ATL: SANDY - Models
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hmmm the nam.... the euro had a similar idea the other day about some sort of a vort develop to its west and had made sandy do a hard left.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
very strange though.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
very strange though.
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seriously sometimes you just have to love the NAM.. lol
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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- Bocadude85
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:seriously sometimes you just have to love the NAM.. lol
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
The NAM was doing something similar last night.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
NAM is doing a loop, just further west and south, than what some of the other models are showing. I think other models do the tiny loop just North of the Bahamas
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- Bocadude85
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Im not so sure Sandy will turn to the NNW/NW like the models are showing. She still looks to be moving NNE and is nearing 75W.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Bocadude85 wrote:Im not so sure Sandy will turn to the NNW/NW like the models are showing. She still looks to be moving NNE and is nearing 75W.
dont look at the convection....look at the RECON center fixes....
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gfs is rolling in.
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hmmm gfs come way left as it near northern bahamas and slows way way down does almost a complete loop. well I guess not that much left but a little from the 6z but about 80 miles sw from the 00z .
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
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Re:
Aric Dunn wrote:hmmm gfs come way left as it near northern bahamas and slows way way down does almost a complete loop.
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M
Yea its quite a bit further southwest of the 6zGFS
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
12Z GFS suggests sustained winds of 40-45 kt from Fort Lauderdale northward for ~24 hours between 12Z Friday and 12Z Saturday...ouch. Winds are even near 50 kt near Stuart around 00Z Saturday. The onshore fetch means east-central FL will take most of the severe beach erosion on its chin, whereas SE FL would be less exposed due to NNW (offshore) flow prevailing.
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- DESTRUCTION5
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
GFS 12z
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal012.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal024.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal030.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal036.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal042.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal048.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal012.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal024.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal030.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal036.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal042.gif
http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/ ... cal048.gif
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Re:
deltadog03 wrote:gfs is landfall nyc
indeed...NASTY
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Saved images from latest run
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M a r k
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Re: Re:
Cyclenall wrote:deltadog03 wrote:gfs is landfall nyc
It has come home to PAPA! It caved to King Euro under its shine. Now to see the exact pressure and details.
Actually, landfall Long Island and then northwest into Connecticut. But close enough for government work.
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Wow, unreal that you can see long island straight into the center of that bullseye in the last frame.
I still think we're a few days away from having a more concrete solution, but this is a huge awakening for anyone in the NY metro area. That bullseye is pretty much right over me
I still think we're a few days away from having a more concrete solution, but this is a huge awakening for anyone in the NY metro area. That bullseye is pretty much right over me
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Re: ATL: SANDY - Models
Dr Maue:
"Sandy not going to anything but a full-fledged hurricane until landfall w/GFS & ECMWF. Then it can merge with trough.
Full T574 GFS spectral output (27-km) resolution shows ~930 mb surface pressure for Sandy prior to landfall"
http://twitter.com/RyanMaue
"Sandy not going to anything but a full-fledged hurricane until landfall w/GFS & ECMWF. Then it can merge with trough.
Full T574 GFS spectral output (27-km) resolution shows ~930 mb surface pressure for Sandy prior to landfall"
http://twitter.com/RyanMaue
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