ATL: SANDY - Models
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Oh this is a good run by the NAM, diving SW into Cuba at 42 hrs.
Looks like an anticyclonic loop, now heading NE and away from Florida at 51 hrs.
Looks like an anticyclonic loop, now heading NE and away from Florida at 51 hrs.
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A tweet said they were an early run and should be pretty much disregarded (the 00Z models).
https://twitter.com/BobRyanABC7/status/ ... 0148983809
https://twitter.com/BobRyanABC7/status/ ... 0148983809
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Oh this is a good run by the NAM, diving SW into Cuba at 42 hrs.
Looks like an anticyclonic loop, now heading NE and away from Florida at 51 hrs.
Would you have a link to that NAM run, thanks.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Miami Storm Tracker wrote:HurricaneFrances04 wrote:Oh this is a good run by the NAM, diving SW into Cuba at 42 hrs.
Looks like an anticyclonic loop, now heading NE and away from Florida at 51 hrs.
Would you have a link to that NAM run, thanks.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Thank you for the link,
Strange run almost like it was decoupling or going extropical.
Strange run almost like it was decoupling or going extropical.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
0Z GFS right in line with 18Z through 24 hours. Wind field might be a bit smaller.
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Does not appear South Florida will have very many impacts from Sandy according to the 0z GFS
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Through 90 hours, the 00Z and 12Z are nearly identical...perhaps the 00Z is a few ticks east of 12Z. Pressure is 4mb higher at 00Z. Let's see what happens because here it becomes critical...synoptically, the midwest trough is slightly deeper at 00Z but the north Atlantic low isn't nosing as far as it did at 12Z.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
108-132 hours...00Z is definitely to the east...not as much as 18Z but about a degree or so. There is definitely a negative tilt to the trough, though. It looks like there is a start of a hook back at 132...roughly at the latitude of Massachusetts.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
0Z NOGAPS out 72Hrs.....close to FL then heading up the EC...
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cg ... t=Tropical
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Looks like a landfall in New Brunswick late on the 31st and then enters northern Maine the next day...downeast Maine/Bay of Fundy area would have a really bad time...but most of the East Coast would be spared the worst.
So all in all...the 00Z did go back west from 18Z, but not as far as 12Z...and for US concerns, that could play a big role. So much for a trend for consensus...
And this model does not initiate 'Sandy' well in terms of intensity. At this point, the model indicates 989 mb...a few dozen off.
So all in all...the 00Z did go back west from 18Z, but not as far as 12Z...and for US concerns, that could play a big role. So much for a trend for consensus...
And this model does not initiate 'Sandy' well in terms of intensity. At this point, the model indicates 989 mb...a few dozen off.
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
HWRF shifts to the west. Hits Andros Island and then Grand Bahama
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/hwrf/00zhwrf500mbHGHTPMSLnest024.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/hwrf/00zhwrf500mbHGHTPMSLnest024.gif
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Euro running
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Euro 48hr little more west. Closer to florida
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Euro looks like landfall around D.C./ Nyc 953mb in around 110 hrs.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
The model looks like it initiated 30mb high. What will the 30mb lower do to track?
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP120.gif
dude that is nasty and NYC is going to be toast if this verifies
add disclaimer here...
dude that is nasty and NYC is going to be toast if this verifies
add disclaimer here...
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
940MB is crazy at 96hr.....then the left hook into long island and NYC....at 120
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
perfect storm? more like storm of the century!!!
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... SLP096.gif
perfect storm? more like storm of the century!!!
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