EPAC: DORA - Remnants
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Tropical Storm
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011
...DORA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 114.2W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND DORA
IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH DORA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
TROPICAL STORM DORA ADVISORY NUMBER 25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011
...DORA EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT...
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.5N 114.2W
ABOUT 150 MI...240 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DORA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.2 WEST. DORA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND DORA
IS LIKELY TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW BY TONIGHT.
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
SURF...SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH DORA WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE ALONG THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Tropical Storm
Dora looks good this morning. Anyone here think it will be around for another 36 hours? It was suppose to be dead already.
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- Yellow Evan
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Re:
HURAKAN wrote:
Not that good, should die soon
Better than last night at least. It had no convection at 0300 UTC, and now it has some.
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- jaguarjace
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Dora sure is the explorer
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- Yellow Evan
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Re:
jaguarjace wrote:Dora sure is the explorer
1999's Dora is more of an explorer than this one, but yea 2011's Dora is epic.
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- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants
Hasta la vista Dora!
Last Advisory
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
200 PM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011
A NOAA AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING DORA ON A RESEARCH MISSION FOUND THAT
THE CYCLONE HAS SPUN DOWN TO AN INTENSITY OF AROUND 25 KT.
ALTHOUGH A SMALL PATCH OF DIMINISHING SHOWERS HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN
THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION...THE SYSTEM LACKS
SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CONSIDERED AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DORA.
THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...
AND THE CURRENT MOTION IS NEAR 325/6. THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE
STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE WEST OF A WEAK MID- TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE
OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES. THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN...THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/2100Z 23.9N 114.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 25/0600Z 24.7N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/1800Z 25.7N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 26/0600Z 26.6N 116.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Last Advisory
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DORA DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042011
200 PM PDT SUN JUL 24 2011
A NOAA AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING DORA ON A RESEARCH MISSION FOUND THAT
THE CYCLONE HAS SPUN DOWN TO AN INTENSITY OF AROUND 25 KT.
ALTHOUGH A SMALL PATCH OF DIMINISHING SHOWERS HAS BEEN EVIDENT IN
THE SOUTHWEST QUADRANT OF THE CIRCULATION...THE SYSTEM LACKS
SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CONSIDERED AS A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. THEREFORE THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON DORA.
THE CYCLONE HAS MOVED A LITTLE SLOWER THAN PREVIOUSLY ESTIMATED...
AND THE CURRENT MOTION IS NEAR 325/6. THE REMNANT LOW SHOULD BE
STEERED BY THE FLOW TO THE WEST OF A WEAK MID- TO LOW-LEVEL RIDGE
OVER NORTHWESTERN MEXICO UNTIL THE CIRCULATION DISSIPATES. THE
OFFICIAL TRACK FORECAST IS FAIRLY SIMILAR TO...BUT A LITTLE SLOWER
THAN...THAT FROM THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY.
FOR FUTURE INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW PLEASE SEE HIGH SEAS
FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS
HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN02 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 24/2100Z 23.9N 114.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 25/0600Z 24.7N 115.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 25/1800Z 25.7N 115.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 26/0600Z 26.6N 116.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 26/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants
rest in pieces.
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NOTICE: I cannot give an expert analysis. Most of my "observations" are made visually with the help of only vital information provided by public advisories.
- cycloneye
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Re: EPAC: DORA - Remnants
Macrocane wrote:It was a very nice cyclone to watch.
Definitly,a text hurricane that was almost annular at one point and almost a cat 5. Also,it was a big fish that stayed offshore.
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- Yellow Evan
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Yep Dora was a cool system to watch, very interesting to see how it evolved!
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
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