at one point and almost a cat 5. Also,it was a big fish that stayed offshore.
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#332 Postby Yellow Evan » Sun Jul 24, 2011 9:24 pm

Oh well, Dora is gone. It was sure epic though.
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#333 Postby KWT » Mon Jul 25, 2011 5:45 am

Yep Dora was a cool system to watch, very interesting to see how it evolved!
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