WPAC: INVEST 90W
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WPAC: INVEST 90W
With Muifa and Merbok still kicking in the Western Pacific...
90WINVEST.15kts-1010mb
117N-1426E
90WINVEST.15kts-1010mb
117N-1426E
Last edited by dexterlabio on Sat Aug 06, 2011 8:09 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: WPAC- Invest 90W
AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 11.7N 142.7E,
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE, GUAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISPLACED DEEP CONVECTION TO
THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. A 042344Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS THE LLCC
WITH WEAK 5- TO 10-KNOT EASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY AND
STRONGER 15- TO 20-KNOT WESTERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
APPROXIMATELY 175 NM SOUTHWEST OF ANDERSEN AIR FORCE BASE, GUAM.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A DEVELOPING LOW
LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH DISPLACED DEEP CONVECTION TO
THE SOUTHWEST OF THE CENTER. A 042344Z ASCAT PASS DEPICTS THE LLCC
WITH WEAK 5- TO 10-KNOT EASTERLIES ALONG THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY AND
STRONGER 15- TO 20-KNOT WESTERLIES ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY.
UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED IN AN AREA OF
WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE
TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
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Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
NWS for the Western Pacific
https://www.weather.gov/gum/
Re: WPAC- Invest 90W
dexterlabio wrote:With Muifa and Merbok still kicking in the Western Pacific...
90WINVEST.15kts-1010mb
117N-1426E
dont need any more storms in your vicinity for awhile....not after Typhoon Muifa...
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- StormingB81
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Re: WPAC- Invest 90W
not much model supporting its development, though some shows formation of a weak system.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: WPAC: Invest 90W
This became a nice blob. Though remains very disorganized to look at, in my opinion...
(the one on the left is 90W)
(the one on the left is 90W)
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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- StormingB81
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- StormingB81
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Re: WPAC: Invest 90W
THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 11.6N
142.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST
OF ANDERSEN AB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF
A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 06/0041Z ASCAT PASS
SHOWS 10-15 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LLCC WITH ONLY
5-10 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN HALF. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL AND NORTHWEST OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND FAVORABLE (10-15
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
************************
Yeah euro shows a closed system running towards Okinawa, but I suppose they mean a weak one. Too early to tell if it will stay weak like that but considering the environment around it up to the north, I have to agree that development wouldn't be that aggressive, if not too slow...
142.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 137.0E, APPROXIMATELY 450 NM WEST
OF ANDERSEN AB, GUAM. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS
PERSISTENT CONVECTION ALONG THE NORTHERN AND WESTERN PERIPHERIES OF
A WEAK LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 06/0041Z ASCAT PASS
SHOWS 10-15 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE EASTERN HALF OF THE LLCC WITH ONLY
5-10 KNOT WINDS ALONG THE WESTERN HALF. UPPER LEVEL ANALYSIS
INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED SOUTH OF A TROPICAL UPPER
TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT) CELL AND NORTHWEST OF A WEAK UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE AXIS IN A REGION OF WEAK DIVERGENCE ALOFT AND FAVORABLE (10-15
KNOT) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURES ARE ALSO
FAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE
ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED
TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
************************
Yeah euro shows a closed system running towards Okinawa, but I suppose they mean a weak one. Too early to tell if it will stay weak like that but considering the environment around it up to the north, I have to agree that development wouldn't be that aggressive, if not too slow...
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- StormingB81
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Re: WPAC: INVEST 90W
90W gone and replaced by 92W. Please conserve invest numbers. lol kidding.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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