ATL: DANIELLE - Remnants - Discussion

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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#201 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 3:42 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200836
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 29 20160620
082630 2053N 09420W 8429 01604 0138 +170 +072 133029 029 022 002 01
082700 2053N 09420W 8429 01604 0142 +166 +073 132031 032 022 002 01
082730 2057N 09420W 8432 01599 0142 +165 +063 132032 032 021 001 00
082800 2059N 09420W 8427 01605 0142 +166 +059 133031 032 023 000 01
082830 2101N 09420W 8433 01599 0141 +165 +069 133032 033 021 001 01
082900 2102N 09420W 8425 01606 0141 +165 +071 133033 033 023 001 01
082930 2104N 09420W 8432 01603 0141 +168 +074 133033 033 024 000 01
083000 2106N 09420W 8432 01600 0139 +170 +072 134033 033 023 001 01
083030 2108N 09420W 8432 01601 0138 +170 +070 133033 033 022 000 01
083100 2110N 09421W 8430 01602 0138 +170 +067 130033 033 021 001 05
083130 2112N 09421W 8425 01607 0138 +170 +068 131033 034 023 000 01
083200 2114N 09421W 8434 01597 0139 +170 +072 131033 034 023 000 01
083230 2115N 09421W 8429 01604 0140 +170 +076 131033 033 021 001 01
083300 2117N 09421W 8430 01602 0141 +170 +078 130032 033 022 001 01
083330 2119N 09421W 8429 01606 0145 +170 +067 131031 031 023 000 05
083400 2120N 09422W 8422 01617 0149 +169 +071 132030 031 /// /// 05
083430 2120N 09424W 8433 01600 0142 +167 +083 131028 029 021 001 01
083500 2118N 09425W 8426 01607 //// +168 //// 130029 029 022 001 01
083530 2117N 09426W 8432 01599 0140 +170 +080 131030 030 024 000 01
083600 2116N 09427W 8430 01601 0139 +169 +079 131031 031 022 001 01
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#202 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 3:49 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200846
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 30 20160620
083630 2115N 09429W 8428 01601 0140 +168 +069 134030 030 021 000 01
083700 2114N 09430W 8432 01602 0140 +167 +073 135030 030 020 001 01
083730 2113N 09431W 8428 01603 0139 +165 +080 137030 030 022 000 01
083800 2113N 09431W 8428 01603 0139 +165 +079 137030 030 022 001 01
083830 2110N 09434W 8430 01600 0139 +165 +075 136030 030 021 001 01
083900 2109N 09435W 8432 01599 0140 +165 +072 135030 031 022 001 01
083930 2108N 09436W 8432 01600 0142 +165 +081 135031 031 021 001 01
084000 2107N 09437W 8428 01602 0143 +165 +066 134030 031 020 002 01
084030 2106N 09439W 8434 01596 0144 +165 +059 134029 030 020 003 01
084100 2105N 09440W 8425 01604 0141 +164 +071 131029 029 022 003 01
084130 2103N 09441W 8433 01596 0142 +165 +073 131028 029 022 002 01
084200 2102N 09442W 8426 01606 0140 +166 +072 128026 027 023 002 01
084230 2101N 09444W 8431 01598 0139 +168 +061 127025 025 024 001 00
084300 2100N 09445W 8433 01597 0140 +166 +067 126025 026 023 003 00
084330 2059N 09446W 8430 01599 0141 +164 +061 127025 026 023 003 01
084400 2057N 09448W 8427 01603 0141 +163 +057 128024 024 023 004 01
084430 2056N 09449W 8429 01599 0137 +165 +063 124024 024 023 005 00
084500 2055N 09450W 8433 01595 0138 +165 +069 125025 026 024 004 01
084530 2054N 09451W 8431 01597 0139 +165 +069 122025 026 025 004 01
084600 2053N 09453W 8429 01596 0140 +160 +051 121025 026 024 005 01
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Advisories

#203 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 3:53 am

000
WTNT34 KNHC 200849
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016
400 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

...RAINS FROM THE DEPRESSION BEGINNING TO SPREAD ACROSS THE COAST OF
MEXICO...


SUMMARY OF 400 AM CDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 95.9W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM ESE OF TUXPAN MEXICO
ABOUT 70 MI...115 KM NNE OF VERACRUZ MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Laguna Verde to Rio Panuco Mexico

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 AM CDT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Four was
located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 95.9 West. The
depression is moving toward the west near 7 mph (11 km/h), and
this general motion is expected to continue over the next day
or so. On the forecast track, the center of the depression is
expected to move inland over eastern Mexico later today or
tonight.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast, and the depression could
become a tropical storm before it makes landfall in Mexico later
today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: The depression is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 6 to 10 inches with isolated maximum amounts of 15
inches possible in higher terrain over the Mexican states of
Veracruz, Tamaulipas, San Luis Potosi, Queretaro, Hidalgo, and
northern Puebla. These rains could cause life-threatening flash
floods and mud slides.

WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the coast
within portions of the warning area later this morning, making
outside preparations difficult or dangerous.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 AM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 AM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Pasch


000
WTNT24 KNHC 200848
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016
0900 UTC MON JUN 20 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAGUNA VERDE TO RIO PANUCO MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 95.9W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 95.9W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.1N 95.6W

FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 20.2N 96.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 20.0N 98.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.2N 95.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH

000
WTNT44 KNHC 200851
TCDAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR DISCUSSION NUMBER 3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042016
400 AM CDT MON JUN 20 2016

Observations from an Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft
investigating the tropical cyclone indicate that it has not
strengthened, with no increase in flight-level winds and no
significant fall in central pressure since the last mission on
Sunday afternoon. Data from the aircraft show some elongation of
the circulation from northwest to southeast, and this elongation was
also suggested in a recent ASCAT overpass as well as in recent GFS
model surface wind forecasts. Very cold cloud tops developed near
the center, but the area of convection is rather shapeless with
little evidence of banding features. The current intensity is held
at 30 kt. There is now only a short time remaining for
strengthening but since the shear has relaxed somewhat over the
system, it could still become a tropical storm before reaching the
coast. The official intensity forecast is slightly above the latest
LGEM guidance. After landfall, weakening over the mountainous
terrain of eastern Mexico is likely, and the system should dissipate
on Tuesday.

A slow westward motion, at around 280/6 kt, continues. The track
forecast and its reasoning are the same as in the previous package.
The cyclone is expected to continue to move generally westward to
the south of a large mid-level high pressure area. The official
forecast track is close to the latest dynamical model consensus.

Heavy rainfall continues to be the primary threat associated with
this system. These rains could cause life-threatening flash floods
and mud slides over portions of eastern Mexico over the next couple
of days.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 20/0900Z 20.2N 95.9W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 20/1800Z 20.2N 96.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
24H 21/0600Z 20.0N 98.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Pasch
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#204 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:06 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200856
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 31 20160620
084630 2052N 09454W 8429 01600 0143 +158 +057 123027 027 025 006 01
084700 2050N 09455W 8429 01598 0142 +155 +060 122027 027 024 006 00
084730 2049N 09457W 8431 01597 0145 +154 +060 126029 030 026 007 01
084800 2048N 09458W 8430 01597 0143 +155 +045 127029 030 025 007 01
084830 2047N 09459W 8429 01599 0142 +160 +061 124029 029 026 005 01
084900 2046N 09500W 8429 01599 0140 +160 +054 121029 029 026 005 01
084930 2044N 09502W 8433 01592 0138 +161 +051 123030 031 028 004 01
085000 2043N 09503W 8428 01599 0137 +164 +033 126031 032 026 004 01
085030 2042N 09504W 8430 01595 0135 +165 +047 125032 032 027 004 01
085100 2041N 09505W 8429 01596 0133 +165 +049 126033 033 026 004 01
085130 2040N 09507W 8433 01592 0133 +165 +050 128033 033 028 004 05
085200 2038N 09508W 8434 01591 0131 +165 +056 129033 034 025 005 01
085230 2037N 09508W 8426 01595 0132 +165 +052 130033 033 027 005 00
085300 2035N 09509W 8429 01595 0131 +165 +054 131032 033 028 004 05
085330 2034N 09510W 8434 01587 0133 +165 +045 131032 033 028 004 01
085400 2033N 09510W 8427 01594 0131 +163 +062 134031 032 028 006 01
085430 2031N 09511W 8427 01592 0130 +162 +060 129033 034 029 005 01
085500 2030N 09512W 8430 01588 0132 +160 +054 128035 035 030 005 01
085530 2028N 09512W 8431 01584 0133 +158 +054 120034 036 034 008 05
085600 2027N 09513W 8432 01585 0128 +165 +052 131029 032 034 005 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#205 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:18 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200906
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 32 20160620
085630 2025N 09514W 8429 01587 0129 +162 +052 125032 033 036 006 01
085700 2024N 09515W 8432 01587 0129 +160 +057 121034 036 037 006 01
085730 2023N 09516W 8421 01595 0130 +159 +055 126035 036 036 009 01
085800 2021N 09517W 8417 01601 0136 +152 +046 142030 036 038 014 01
085830 2020N 09518W 8430 01588 0133 +153 +060 154025 027 039 015 05
085900 2019N 09519W 8430 01587 0134 +151 +055 159025 025 034 010 01
085930 2018N 09520W 8429 01590 0132 +154 +045 162023 025 035 007 01
090000 2017N 09522W 8432 01584 0129 +160 +037 163022 023 035 006 01
090030 2016N 09523W 8425 01590 0125 +159 +052 165023 023 032 009 01
090100 2016N 09525W 8433 01580 0124 +158 +045 162022 023 032 009 01
090130 2015N 09527W 8432 01579 0119 +162 +061 162020 022 031 009 01
090200 2015N 09528W 8423 01585 0116 +170 +050 172021 023 027 008 05
090230 2014N 09530W 8427 01579 0111 +171 +054 177019 022 029 006 01
090300 2014N 09532W 8429 01578 0118 +158 +050 174018 019 028 006 01
090330 2013N 09533W 8433 01571 0118 +158 +055 204014 017 027 009 05
090400 2013N 09535W 8422 01583 0116 +155 +055 222015 017 025 008 01
090430 2013N 09537W 8430 01576 0121 +150 +055 228020 021 024 011 00
090500 2014N 09538W 8424 01578 0122 +142 +042 227021 023 038 017 01
090530 2015N 09539W 8426 01571 0122 +136 +051 232016 020 039 016 01
090600 2016N 09541W 8427 01571 0121 +134 +049 246014 016 034 026 01
$$
;
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#206 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:18 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200916
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 33 20160620
090630 2017N 09542W 8427 01569 0123 +133 +034 271015 017 035 032 01
090700 2018N 09543W 8433 01561 0123 +133 +033 272009 014 028 042 05
090730 2020N 09543W 8436 01558 0125 +131 +031 234008 011 033 029 05
090800 2021N 09544W 8426 01568 0113 +147 +037 221012 013 036 019 01
090830 2023N 09545W 8435 01559 0113 +150 +039 204014 015 032 012 05
090900 2024N 09547W 8424 01567 0109 +145 +040 197016 020 027 012 05
090930 2024N 09548W 8439 01545 0097 +151 +037 200011 022 029 009 01
091000 2025N 09550W 8427 01557 0084 +168 +033 294007 010 028 007 05
091030 2026N 09551W 8420 01557 0090 +151 +045 042014 018 031 009 00
091100 2027N 09552W 8429 01561 0115 +136 +050 059023 025 031 014 03
091130 2027N 09554W 8446 01548 0118 +136 +047 017011 021 024 042 00
091200 2026N 09556W 8406 01582 0113 +138 +041 359016 020 049 024 00
091230 2024N 09557W 8432 01560 0111 +147 +044 351014 016 042 019 00
091300 2023N 09558W 8433 01566 0116 +149 +039 348016 017 032 011 00
091330 2022N 09559W 8428 01576 0116 +153 +041 330016 020 029 008 01
091400 2021N 09601W 8435 01566 0121 +148 +046 317021 022 029 008 00
091430 2019N 09602W 8432 01571 0125 +144 +045 314023 024 028 010 01
091500 2018N 09603W 8427 01577 0131 +133 +040 315027 030 032 023 00
091530 2017N 09604W 8425 01580 0130 +136 +043 306032 033 039 013 00
091600 2016N 09605W 8437 01569 0131 +138 +041 300031 036 039 015 00
$$
;
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#207 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:20 am

SFMR reported quite a number of 35kt+ winds but some were contaminated by high rain rates. Flight-level winds are not fully conclusive for an upgrade but I won't rule out the possibility completely attm.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#208 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:28 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200926
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 34 20160620
091630 2014N 09606W 8428 01578 0131 +140 +045 304031 032 041 014 00
091700 2013N 09607W 8430 01577 0123 +154 +044 302030 030 034 006 00
091730 2012N 09608W 8430 01579 0119 +161 +041 301030 030 035 004 00
091800 2011N 09609W 8429 01585 0122 +160 +044 301029 030 034 003 00
091830 2009N 09610W 8430 01582 0123 +160 +048 300028 029 031 004 00
091900 2008N 09611W 8434 01577 0119 +165 +053 300027 028 031 003 00
091930 2007N 09612W 8430 01583 0118 +167 +058 297027 027 032 001 00
092000 2006N 09613W 8429 01582 0118 +168 +053 294028 028 030 003 00
092030 2004N 09614W 8429 01582 0118 +165 +064 293028 029 031 002 00
092100 2003N 09615W 8432 01583 0118 +168 +064 296028 029 030 003 00
092130 2002N 09616W 8430 01583 0121 +166 +066 293029 030 029 002 03
092200 2001N 09617W 8430 01582 0122 +165 +070 293030 030 030 002 03
092230 1959N 09618W 8429 01584 0121 +165 +069 295029 030 031 001 00
092300 1958N 09619W 8430 01582 0120 +165 +078 294030 031 033 001 00
092330 1957N 09620W 8423 01594 0125 +166 +077 291031 032 028 002 03
092400 1955N 09619W 8434 01578 0121 +163 +075 287031 031 031 002 00
092430 1954N 09618W 8430 01583 0123 +161 +072 285031 031 029 001 01
092500 1952N 09617W 8429 01582 0123 +160 +083 283031 031 028 002 00
092530 1951N 09615W 8430 01583 0123 +162 +075 283031 032 028 002 00
092600 1949N 09614W 8428 01588 0123 +165 +082 280031 032 030 002 03
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#209 Postby xironman » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:38 am

Looks like a clean 40kt SFMR, with that and the pressure drop they might go for it.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#210 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:40 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200936
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 35 20160620
092630 1948N 09613W 8432 01582 0124 +165 +086 276031 032 029 001 03
092700 1946N 09613W 8429 01587 0125 +164 +074 272032 032 031 002 00
092730 1945N 09612W 8427 01589 0125 +163 +082 273033 033 028 002 01
092800 1943N 09612W 8433 01583 0125 +165 +076 274028 032 025 003 03
092830 1941N 09612W 8430 01588 0127 +163 +085 278022 026 024 002 03
092900 1940N 09612W 8430 01589 0128 +161 +077 272018 020 020 003 00
092930 1938N 09612W 8428 01590 0127 +162 +076 267015 017 020 003 00
093000 1936N 09612W 8428 01590 0127 +161 +080 259014 016 016 002 00
093030 1935N 09612W 8429 01585 0124 +166 +080 257015 017 014 002 03
093100 1933N 09612W 8432 01585 0123 +170 +078 261017 018 013 001 00
093130 1931N 09611W 8432 01587 0125 +168 +074 259015 017 015 003 05
093200 1930N 09611W 8429 01588 0126 +168 +078 255013 014 014 004 03
093230 1928N 09611W 8430 01589 0126 +167 +079 251014 015 011 002 00
093300 1927N 09610W 8429 01587 0125 +165 +080 251016 016 012 001 03
093330 1926N 09608W 8433 01585 0125 +165 +083 253016 016 015 000 01
093400 1926N 09608W 8433 01585 0125 +163 +076 256016 016 017 001 00
093430 1923N 09606W 8429 01588 0126 +165 +076 258017 017 007 002 01
093500 1922N 09605W 8429 01588 0127 +165 +076 258017 017 008 003 03
093530 1920N 09604W 8432 01585 0125 +165 +081 261016 017 010 002 00
093600 1919N 09603W 8428 01588 0126 +165 +082 262015 016 011 005 05
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#211 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:40 am

000
URNT12 KNHC 200932 CCA
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE AL042016
A. 20/09:09:40Z
B. 20 deg 24 min N
095 deg 49 min W
C. 850 mb 1483 m
D. 39 kt
E. 137 deg 12 nm
F. 126 deg 36 kt
G. 093 deg 30 nm
H. 1007 mb
I. 17 C / 1533 m
J. 15 C / 1522 m
K. 3 C / NA
L. NA
M. NA
N. 134 / 8
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF308 0204A CYCLONE OB 09 CCA
MAX FL WIND 36 KT 093 / 30 NM 08:57:30Z
MAX OUTBOUND FL WIND 36 KT 243 / 17 NM 09:15:50Z
CNTR DROPSONDE SFC WIND 025 / 7 KT
MAX FL TEMP 18 C 117 / 20 NM FROM FL CNTR
;
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#212 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:48 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200946
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 36 20160620
093630 1917N 09602W 8432 01587 0126 +165 +075 263015 015 011 004 03
093700 1916N 09601W 8429 01588 0125 +165 +073 263014 015 016 001 00
093730 1915N 09600W 8431 01586 0123 +165 +078 263013 014 013 002 05
093800 1913N 09559W 8431 01585 0123 +170 +082 265011 012 011 001 03
093830 1912N 09557W 8428 01592 0124 +170 +070 267012 012 007 002 03
093900 1911N 09556W 8430 01589 0124 +170 +075 265012 013 011 002 03
093930 1909N 09555W 8431 01587 0124 +170 +074 263013 013 012 002 03
094000 1908N 09554W 8429 01590 0122 +170 +081 259013 014 014 005 01
094030 1907N 09553W 8429 01588 0121 +170 +076 266013 014 007 003 05
094100 1906N 09551W 8429 01587 0119 +173 +076 266014 015 010 004 00
094130 1905N 09550W 8432 01586 0120 +175 +079 264015 015 011 002 03
094200 1904N 09548W 8429 01588 0120 +175 +076 260014 015 011 004 00
094230 1904N 09546W 8429 01589 0122 +175 +077 250015 016 013 003 03
094300 1903N 09545W 8429 01591 0123 +173 +073 248014 015 008 003 00
094330 1902N 09543W 8433 01587 0125 +172 +073 249014 015 013 002 03
094400 1901N 09542W 8429 01591 0126 +170 +077 252013 014 012 002 00
094430 1900N 09540W 8430 01589 0126 +170 +082 254014 014 016 002 05
094500 1900N 09538W 8429 01591 0126 +170 +080 255014 014 010 003 01
094530 1859N 09537W 8430 01589 0127 +170 +068 257014 014 012 002 01
094600 1858N 09535W 8429 01589 0126 +171 +083 260013 014 012 001 00
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#213 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:58 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 200956
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 37 20160620
094630 1857N 09533W 8429 01592 0125 +173 +083 262011 012 008 003 00
094700 1857N 09532W 8429 01593 0125 +175 +078 270010 010 009 003 00
094730 1856N 09530W 8429 01595 0127 +175 +079 278008 009 011 002 03
094800 1855N 09528W 8430 01594 0128 +175 +075 279007 008 013 002 00
094830 1855N 09527W 8425 01600 0128 +175 +071 288006 008 014 002 00
094900 1855N 09525W 8432 01592 0124 +175 +069 291007 008 016 003 00
094930 1855N 09523W 8428 01595 0123 +180 +081 309008 009 013 003 00
095000 1855N 09521W 8430 01592 0123 +178 +076 323009 010 013 003 00
095030 1855N 09520W 8428 01594 0127 +169 +081 340011 012 016 002 03
095100 1855N 09518W 8428 01593 0133 +165 +075 341014 015 015 003 03
095130 1855N 09516W 8430 01596 0134 +162 +075 339018 019 018 002 00
095200 1855N 09514W 8432 01594 0137 +160 +076 340018 019 021 002 03
095230 1855N 09513W 8430 01595 0141 +155 +072 339017 018 013 004 00
095300 1854N 09511W 8429 01599 0142 +155 +071 342016 018 014 004 05
095330 1854N 09509W 8429 01597 0142 +155 +065 342016 017 013 002 03
095400 1854N 09507W 8429 01598 0142 +155 +064 337015 017 012 003 00
095430 1854N 09505W 8429 01597 0143 +155 +060 321017 018 013 004 01
095500 1854N 09504W 8422 01603 0143 +152 +070 314019 022 009 006 03
095530 1854N 09502W 8435 01591 0143 +152 +065 316018 019 015 005 05
095600 1855N 09500W 8433 01590 0138 +158 +058 310020 022 019 006 01
$$


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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#214 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jun 20, 2016 4:59 am

Connection just keeps blowing up like a balloon!! 11AM update will be interesting, especially if the pressure drops
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#215 Postby weathaguyry » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:00 am

Convection, sorry :double:
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#216 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:08 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 201006
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 38 20160620
095630 1855N 09458W 8432 01591 0145 +146 +059 295016 020 023 010 00
095700 1855N 09456W 8422 01599 0142 +147 +058 272016 018 024 010 01
095730 1856N 09455W 8428 01596 0141 +151 +047 238011 017 022 008 01
095800 1856N 09453W 8424 01593 0140 +146 +054 210010 012 028 015 00
095830 1857N 09451W 8432 01586 0146 +138 +050 169005 008 027 014 00
095900 1858N 09450W 8433 01588 0143 +147 +041 126003 004 023 010 00
095930 1859N 09448W 8429 01594 0142 +151 +041 189003 004 020 006 00
100000 1900N 09447W 8429 01596 0141 +157 +030 180005 006 018 007 01
100030 1901N 09445W 8429 01597 0146 +150 +040 165005 006 018 007 00
100100 1902N 09444W 8429 01598 0146 +151 +035 177007 010 018 009 00
100130 1903N 09442W 8432 01592 0145 +151 +038 187008 009 018 009 00
100200 1903N 09441W 8427 01599 0143 +151 +037 178008 009 021 008 00
100230 1904N 09439W 8433 01593 0140 +157 +043 185006 007 019 008 01
100300 1905N 09438W 8430 01598 0140 +163 +039 203005 006 018 007 03
100330 1907N 09438W 8428 01596 0138 +165 +040 197005 006 014 006 01
100400 1908N 09440W 8432 01593 0137 +162 +047 180005 006 013 006 00
100430 1909N 09441W 8433 01591 0139 +160 +048 180005 005 015 007 00
100500 1910N 09442W 8424 01601 0137 +163 +052 174009 014 029 006 00
100530 1912N 09444W 8433 01594 0141 +159 +050 177008 015 027 010 00
100600 1913N 09445W 8427 01599 0144 +154 +054 172009 010 025 011 01
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#217 Postby panamatropicwatch » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:11 am

Looks like they are going for another center fix. That was a pretty good drop in pressure and quite a northward jog.
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#218 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:27 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 201016
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 39 20160620
100630 1914N 09446W 8430 01598 0151 +144 +054 176011 014 026 015 05
100700 1915N 09447W 8425 01600 0155 +136 +058 164007 009 030 030 00
100730 1916N 09449W 8430 01593 0147 +143 +049 148010 011 040 017 01
100800 1918N 09450W 8427 01596 0148 +144 +049 129013 013 038 015 01
100830 1919N 09451W 8432 01591 0159 +123 +041 125013 014 024 053 05
100900 1920N 09453W 8424 01595 0157 +123 +048 111019 021 052 055 05
100930 1921N 09454W 8423 01596 0155 +130 +020 121010 021 058 037 05
101000 1923N 09455W 8432 01588 0152 +138 +035 158010 017 050 031 03
101030 1924N 09456W 8423 01607 0154 +140 +037 337008 011 051 033 03
101100 1925N 09457W 8447 01579 0150 +150 +038 331011 015 039 016 00
101130 1926N 09459W 8424 01604 0151 +149 +038 317010 011 030 011 00
101200 1927N 09500W 8418 01606 0153 +140 +047 287011 014 027 020 03
101230 1928N 09501W 8439 01584 0152 +136 +040 288013 015 036 047 00
101300 1929N 09502W 8424 01599 0152 +136 +045 308015 019 035 043 03
101330 1930N 09503W 8437 01587 0147 +150 +042 283018 019 033 019 00
101400 1931N 09504W 8429 01596 0144 +154 +042 284017 017 024 005 00
101430 1932N 09505W 8428 01598 0143 +155 +042 283017 017 025 004 00
101500 1934N 09506W 8432 01592 0143 +153 +044 280016 017 022 004 00
101530 1935N 09508W 8430 01595 0141 +155 +052 278015 016 020 005 00
101600 1936N 09509W 8427 01598 0143 +152 +050 284016 017 021 005 00
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Recon

#219 Postby NotoSans » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:27 am

000
URNT15 KNHC 201026
AF308 0204A CYCLONE HDOB 40 20160620
101630 1937N 09510W 8429 01596 0140 +156 +056 286017 017 020 005 00
101700 1938N 09511W 8437 01584 0142 +152 +048 283017 019 028 011 00
101730 1939N 09512W 8425 01598 0144 +150 +056 289017 018 022 011 00
101800 1940N 09513W 8432 01591 0138 +160 +052 289016 016 023 007 00
101830 1941N 09514W 8434 01589 0138 +160 +053 285016 017 023 004 00
101900 1942N 09516W 8430 01593 0136 +162 +054 284018 018 019 004 00
101930 1943N 09517W 8430 01591 0133 +165 +062 283019 019 025 004 00
102000 1944N 09518W 8429 01595 0136 +160 +060 284017 018 022 004 00
102030 1945N 09519W 8429 01593 0136 +160 +065 284017 018 023 004 01
102100 1946N 09520W 8430 01592 0136 +160 +067 285017 017 023 004 00
102130 1948N 09521W 8422 01602 0135 +162 +064 278016 017 023 004 00
102200 1949N 09522W 8433 01589 0132 +164 +068 281014 016 026 002 00
102230 1950N 09522W 8432 01589 0131 +162 +073 284013 014 020 004 00
102300 1952N 09523W 8432 01592 0131 +165 +067 281014 015 020 004 00
102330 1953N 09524W 8433 01589 0128 +167 +076 269016 017 024 002 00
102400 1955N 09524W 8429 01590 0128 +166 +067 267016 016 021 004 00
102430 1957N 09524W 8429 01592 0131 +161 +069 267015 016 018 006 00
102500 1958N 09524W 8429 01592 0131 +160 +071 265015 015 023 005 00
102530 2000N 09525W 8428 01591 0130 +160 +067 261016 016 016 006 00
102600 2001N 09525W 8429 01590 0132 +157 +070 264018 018 022 009 00
$$
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Re: ATL: FOUR - Tropical Depression - Discussion

#220 Postby tailgater » Mon Jun 20, 2016 5:30 am

Shear seems to have dropped a good deal as we see the CDO expanding in all directions.
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