CPAC: JULIO - Recon

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Mission Over

Summary image in a moment with status of other plane on the way and then I'm out.

[Kingarabian]

I'll be back in an hour. Going to go for a run. Sorry folks.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

I'll be back in an hour. Going to go for a run. Sorry folks.

See ya later. I might post an image of the next mission later if I remember.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Mission just completed with a mission on the way. Wide view. I'll post a closeup view next and then that will be it for me.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Closeup of completed mission. 6:30Z satellite. 11pm EDT (5pm HST) track.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Next Mission Looks To Be Returning To Honolulu

As of HDOB 8 (7:25Z, 3:25am EDT, 9:25pm HST)

[Kingarabian]

I guess they deemed it not necessary.

Or mechanical problems.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

My guess would be something mechanical. Even on the exact path forecast, the outer edge of the storm would be close. I don't think they would decide not to go at this point when it could still change. I imagine we'll see a new plane sent.

Aircraft 304 just came through Julio to Honolulu. However, in addition to 303 that turned around, 302 and 303 had went into Iselle. I assume at least one or both of those are still in Honolulu and could be prepared.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

New plane. I can't post obs and images, but just wanted to let people know.

URPN15 KNHC 090852
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 01 20140809
084130 0000N 00000E 0000 00000 0001 +249 +172 081008 011 /// /// 33
084200 2119N 15754W 9780 00316 0139 +233 +162 090011 011 /// /// 03
084230 2118N 15752W 9507 00555 0134 +216 +150 086016 018 /// /// 03
084300 2117N 15751W 9124 00926 0149 +198 +122 093010 016 /// /// 03
084330 2115N 15750W 8788 01246 0151 +176 +097 115014 019 /// /// 03
084400 2114N 15749W 8390 01645 0149 +161 +068 133022 024 /// /// 03
084430 2112N 15749W 8062 01988 0154 +140 +046 124022 024 /// /// 03
084500 2111N 15748W 7815 02251 0154 +123 +014 119025 028 /// /// 03
084530 2109N 15747W 7503 02592 0145 +113 -016 121030 030 /// /// 03
084600 2108N 15746W 7276 02848 0143 +097 +011 126024 030 021 001 00
084630 2107N 15744W 7129 03016 0145 +083 +025 135021 022 018 001 00
084700 2105N 15743W 6923 03259 0154 +067 +006 138019 020 020 002 00
084730 2104N 15741W 6689 03553 0149 +056 +015 160018 019 015 003 03
084800 2103N 15740W 6536 03743 0140 +050 +009 173020 022 024 003 00
084830 2102N 15738W 6360 03966 0138 +038 +001 178020 021 030 002 00
084900 2101N 15736W 6205 04171 0135 +029 -015 176019 020 031 002 00
084930 2059N 15735W 6050 04374 0125 +018 -033 177017 019 030 003 00
085000 2058N 15733W 5916 04526 0101 +007 -048 155010 015 029 002 03
085030 2057N 15731W 5802 04690 0102 -000 -071 140008 011 024 003 00
085100 2057N 15729W 5674 04858 0099 -012 -067 136008 011 029 002 00

[Kingarabian]

My guess would be something mechanical. Even on the exact path forecast, the outer edge of the storm would be close. I don't think they would decide not to go at this point when it could still change. I imagine we'll see a new plane sent.

Aircraft 304 just came through Julio to Honolulu. However, in addition to 303 that turned around, 302 and 303 had went into Iselle. I assume at least one or both of those are still in Honolulu and could be prepared.

I agree. The SW quad would make the closest call with the islands according to the current forecast track; that quad had an average of 60kt surface winds.

[Kingarabian]

I'll try and post as much obs as I can.

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 090900
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 02 20140809
085130 2057N 15727W 5562 05036 0112 -019 -081 112007 008 029 001 00
085200 2057N 15724W 5424 05239 0270 -025 -119 123006 008 030 001 00
085230 2057N 15722W 5356 05342 0277 -034 -123 135004 005 031 001 00
085300 2057N 15720W 5241 05512 0287 -048 -124 137006 007 029 002 00
085330 2057N 15717W 5152 05645 0294 -057 -136 140005 006 030 002 00
085400 2057N 15715W 5064 05788 0303 -066 -128 160002 005 030 002 00
085430 2057N 15713W 5038 05822 0307 -065 -116 132005 010 027 006 00
085500 2057N 15710W 4946 05966 0314 -072 -120 158006 010 032 004 00
085530 2057N 15708W 4880 06075 0321 -083 -140 149006 008 031 004 00
085600 2057N 15706W 4807 06197 0331 -090 -141 136008 009 031 004 00
085630 2057N 15703W 4748 06288 0337 -086 -153 125009 011 040 000 03
085700 2057N 15701W 4704 06368 0345 -090 -148 135007 008 /// /// 03
085730 2057N 15659W 4678 06411 0352 -090 -135 206006 007 056 000 03
085800 2057N 15657W 4637 06481 0352 -100 -159 202005 007 056 000 03
085830 2056N 15655W 4588 06554 0349 -108 -165 172006 007 041 001 03
085900 2056N 15653W 4562 06592 0352 -111 -176 184003 006 036 000 03
085930 2056N 15651W 4525 06658 0356 -115 -185 190006 007 032 002 03
090000 2056N 15649W 4517 06673 0359 -115 -192 199009 009 030 001 00
090030 2056N 15647W 4469 06770 0380 -115 -203 192008 009 025 001 03
090100 2056N 15644W 4437 06823 0380 -111 -282 175004 006 023 000 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

Can't see AF302 on Google Earth. Unless it's the same plane as AF303.

Edit: Yup it is.

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 090910
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 03 20140809
090130 2056N 15642W 4409 06862 0370 -112 -343 161005 006 024 000 03
090200 2056N 15640W 4393 06756 0229 -118 -323 176004 005 /// /// 03
090230 2056N 15638W 4371 06356 4823 -125 -244 182006 006 /// /// 03
090300 2056N 15636W 4339 05993 4468 -130 -251 222003 005 /// /// 03
090330 2056N 15634W 4311 06074 4479 -130 -292 268002 003 /// /// 03
090400 2056N 15632W 4281 06539 4925 -130 -319 226003 003 /// /// 03
090430 2056N 15630W 4266 07129 0392 -130 -303 242003 003 /// /// 03
090500 2056N 15628W 4239 07178 0411 -130 -289 242004 005 /// /// 03
090530 2056N 15626W 4201 07252 0416 -134 -313 243005 006 /// /// 03
090600 2056N 15624W 4176 07292 0412 -139 -290 244005 006 /// /// 03
090630 2056N 15622W 4132 07383 0401 -145 -311 227007 008 /// /// 03
090700 2056N 15620W 4106 07278 0297 -150 -309 227008 009 /// /// 03
090730 2055N 15617W 4098 07239 0229 -151 -327 230007 009 /// /// 03
090800 2055N 15615W 4097 07303 0351 -155 -308 223006 006 /// /// 03
090830 2055N 15612W 4096 07431 0412 -155 -327 222005 006 /// /// 03
090900 2055N 15610W 4098 07422 0410 -155 -354 217005 006 032 000 00
090930 2055N 15607W 4098 07420 0409 -155 -342 210005 005 028 001 00
091000 2055N 15604W 4099 07414 0407 -155 -377 219005 006 025 002 00
091030 2055N 15602W 4099 07414 0406 -155 -340 230005 006 020 003 00
091100 2055N 15559W 4099 07418 0407 -155 -385 230005 006 019 003 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 090920
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 04 20140809
091130 2055N 15556W 4101 07414 0406 -153 -341 235007 007 019 002 00
091200 2055N 15553W 4101 07417 0407 -150 -375 224007 008 018 003 00
091230 2055N 15550W 4101 07412 0408 -150 -374 212009 010 019 003 00
091300 2054N 15547W 4100 07414 0408 -149 -401 201010 010 018 003 00
091330 2054N 15545W 4100 07417 0408 -151 -380 200008 010 021 002 00
091400 2054N 15542W 4101 07411 0408 -150 -397 199008 010 022 001 00
091430 2054N 15539W 4101 07413 0408 -150 -383 207007 007 023 002 00
091500 2054N 15536W 4101 07411 0406 -150 -392 222006 007 024 002 00
091530 2054N 15533W 4099 07417 0406 -150 -387 217008 009 024 001 00
091600 2054N 15530W 4101 07413 0407 -148 -395 217009 010 022 002 00
091630 2054N 15527W 4101 07412 0407 -151 -359 219007 007 022 002 00
091700 2054N 15524W 4101 07409 0407 -151 -365 207006 007 021 002 00
091730 2054N 15522W 4100 07416 0407 -152 -337 206006 007 020 003 00
091800 2054N 15519W 4102 07411 0406 -154 -303 205007 007 021 002 00
091830 2053N 15516W 4099 07416 0406 -152 -324 199008 008 021 002 00
091900 2053N 15513W 4101 07412 0406 -155 -290 210007 008 021 002 00
091930 2053N 15510W 4101 07411 0405 -155 -306 222005 006 021 002 00
092000 2053N 15507W 4101 07413 0407 -155 -298 217005 006 019 002 00
092030 2053N 15504W 4101 07411 0406 -155 -304 219006 006 020 002 00
092100 2053N 15501W 4098 07419 0406 -155 -319 233007 007 018 001 00
$$
;

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 090930
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 05 20140809
092130 2053N 15459W 4099 07418 0405 -159 -312 222008 010 017 002 00
092200 2053N 15456W 4101 07413 0405 -167 -262 202011 013 016 002 00
092230 2053N 15453W 4099 07415 0405 -170 -246 191012 013 013 002 00
092300 2052N 15450W 4103 07410 0405 -177 -233 184013 014 014 001 00
092330 2052N 15447W 4099 07418 0405 -178 -218 188013 014 015 001 00
092400 2052N 15444W 4100 07411 0405 -176 -214 183013 014 012 001 00
092430 2052N 15442W 4102 07406 0405 -171 -211 174011 013 011 002 00
092500 2052N 15439W 4101 07411 0407 -167 -209 184011 012 018 000 00
092530 2052N 15436W 4102 07412 0408 -168 -212 183009 011 020 001 00
092600 2052N 15433W 4102 07414 0410 -168 -215 200008 009 019 003 00
092630 2052N 15431W 4099 07419 0409 -170 -212 211008 009 013 003 00
092700 2052N 15428W 4099 07420 0410 -171 -211 225005 007 015 002 00
092730 2052N 15426W 4100 07415 0410 -171 -212 230006 007 015 001 00
092800 2051N 15423W 4100 07419 0410 -167 -216 222006 008 016 001 00
092830 2051N 15420W 4099 07423 0411 -163 -221 220006 007 012 002 00
092900 2051N 15418W 4101 07420 0410 -161 -220 221004 006 011 002 00
092930 2051N 15415W 4101 07418 0410 -160 -226 235004 005 014 001 00
093000 2051N 15413W 4101 07418 0410 -160 -224 252006 008 011 002 00
093030 2051N 15410W 4098 07424 0411 -160 -221 248007 008 007 002 00
093100 2051N 15408W 4099 07422 0411 -161 -221 250007 008 014 001 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Can't see AF302 on Google Earth. Unless it's the same plane as AF303.

Edit: Yup it is.

I knew I forgot something. I removed the earlier data.

Through HDOB 6. I'll post an image near the center unless I forget.

[Chris_in_Tampa]

URPN15 KNHC 090940
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 06 20140809
093130 2051N 15405W 4098 07425 0410 -165 -219 228003 006 011 002 00
093200 2051N 15402W 4099 07419 0411 -164 -223 198002 003 016 001 00
093230 2050N 15400W 4101 07422 0411 -162 -233 193004 005 014 002 00
093300 2050N 15357W 4102 07418 0411 -160 -238 203005 005 011 002 00
093330 2050N 15355W 4099 07419 0410 -160 -246 201006 006 007 002 00
093400 2050N 15352W 4101 07415 0409 -158 -251 196005 006 006 003 00
093430 2050N 15350W 4101 07418 0409 -160 -232 181001 003 008 002 00
093500 2050N 15347W 4101 07417 0409 -156 -249 172004 005 010 001 00
093530 2050N 15344W 4099 07416 0409 -160 -239 162003 005 010 001 00
093600 2050N 15342W 4101 07421 0408 -160 -229 183003 003 011 002 00
093630 2050N 15339W 4097 07417 0407 -159 -250 182004 005 008 001 00
093700 2049N 15337W 4098 07418 0405 -155 -267 174005 005 006 002 00
093730 2049N 15334W 4099 07416 0404 -155 -249 156007 007 008 003 00
093800 2049N 15331W 4099 07411 0404 -159 -231 159007 008 010 001 00
093830 2049N 15328W 4101 07410 0403 -159 -231 180008 009 010 002 00
093900 2049N 15326W 4101 07410 0403 -159 -234 180008 009 016 002 00
093930 2049N 15323W 4101 07393 0388 -160 -224 144008 010 020 002 00
094000 2049N 15320W 4100 07410 0397 -162 -212 188007 009 023 003 00
094030 2049N 15317W 4099 07410 0403 -163 -222 241004 007 023 003 00
094100 2048N 15314W 4099 07413 0403 -166 -222 247003 004 013 002 00



URPN15 KNHC 090951
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 07 20140809
094130 2048N 15311W 4101 07411 0404 -167 -215 222001 002 007 002 00
094200 2048N 15309W 4099 07410 0403 -166 -217 216003 004 008 001 00
094230 2048N 15306W 4101 07411 0402 -168 -217 189005 006 017 003 00
094300 2048N 15303W 4101 07414 0404 -166 -221 190005 005 023 003 00
094330 2048N 15300W 4101 07411 0403 -166 -224 176006 007 022 003 00
094400 2048N 15257W 4099 07411 0403 -168 -222 177006 007 014 001 00
094430 2047N 15254W 4101 07416 0404 -168 -223 190005 006 006 002 00
094500 2047N 15252W 4100 07409 0403 -167 -225 182006 007 014 002 00
094530 2047N 15249W 4100 07410 0403 -170 -220 191007 008 015 001 00
094600 2047N 15246W 4099 07417 0403 -166 -221 205009 010 014 003 00
094630 2047N 15243W 4101 07416 0403 -165 -222 175007 008 016 002 00
094700 2047N 15240W 4101 07404 0402 -168 -211 157004 006 010 003 00
094730 2047N 15237W 4099 07416 0403 -163 -208 216005 007 009 002 00
094800 2047N 15234W 4102 07406 0402 -168 -216 171007 008 011 002 00
094830 2046N 15232W 4099 07414 0403 -170 -224 144007 008 012 002 00
094900 2046N 15229W 4100 07411 0402 -171 -224 158007 007 013 002 00
094930 2046N 15226W 4098 07414 0403 -170 -224 168007 008 013 002 00
095000 2046N 15223W 4103 07404 0403 -168 -229 164007 008 006 003 03
095030 2046N 15220W 4102 07406 0403 -168 -226 173007 007 014 002 00
095100 2046N 15218W 4097 07415 0403 -167 -228 166007 008 013 002 00

[Kingarabian]

000
URPN15 KNHC 091000
AF302 0310C JULIO HDOB 08 20140809
095130 2046N 15215W 4101 07413 0404 -165 -235 171006 007 015 002 00
095200 2046N 15212W 4100 07411 0404 -165 -227 159007 008 017 002 00
095230 2045N 15209W 4101 07410 0404 -168 -229 148007 007 018 001 00
095300 2045N 15207W 4101 07412 0406 -170 -230 129005 006 014 003 00
095330 2045N 15204W 4100 07414 0405 -169 -224 084003 004 017 002 00
095400 2045N 15201W 4100 07413 0405 -167 -222 014002 003 015 002 00
095430 2045N 15158W 4100 07414 0403 -166 -226 352003 003 013 002 00
095500 2045N 15155W 4099 07415 0404 -165 -224 001003 003 015 002 00
095530 2045N 15152W 4101 07413 0404 -166 -222 340002 003 017 002 00
095600 2044N 15150W 4098 07416 0404 -165 -228 326004 004 015 002 00
095630 2044N 15147W 4101 07414 0404 -165 -230 332003 003 015 001 00
095700 2044N 15144W 4101 07407 0404 -170 -225 292001 003 015 002 00
095730 2044N 15141W 4099 07412 0404 -169 -227 259002 003 014 002 00
095800 2044N 15138W 4101 07414 0404 -164 -230 261003 004 015 002 00
095830 2044N 15135W 4100 07409 0403 -163 -234 280002 003 015 002 00
095900 2044N 15132W 4101 07412 0403 -161 -238 243003 004 019 001 00
095930 2043N 15130W 4099 07416 0404 -162 -237 181003 004 019 002 00
100000 2043N 15127W 4101 07407 0403 -164 -230 170004 004 018 002 00
100030 2043N 15124W 4101 07410 0404 -158 -241 138005 005 020 001 00
100100 2043N 15121W 4102 07407 0404 -155 -243 117005 005 017 003 00
$$
;

[Chris_in_Tampa]

Through HDOB 8: