ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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galaxy401 wrote:Becomes a hurricane again but I wonder if it will be the last advisory. Either way, Newfoundland will have to watch it.
It still looks tropical to me. Probably a ship or buoy reported winds of near 65 kt.
I dunno if a Hurricane Warning is warranted at this moment?
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- Weatherguy173
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
this is one FAST moving storm
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Nothing I say is intended to be a forecast; it's only food for thought and friendly advice!
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WeatherGuesser wrote:SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM STONES COVE TO CHARLOTTETOWN
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEWFOUNDLAND FROM INDIAN HARBOUR... TO TRITON
Kind of weird to see that.
It's not that uncommon, as Newfoundland is prime for recurves.
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Checking in as it makes landfall, what a funny looking ET cyclone we have! I say that as there are almost no signs that this is still tropical; the inner core is completely gone and is replaced with very dry air. There is no bottom to Leslie as well. The thing that still gets me is how the NHC continued to show Leslie re-strengthening into a hurricane...four-five days ago it was clear that wasn't going to happen. I didn't make an official prediction on here but I knew Leslie was too large (that eye was enormous, no eyewall present) and disorganized to ever recover...especially ones moving north into colder waters. The forecast kept lowering from CAT2 down; too much LGEM lovin' - The LGEM didn't know TS Leslie's structure to determine why it wouldn't become a hurricane again. That last minute 10 knot strengthening was probably baroclinicaly enhanced so its not "genuine" per se. So overall I'm happy I stopped following this 9 days ago, what an embarrassment.
If I were to rate Leslie from 1 to 10 I would give it a -3.
If I were to rate Leslie from 1 to 10 I would give it a -3.
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Cyclenall wrote:Checking in as it makes landfall, what a funny looking ET cyclone we have! I say that as there are almost no signs that this is still tropical; the inner core is completely gone and is replaced with very dry air. There is no bottom to Leslie as well. The thing that still gets me is how the NHC continued to show Leslie re-strengthening into a hurricane...four-five days ago it was clear that wasn't going to happen. I didn't make an official prediction on here but I knew Leslie was too large (that eye was enormous, no eyewall present) and disorganized to ever recover...especially ones moving north into colder waters. The forecast kept lowering from CAT2 down; too much LGEM lovin' - The LGEM didn't know TS Leslie's structure to determine why it wouldn't become a hurricane again. That last minute 10 knot strengthening was probably baroclinicaly enhanced so its not "genuine" per se. So overall I'm happy I stopped following this 9 days ago, what an embarrassment.
If I were to rate Leslie from 1 to 10 I would give it a -3.
Looking at surface data, it does appear borderline (on temperature distribution) on whether Leslie was indeed warm core at landfall. Structurally, I would call it extratropical since about 0600Z.
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- wxman57
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Looks like an occluded frontal low now. And Michael is just a low-level swirl. Meanwhile, future "Nadine" struggles in the MDR.
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Agreed, you think just the same about these storms as I do. Seriously, Leslie was and still is a very boring and underachieving storm to watch, sorry to say. I still have no idea why the forecasts predicted a Category 2 hurricane, to me, it was clear that Leslie just couldn't get it's act together in any way. Most of the discussions stated either that Leslie never had a good and solid inner core, that it was being choked by "dry air", that it was asymmetric, that it was simply too large and disorganized to strengthen, or that wind shear was affecting it. Looks like another name is off the list.
Now, don't mistake what I said, it is excellent that it remained weak, for the sake of the people in Newfoundland, what I am saying is that Leslie wasted its time over very warm waters and it began to give way to the so-called unfavorable conditions.
On a scale of 1-100, I would give Leslie "15", only because it managed to become a hurricane.
Now, don't mistake what I said, it is excellent that it remained weak, for the sake of the people in Newfoundland, what I am saying is that Leslie wasted its time over very warm waters and it began to give way to the so-called unfavorable conditions.
On a scale of 1-100, I would give Leslie "15", only because it managed to become a hurricane.
Cyclenall wrote:Checking in as it makes landfall, what a funny looking ET cyclone we have! I say that as there are almost no signs that this is still tropical; the inner core is completely gone and is replaced with very dry air. There is no bottom to Leslie as well. The thing that still gets me is how the NHC continued to show Leslie re-strengthening into a hurricane...four-five days ago it was clear that wasn't going to happen. I didn't make an official prediction on here but I knew Leslie was too large (that eye was enormous, no eyewall present) and disorganized to ever recover...especially ones moving north into colder waters. The forecast kept lowering from CAT2 down; too much LGEM lovin' - The LGEM didn't know TS Leslie's structure to determine why it wouldn't become a hurricane again. That last minute 10 knot strengthening was probably baroclinicaly enhanced so its not "genuine" per se. So overall I'm happy I stopped following this 9 days ago, what an embarrassment.
If I were to rate Leslie from 1 to 10 I would give it a -3.
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- AnnularCane
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Awwww, poor Leslie. I liked her, and I thought she was interesting.
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Re: ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
Well, if that's your opinion, you're totally free to have it. Looking back at Wikipedia's page about it, she was not so bad after all, and I again admit that my post was a bit harsh.
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PLEASE NOTE: With the exception of information from weather agencies that I may copy and paste here, my posts will NEVER be official, since I am NOT a meteorologist. They are solely my amateur opinion, and may or may not be accurate. Therefore, please DO NOT use them as official details, particularly when making important decisions. Thank you.
Re: ATL: LESLIE - Post-Tropical - Discussion
AnnularCane wrote:Awwww, poor Leslie. I liked her, and I thought she was interesting.
But not in "that" way.
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Hope this helped
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org.
Hope this helped
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