EPAC: ANDRES - Post-Tropical
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- Kingarabian
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With a really warm eye, I really don't see why it's not a 7.0?
Last edited by Kingarabian on Mon Jun 01, 2015 1:19 am, edited 1 time in total.
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- Yellow Evan
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Re:
Kingarabian wrote:
With a really warm eye, I really don't see why it's not a 7.0?
The width of the white is not .5 degrees yet. It may be in the most recent frame.
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Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:Looking at new frame, debatable, but I really think SAB will give this a T6.5.
I'm thinking SAB may go higher.
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Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Looking at new frame, debatable, but I really think SAB will give this a T6.5.
I'm thinking SAB may go higher.
They might, but I'm not expecting it.
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Re: Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Looking at new frame, debatable, but I really think SAB will give this a T6.5.
I'm thinking SAB may go higher.
They might, but I'm not expecting it.
Because the ADT is always bullish. I've only seen it bearish when it had trouble with center fixes.
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Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Because the ADT is always bullish. I've only seen it bearish when it had trouble with center fixes.
I'm talking about SAB, not ADT. ADT yea could reach 7.0 in an hour or so.
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Re: Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Because the ADT is always bullish. I've only seen it bearish when it had trouble with center fixes.
I'm talking about SAB, not ADT. ADT yea could reach 7.0 in an hour or so.
Yeah I know what you're talking about, just adding on to ADT.
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Re: Re:
Kingarabian wrote:Yellow Evan wrote:Kingarabian wrote:Because the ADT is always bullish. I've only seen it bearish when it had trouble with center fixes.
I'm talking about SAB, not ADT. ADT yea could reach 7.0 in an hour or so.
Yeah I know what you're talking about, just adding on to ADT.
K. The suspense is killing me. This is like a buzzer beater.
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6.0
TXPZ26 KNES 010628
TCSENP
A. 01E (ANDRES)
B. 01/0600Z
C. 15.4N
D. 119.5W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN LG AND SURROUNDED BY W WITH 1.0
ADDED FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT YIELDING A DT OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE.
FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER
=
TXPZ26 KNES 010628
TCSENP
A. 01E (ANDRES)
B. 01/0600Z
C. 15.4N
D. 119.5W
E. ONE/GOES-W
F. T6.0/6.0/D1.0/24HRS
G. IR/EIR/SWIR
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE IS EMBEDDED IN LG AND SURROUNDED BY W WITH 1.0
ADDED FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT YIELDING A DT OF 6.0. MET AND PT AGREE.
FT IS BASED ON DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...KIBLER
=
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- Yellow Evan
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Re: Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:K. The suspense is killing me. This is like a buzzer beater.
Initially, I was worried about it getting to Cat.5 and then weakening back to Cat.4 before the advisory.
Happy it's still working.
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Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:wtf....
I'm comparing Andres Dvorak imagery with past Cat.5 hurricanes Dvorak imagery and other than larger CDO's, I don't see differences.
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/tdpositions.html
This isn't updating. Maybe they're re-doing it?
Edit: Link is now dead.
This isn't updating. Maybe they're re-doing it?
Edit: Link is now dead.
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Re:
Krit-tonkla wrote:I guess the black is a little less than 0.5 deg.
Or they're using a different algorithm.
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Re:
Yellow Evan wrote:I guess it's legit. Wonder if this gets thrown out or not.
01/0600 UTC 15.4N 119.5W T6.0/6.0 ANDRES -- East Pacific
Even if they were not sure about the convection, microwave imagery showed a completed strong eyewall earlier.
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