CPAC: INVEST 93C

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Kingarabian
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CPAC: INVEST 93C

#1 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Oct 17, 2011 2:36 am

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_cp932011.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201110162038
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, CP, C, , , , , 93, 2011, DB, O, 2011101618, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , CP932011
CP, 93, 2011101518, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1592W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
CP, 93, 2011101600, , BEST, 0, 100N, 1598W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
CP, 93, 2011101606, , BEST, 0, 99N, 1603W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
CP, 93, 2011101612, , BEST, 0, 96N, 1612W, 20, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
CP, 93, 2011101618, , BEST, 0, 95N, 1621W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 150, 60, 0, 0,
CP, 93, 2011101700, , BEST, 0, 95N, 1625W, 25, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1011, 125, 60, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
CP, 93, 2011101706, , BEST, 0, 95N, 1630W, 25, 1010, DB, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1012, 115, 60, 0, 0, C, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, S,
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Kingarabian
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#2 Postby Kingarabian » Mon Oct 17, 2011 2:38 am

For the central north Pacific, between 140°W and 180.

1. A weak surface low centered about 900 miles south southwest of Lihue, Hawaii is moving slowly westward. This low has disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with it. No significant development of this system is expected during the next couple of days, since it is expected to remain embedded within an east to west oriented surface trough. There is a low chance, near 0 percent, of this system becoming a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours.
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#3 Postby Chacor » Mon Oct 17, 2011 10:20 am

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AN EAST TO WEST ORIENTED SURFACE
TROUGH LOCATED ABOUT 900 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF LIHUE HAVE
INCREASED IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO SIGNS OF INCREASED ORGANIZATION
ALONG THIS TROUGH. ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE
FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES SLOWLY WESTWARD. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...
10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
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No Ioke Time

#4 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Oct 17, 2011 6:01 pm

I'm going to take a guess and say this won't develop. The Cpac has been extremely quiet during the past few years. These sure aren't the days of Ioke.
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#5 Postby Chacor » Mon Oct 17, 2011 7:20 pm

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 840 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST
OF HONOLULU WAS MOVING WEST SLOWLY. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE VICINITY
OF THIS WEAK SYSTEM CONTINUED TO GRADUALLY DIMINISH SINCE THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. IT WAS NEARLY VOID OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON.
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS DO NOT APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR SIGNIFICANT
DEVELOPMENT DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE IN
THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
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#6 Postby Kingarabian » Wed Oct 19, 2011 3:25 am

Well as usual with other CPAC storms, this one bites the dust.

BEGIN
CPHC_ATCF
invest_DEACTIVATE_cp932011.ren
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201110181449
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
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