ATL: SEAN - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#101 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:18 pm

I can post them when you leave, just let me know.
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#102 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:19 pm

Now a peak SFMR of 52 kts in SE Quad.

911
URNT15 KNHC 101715
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 19 20111110
170530 2949N 06934W 8113 01753 9946 +141 +062 229049 049 038 004 00
170600 2950N 06935W 8120 01745 9949 +135 +064 228050 050 038 003 00
170630 2951N 06936W 8121 01741 9951 +129 +065 232053 054 040 003 00
170700 2952N 06937W 8112 01749 9947 +130 +066 235052 053 042 007 00
170730 2953N 06939W 8122 01735 9946 +128 +065 236051 052 044 008 00
170800 2955N 06940W 8122 01733 9938 +137 +062 237056 057 043 005 00
170830 2956N 06941W 8114 01738 9933 +138 +061 236055 056 040 004 00
170900 2957N 06942W 8120 01728 9931 +135 +063 234056 057 042 003 00
170930 2958N 06944W 8119 01726 9928 +134 +064 234056 057 042 005 00
171000 2959N 06945W 8115 01728 9929 +127 +066 234058 058 043 008 00
171030 3000N 06946W 8121 01719 9926 +126 +066 235058 058 044 007 00
171100 3001N 06947W 8125 01713 9927 +119 +065 237060 060 045 011 00
171130 3002N 06949W 8121 01712 9918 +126 +063 236060 061 046 011 00
171200 3003N 06950W 8127 01696 9919 +115 +063 235061 062 051 025 03
171230 3004N 06951W 8114 01708 9910 +119 +061 239061 062 052 022 00
171300 3005N 06952W 8121 01697 9902 +124 +061 247061 063 048 012 00
171330 3006N 06953W 8117 01695 9894 +128 +062 249054 059 047 012 00
171400 3007N 06955W 8121 01692 9886 +138 +063 245048 049 043 004 03
171430 3009N 06956W 8122 01686 9880 +142 +066 243045 046 042 006 03
171500 3010N 06957W 8120 01686 9875 +143 +069 241043 044 043 005 00
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#103 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:21 pm

Heading for the center now:

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#104 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:28 pm

Passing through the center now. Looks like 982mb:

URNT15 KNHC 101725
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 20 20111110
171530 3011N 06957W 8119 01682 9872 +140 +074 243044 046 040 008 00
171600 3013N 06958W 8118 01678 9870 +138 +077 241042 043 036 004 00
171630 3014N 06959W 8120 01673 9860 +145 +079 242042 042 030 003 00
171700 3016N 07000W 8121 01670 9850 +155 +079 245038 041 028 001 00
171730 3017N 07001W 8119 01667 9844 +158 +082 244035 036 028 002 00
171800 3019N 07002W 8114 01667 9842 +153 +086 233031 032 028 002 00
171830 3020N 07003W 8121 01656 9842 +149 +089 230029 031 026 003 00
171900 3022N 07004W 8119 01657 9837 +150 +093 230022 024 024 003 03
171930 3023N 07005W 8118 01654 9832 +157 +096 243015 018 020 003 03
172000 3024N 07006W 8119 01656 9831 +155 +099 256011 012 015 003 03
172030 3026N 07006W 8118 01655 9829 +157 +101 257009 010 012 002 03
172100 3028N 07007W 8118 01655 9830 +156 +103 241004 004 012 003 03
172130 3029N 07007W 8118 01658 9832 +157 +105 120001 003 006 003 00
172200 3031N 07007W 8127 01655 9838 +157 +107 130005 005 006 004 03
172230 3032N 07006W 8113 01666 9834 +160 +108 145006 006 001 003 03
172300 3032N 07004W 8123 01653 9830 +161 +110 149006 006 009 001 03
172330 3032N 07002W 8122 01654 9826 +165 +112 145008 009 009 002 00
172400 3032N 07000W 8114 01658 9823 +166 +116 149015 019 022 004 00
172430 3032N 06958W 8110 01664 9832 +154 +119 172022 024 024 004 00
172500 3032N 06956W 8123 01656 9838 +153 +119 183026 027 023 003 00
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#105 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:31 pm

Center near 30.5N/70.1W. Appears to be moving ENE now. Gotta go - time for lunch!

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#106 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:40 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101735
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 21 20111110
172530 3032N 06954W 8117 01666 9842 +151 +118 187028 029 024 002 00
172600 3032N 06952W 8113 01673 9847 +149 +117 189031 032 026 003 03
172630 3032N 06950W 8123 01667 9843 +159 +114 185035 037 029 003 00
172700 3031N 06948W 8115 01676 9857 +142 +112 190039 041 034 007 00
172730 3031N 06946W 8120 01676 9873 +125 +111 191040 042 039 007 00
172800 3031N 06944W 8118 01680 9872 +131 +106 193042 043 040 009 00
172830 3031N 06943W 8122 01677 9872 +136 +099 194043 045 041 008 00
172900 3031N 06941W 8116 01686 9883 +126 +096 196049 054 045 027 03
172930 3031N 06939W 8115 01694 9890 +124 +092 191053 056 047 016 03
173000 3031N 06937W 8117 01695 9895 +123 +088 191058 059 043 010 00
173030 3031N 06935W 8113 01701 9903 +120 +083 192056 057 049 017 03
173100 3031N 06933W 8125 01694 9906 +120 +082 193058 062 049 020 00
173130 3031N 06931W 8132 01694 9913 +119 +080 191059 063 048 015 00
173200 3031N 06929W 8115 01714 9918 +121 +079 189057 060 047 015 00
173230 3031N 06927W 8124 01711 9920 +125 +078 188056 057 045 008 00
173300 3031N 06925W 8117 01721 9924 +126 +077 192054 055 044 007 00
173330 3031N 06923W 8122 01722 9936 +117 +076 190055 057 042 009 00
173400 3031N 06921W 8118 01728 9935 +126 +076 187054 056 042 008 00
173430 3031N 06919W 8111 01739 9927 +141 +076 187051 051 041 004 00
173500 3030N 06917W 8126 01726 9937 +131 +078 189052 055 039 005 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#107 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:49 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101745
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 22 20111110
173530 3030N 06915W 8129 01727 9950 +117 +080 190053 054 039 007 00
173600 3030N 06913W 8114 01745 9947 +126 +080 191053 054 037 006 00
173630 3030N 06911W 8125 01733 9942 +137 +079 190052 052 039 005 00
173700 3030N 06910W 8120 01742 9941 +140 +079 188053 053 037 004 00
173730 3030N 06908W 8120 01744 9944 +139 +081 188052 053 036 004 00
173800 3030N 06906W 8118 01747 9948 +135 +083 191053 054 036 005 00
173830 3030N 06904W 8113 01757 9951 +134 +085 193054 054 037 001 00
173900 3030N 06902W 8121 01750 9954 +134 +087 192052 053 034 002 00
173930 3030N 06900W 8115 01756 9957 +135 +090 192051 052 033 002 00
174000 3030N 06858W 8123 01751 9959 +133 +092 192051 051 034 001 00
174030 3030N 06856W 8117 01760 9958 +137 +095 192051 051 033 001 00
174100 3030N 06854W 8121 01756 9960 +135 +094 193050 050 033 001 00
174130 3030N 06852W 8114 01765 9962 +135 +094 193050 050 032 002 00
174200 3030N 06850W 8118 01762 9965 +133 +097 193049 050 031 002 00
174230 3029N 06848W 8121 01759 9968 +133 +097 193048 049 031 001 00
174300 3029N 06846W 8118 01763 9966 +135 +097 192048 050 031 002 00
174330 3029N 06844W 8123 01761 9967 +137 +097 192048 048 030 003 00
174400 3029N 06842W 8114 01771 9967 +139 +097 192048 048 030 002 00
174430 3029N 06840W 8114 01775 9970 +139 +098 190047 048 029 003 00
174500 3029N 06838W 8114 01774 9972 +138 +099 190046 046 032 000 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 114736
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: SEAN - Advisories

#108 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:55 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SEAN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
100 PM EST THU NOV 10 2011

...AIRCRAFT CONFIRMS 65 MPH WINDS IN SEAN...


SUMMARY OF 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 70.0W
ABOUT 330 MI...535 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24
HOURS.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA
WEATHER SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 PM EST...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.0 WEST. SEAN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO...AND SEAN COULD STILL BECOME A HURRICANE. HOWEVER...WEAKENING
IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN BY LATE FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON BERMUDA BY THIS
EVENING.

RAINFALL...SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ON
BERMUDA.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 PM EST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#109 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 12:58 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101755
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 23 20111110
174530 3029N 06836W 8122 01768 9973 +136 +100 189045 046 032 000 00
174600 3029N 06834W 8121 01771 9976 +135 +101 190045 045 032 001 00
174630 3029N 06832W 8109 01781 9983 +126 +103 196045 047 032 005 00
174700 3029N 06830W 8127 01767 9981 +132 +104 195042 043 032 001 00
174730 3029N 06828W 8116 01779 9982 +132 +102 195043 044 033 002 00
174800 3029N 06826W 8118 01778 9983 +134 +099 196046 046 033 003 00
174830 3029N 06824W 8125 01778 9992 +128 +100 197044 045 031 003 03
174900 3030N 06823W 8117 01787 9999 +122 +102 189044 046 /// /// 03
174930 3032N 06824W 8125 01773 9985 +131 +100 189042 043 033 004 03
175000 3033N 06825W 8119 01778 9983 +135 +098 186043 043 036 002 03
175030 3035N 06825W 8120 01773 9980 +135 +097 184044 045 037 002 00
175100 3037N 06826W 8119 01774 9982 +130 +098 181048 052 035 003 00
175130 3039N 06827W 8115 01778 9987 +125 +100 181045 048 035 006 00
175200 3041N 06827W 8115 01778 9981 +131 +098 179046 048 038 004 00
175230 3043N 06828W 8120 01769 9981 +129 +096 178043 044 033 002 00
175300 3045N 06829W 8115 01777 9981 +131 +096 182044 044 037 001 00
175330 3047N 06830W 8114 01778 9979 +133 +095 183045 045 037 002 00
175400 3049N 06830W 8119 01771 9979 +130 +095 180044 045 038 001 00
175430 3051N 06831W 8123 01767 9976 +134 +095 180043 044 037 001 00
175500 3053N 06832W 8114 01776 9976 +133 +095 177044 045 036 001 00
$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#110 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:08 pm

000
URNT12 KNHC 101743
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL192011
A. 10/17:21:30Z
B. 30 deg 29 min N
070 deg 07 min W
C. 850 mb 1267 m
D. 52 kt
E. 147 deg 28 nm
F. 245 deg 63 kt
G. 148 deg 27 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 13 C / 1824 m
J. 16 C / 1832 m
K. 11 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 12345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF309 0119A SEAN OB 05
MAX FL WIND 63 KT SE QUAD 17:13:00Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 63 KT E QUAD 17:31:30Z
CLDS IN CTR BLO
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#111 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:10 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101805
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 24 20111110
175530 3055N 06832W 8121 01768 9973 +138 +096 176044 045 034 002 00
175600 3057N 06833W 8118 01772 9973 +139 +097 176044 045 033 002 00
175630 3059N 06834W 8118 01771 9972 +137 +098 174047 048 034 004 03
175700 3101N 06835W 8121 01766 9982 +123 +100 173046 046 035 005 00
175730 3103N 06835W 8117 01769 9979 +124 +100 171046 047 037 006 00
175800 3105N 06836W 8114 01774 9985 +117 +098 173043 044 037 006 00
175830 3106N 06837W 8113 01772 9983 +118 +094 173044 046 040 014 03
175900 3108N 06838W 8124 01763 9987 +114 +092 172044 045 044 014 03
175930 3110N 06838W 8113 01775 9984 +119 +089 168041 043 040 017 03
180000 3112N 06840W 8118 01772 9981 +122 +086 167042 043 035 005 03
180030 3114N 06841W 8125 01761 9979 +125 +086 166040 041 033 004 00
180100 3115N 06842W 8116 01767 9979 +124 +087 164041 042 035 006 03
180130 3117N 06844W 8118 01765 9978 +126 +091 163042 044 032 008 03
180200 3119N 06845W 8111 01774 9974 +130 +093 164043 044 035 005 00
180230 3121N 06846W 8120 01765 9978 +123 +094 161041 041 037 003 00
180300 3122N 06846W 8120 01769 9974 +130 +095 159042 043 033 001 03
180330 3124N 06847W 8118 01769 9975 +129 +096 159042 043 033 002 00
180400 3126N 06847W 8117 01768 9975 +131 +097 156041 042 032 002 00
180430 3128N 06848W 8119 01767 9973 +133 +098 153041 042 033 003 00
180500 3130N 06848W 8121 01767 9973 +133 +098 152041 041 032 001 03
$$
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#112 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:18 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101815
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 25 20111110
180530 3132N 06849W 8120 01767 9974 +135 +097 152041 042 030 002 03
180600 3134N 06849W 8125 01765 9976 +132 +098 150042 043 029 002 00
180630 3136N 06849W 8118 01771 9976 +131 +099 149044 044 029 002 00
180700 3138N 06849W 8117 01777 9979 +135 +100 147042 043 027 003 03
180730 3139N 06851W 8120 01776 9981 +135 +101 147040 040 /// /// 03
180800 3138N 06852W 8121 01766 9977 +130 +103 148039 039 029 001 03
180830 3137N 06853W 8119 01767 9984 +118 +103 148038 039 028 005 00
180900 3136N 06855W 8115 01772 9982 +118 +103 152036 037 026 004 00
180930 3135N 06856W 8120 01764 9971 +131 +098 150034 035 029 002 00
181000 3134N 06857W 8121 01764 9975 +124 +096 147034 035 029 006 00
181030 3133N 06859W 8115 01769 9973 +125 +096 151033 034 029 005 00
181100 3131N 06900W 8115 01767 9977 +117 +094 150032 034 038 018 03
181130 3130N 06901W 8112 01766 9978 +112 +093 147034 037 040 017 00
181200 3129N 06903W 8137 01740 9971 +126 +091 154035 037 026 004 00
181230 3128N 06904W 8117 01764 9964 +134 +088 153036 036 025 002 03
181300 3127N 06905W 8117 01761 9960 +137 +088 154036 036 024 000 00
181330 3126N 06907W 8123 01753 9956 +141 +090 154037 037 024 001 03
181400 3125N 06908W 8117 01758 9957 +138 +092 153036 037 023 002 03
181430 3124N 06909W 8114 01758 9956 +135 +094 151036 036 026 000 00
181500 3123N 06910W 8124 01749 9954 +136 +096 151036 036 024 002 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#113 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:29 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101825
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 26 20111110
181530 3122N 06912W 8123 01748 9950 +140 +098 150037 037 026 000 00
181600 3120N 06913W 8115 01754 9949 +138 +099 150036 036 025 002 00
181630 3119N 06914W 8121 01746 9946 +143 +102 149036 036 025 001 00
181700 3118N 06916W 8121 01744 9945 +142 +103 146036 037 027 000 03
181730 3117N 06917W 8116 01748 9942 +142 +105 146036 037 027 000 00
181800 3116N 06918W 8125 01738 9941 +143 +106 147038 039 026 002 00
181830 3115N 06920W 8117 01745 9940 +140 +106 147040 040 026 001 00
181900 3114N 06921W 8121 01738 9936 +143 +106 146040 040 028 001 03
181930 3113N 06922W 8118 01740 9933 +143 +108 144039 040 030 002 00
182000 3111N 06924W 8117 01738 9931 +143 +108 143040 041 029 002 00
182030 3110N 06925W 8120 01732 9924 +147 +109 145042 043 033 002 03
182100 3109N 06926W 8121 01729 9924 +142 +110 147042 042 033 000 03
182130 3108N 06928W 8119 01727 9924 +140 +112 147042 042 033 000 00
182200 3107N 06929W 8116 01730 9920 +139 +111 143041 042 033 001 03
182230 3106N 06930W 8113 01727 9921 +135 +112 143042 043 035 002 00
182300 3105N 06932W 8120 01720 9914 +140 +110 143041 042 031 002 00
182330 3104N 06933W 8121 01718 9911 +141 +109 140043 044 034 002 00
182400 3102N 06934W 8121 01713 9906 +143 +111 138043 044 035 002 00
182430 3101N 06936W 8125 01706 9900 +145 +110 133042 043 036 002 00
182500 3100N 06937W 8116 01714 9898 +143 +111 131042 042 035 001 03
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
Macrocane
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4214
Age: 29
Joined: Sun May 24, 2009 5:35 pm
Location: El Salvador

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#114 Postby Macrocane » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:38 pm

000
URNT15 KNHC 101835
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 27 20111110
182530 3059N 06938W 8115 01709 9898 +134 +112 128044 044 038 001 03
182600 3058N 06940W 8127 01693 9894 +135 +113 127043 045 040 005 03
182630 3057N 06941W 8115 01699 9898 +122 +112 123043 045 043 006 00
182700 3055N 06943W 8114 01698 9893 +123 +109 129044 047 043 003 00
182730 3054N 06944W 8117 01687 9872 +143 +105 126032 033 044 004 00
182800 3053N 06945W 8125 01672 9867 +144 +103 123032 034 043 005 03
182830 3052N 06947W 8115 01677 9862 +146 +104 121030 031 041 005 00
182900 3051N 06948W 8114 01680 9853 +151 +104 118026 028 038 003 03
182930 3049N 06949W 8114 01676 9841 +165 +105 112021 023 031 002 03
183000 3048N 06951W 8122 01664 9839 +164 +106 109016 017 026 001 03
183030 3046N 06951W 8117 01667 9834 +165 +109 101015 016 023 002 03
183100 3045N 06952W 8119 01663 9835 +161 +113 090011 013 020 002 03
183130 3043N 06952W 8119 01661 9831 +163 +116 091008 009 016 001 03
183200 3041N 06952W 8117 01660 9829 +164 +120 079007 008 014 001 03
183230 3040N 06952W 8122 01655 9829 +160 +123 081003 004 013 002 03
183300 3040N 06952W 8122 01655 9830 +158 +126 243002 005 006 002 03
183330 3036N 06951W 8112 01668 9837 +155 +128 253007 007 /// /// 03
183400 3036N 06953W 8129 01647 9831 +155 +130 249007 008 000 004 03
183430 3035N 06954W 8116 01661 9830 +156 +130 267009 012 009 001 03
183500 3034N 06956W 8117 01660 9823 +164 +131 276017 019 010 003 00
$$
;
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#115 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:50 pm

URNT12 KNHC 101844
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL192011
A. 10/18:33:00Z
B. 30 deg 38 min N
069 deg 51 min W
C. 850 mb 1268 m
D. 44 kt
E. 025 deg 17 nm
F. 127 deg 47 kt
G. 027 deg 18 nm
H. 983 mb
I. 14 C / 1825 m
J. 16 C / 1830 m
K. 12 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 1345 / 8
O. 0.02 / 1 nm
P. AF309 0119A SEAN OB 11
MAX FL WIND 63 KT SE QUAD 17:13:00Z
MAX FL TEMP 17 C 009 / 11 NM FROM FL CNTR
CLDS IN CTR BLO
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#116 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:54 pm

URNT15 KNHC 101845
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 28 20111110
183530 3033N 06957W 8118 01657 9824 +163 +131 285027 029 022 002 03
183600 3031N 06958W 8114 01667 9827 +165 +131 288029 031 026 000 00
183630 3030N 06959W 8118 01662 9833 +161 +131 296030 031 024 003 03
183700 3029N 07001W 8115 01669 9837 +158 +131 300031 031 022 002 03
183730 3028N 07002W 8114 01672 9839 +158 +132 305030 031 022 002 03
183800 3027N 07004W 8125 01663 9847 +152 +132 306029 029 023 003 00
183830 3026N 07005W 8119 01672 9851 +151 +131 304030 031 027 002 00
183900 3025N 07006W 8120 01672 9853 +153 +129 304033 035 028 002 03
183930 3024N 07008W 8119 01677 9859 +149 +128 307037 038 034 003 03
184000 3023N 07009W 8114 01687 9860 +155 +127 305039 041 038 004 00
184030 3021N 07010W 8125 01679 9871 +144 +127 305042 043 041 005 03
184100 3020N 07012W 8125 01684 9877 +141 +127 301046 049 041 003 00
184130 3019N 07013W 8117 01698 9878 +146 +124 298052 055 042 003 00
184200 3018N 07014W 8121 01694 9882 +147 +122 300055 055 043 002 03
184230 3017N 07015W 8111 01712 9886 +147 +121 304055 056 043 002 00
184300 3016N 07017W 8122 01704 9890 +150 +122 302057 057 043 003 00
184330 3015N 07018W 8111 01715 9891 +152 +122 302056 057 040 000 03
184400 3014N 07019W 8121 01707 9898 +147 +122 300056 057 040 002 00
184430 3013N 07020W 8117 01718 9899 +150 +123 303055 055 040 003 00
184500 3012N 07022W 8123 01713 9908 +144 +124 306053 053 040 003 00
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#117 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:56 pm

Peak winds at the surface appear to be 50-55kts, and only over a small area ESE-SE of the center in the heaviest convection.

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
wxman57
Moderator-Pro Met
Moderator-Pro Met
Posts: 18136
Age: 61
Joined: Sat Jun 21, 2003 8:06 pm
Location: Houston, TX (southwest)

Re: ATL: SEAN - Recon

#118 Postby wxman57 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 1:58 pm

URNT15 KNHC 101855
AF309 0119A SEAN HDOB 29 20111110
184530 3011N 07023W 8111 01728 9924 +124 //// 305052 054 040 006 01
184600 3010N 07024W 8121 01722 9923 +130 +122 304052 053 039 003 00
184630 3009N 07025W 8125 01720 9919 +140 +117 301051 052 039 001 00
184700 3008N 07027W 8117 01730 9919 +147 +114 300050 050 037 002 00
184730 3007N 07028W 8119 01730 9921 +149 +112 301049 049 036 002 00
184800 3006N 07029W 8118 01735 9926 +146 +113 303050 050 035 003 00
184830 3005N 07030W 8117 01742 9930 +145 +114 304049 050 037 001 00
184900 3004N 07032W 8117 01743 9933 +144 +114 304049 050 035 002 00
184930 3002N 07033W 8121 01739 9936 +142 +116 305048 049 035 001 00
185000 3001N 07034W 8117 01748 9944 +135 +118 302050 051 034 004 00
185030 3000N 07036W 8118 01747 9940 +143 +116 303052 052 033 003 00
185100 2959N 07037W 8117 01750 9944 +140 +115 305052 052 033 002 00
185130 2958N 07038W 8122 01746 9947 +140 +115 305051 051 033 002 00
185200 2957N 07039W 8118 01753 9949 +140 +114 305050 050 035 003 00
185230 2956N 07041W 8117 01755 9950 +140 +114 306049 049 036 001 00
185300 2955N 07042W 8119 01755 9953 +141 +113 307047 048 035 002 00
185330 2954N 07043W 8115 01759 9953 +140 +115 307046 047 037 002 03
185400 2953N 07045W 8118 01759 9958 +137 +114 305045 045 034 002 00
185430 2952N 07046W 8115 01762 9960 +135 +115 303046 046 034 002 00
185500 2951N 07047W 8121 01757 9961 +137 +114 304045 046 033 002 00
0 likes   

CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 27384
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#119 Postby CrazyC83 » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:13 pm

Recon found a much lower pressure - 983mb - but no hurricane.
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 114736
Age: 62
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: SEAN - Advisories

#120 Postby cycloneye » Thu Nov 10, 2011 3:33 pm

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SEAN ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
500 PM AST THU NOV 10 2011

...SEAN MOVING FASTER TO THE NORTHEAST...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.9N 69.4W
ABOUT 285 MI...465 KM WSW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE BERMUDA
WEATHER SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEAN WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.4 WEST. SEAN IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE SEAN
SHOULD PASS TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA FRIDAY MORNING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TONIGHT...AND SLOW
WEAKENING IS FORECAST ON FRIDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES...410 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 983 MB...29.03 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON BERMUDA
LATE THIS EVENING.

RAINFALL...SEAN IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN ON
BERMUDA.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY SEAN ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES AND BERMUDA...CAUSING
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENTS. PLEASE SEE STATEMENTS FROM
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE FOR MORE DETAILS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



TROPICAL STORM SEAN DISCUSSION NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL192011
500 PM AST THU NOV 10 2011

SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE STRUCTURE OF SEAN HAS BECOME A LITTLE
LESS ORGANIZED...WITH CONVECTION AROUND THE EYE FEATURE APPEARING
TO WEAKEN A BIT AND BECOME LESS SYMMETRIC. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
AIRCRAFT MISSION THIS AFTERNOON INTO SEAN FOUND PEAK FLIGHT-LEVEL
WINDS OF 63 KT...SFMR MEASUREMENTS OF 52 KT...ALONG WITH A CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 983 MB. THESE DATA SUPPORT MAINTAINING THE INTENSITY AT
55 KT. THE CHANCES OF SEAN BECOMING A HURRICANE APPEAR TO BE
DIMINISHING DUE TO THE DEGRADED STRUCTURE. SINCE THE MODELS
GENERALLY SHOW NO SIGNIFICANT INTENSIFICATION...THE INTENSITY
FORECAST WILL BE HELD AT 55 KT DURING THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD. BY
TOMORROW...WEAKENING IS LIKELY...AND THIS IS ALREADY BEING HERALDED
BY THE ERODING CIRRUS OVERFLOW ON THE NORTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE
CIRCULATION. THE NHC FORECAST IS REDUCED FROM THE PREVIOUS ONE...
AND IS SIMILAR TO THE MODEL CONSENSUS.

SEAN IS ACCELERATING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...NOW MOVING AT ABOUT
11 KT...ALTHOUGH RECENTLY IT MIGHT BE WOBBLING A LITTLE TO THE RIGHT
OF THAT ESTIMATE. THE MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO BE VERY
CONSISTENT IN SHOWING A NORTHEASTWARD ACCELERATION AS SEAN PASSES
TO THE NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. THE LATEST MODEL SUITE HAS SHIFTED A
BIT TO THE SOUTHEAST...SO THE NHC TRACK FORECAST WAS BE NUDGED IN
THAT DIRECTION. IN A DAY OR SO...A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
OVERTAKE SEAN AND ABSORB THE SYSTEM. THE NEW FORECAST IS CONSISTENT
WITH THE LARGE-SCALE GUIDANCE...ALTHOUGH A FEW OF THE MODELS NOW
SHOW SEAN DISSIPATED AS EARLY AS 24 HOURS.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 10/2100Z 30.9N 69.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 11/0600Z 32.5N 67.4W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 11/1800Z 36.1N 62.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
36H 12/0600Z...ABSORBED

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here


Return to “2011”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 2 guests