ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion

[TheStormExpert]

This area was doomed from the start.

[HurricaneTracker2031]

95L is weakening and will most likely not develop. Conditions are just to harsh for it right now.

Synopsis for 95L and other systems: [url]http://goo.gl/F4uumJ[[/url]/b]

[b]Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

[cycloneye]

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT AUG 16 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an area of low pressure centered
between the west coast of Africa and the Cape Verde Islands has
diminished. Environmental conditions are expected to remain
unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent.

$$
Forecaster Brown

[somethingfunny]

This could have been a tropical storm for a few hours, but it's definitely over with now. Quick spinups are pretty common in this location, but they rarely last long enough to get classified. I'd watch the postseason reports for an unnamed storm with 95L, but I doubt it will be added as most of these haven't been.

[sunnyday]

So tired of this. Here comes a potential storm to watch. No, wait. It can't make it. Nothing to see here!

[TheStormExpert]

So tired of this. Here comes a potential storm to watch. No, wait. It can't make it. Nothing to see here!

Yeah I seriously don't know why they bothered tagging this as an invest.

[somethingfunny]

So tired of this. Here comes a potential storm to watch. No, wait. It can't make it. Nothing to see here!

Yeah I seriously don't know why they bothered tagging this as an invest.

Well... it has a closed circulation

ASCAT made around 7:30 AM EDT shows the LLC devoid of convection.

One word "Impressive". They may have to bump the %.

You're seriously questioning why this was tagged as an Invest?

So tired of this. Here comes a potential storm to watch. No, wait. It can't make it. Nothing to see here!

I wouldn't get too worked up about anything east of 50°W in any season, but in this season especially there isn't gonna be much more than this over there.

[latitude_20]

Western Caribbean season is still yet to come.

[TheStormExpert]

Not mentioned anymore as of the 8pm TWO. R.I.P. to Invest 95L, once again another one bites the dust.

[Sanibel]

An SAL monster. All waves are doomed.


Plus some kind of negative atmospheric since even the GOM is hostile.

[bamajammer4eva]

Looks like its back as of 2pm outlook with a code yellow

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

[abajan]

Looks like its back as of 2pm outlook with a code yellow

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SUN AUG 17 2014

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Shower activity associated with an elongated area of low pressure
centered midway between the Lesser Antilles and the Cape Verde
Islands has not become any better organized since yesterday. No
significant development is expected during the next two days, but
conditions could become a little more favorable by later in the week
as the system moves slowly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

Err ... I think that's a different system. Isn't it?

[cycloneye]

That TWO is for the area between the CV Islands and Lesser Antilles area.There is a thread at Talking Tropics for that area. viewtopic.php?f=31&t=116570&hilit=&p=2402431#p2402431