ATL: JULIA - Models
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- Blown Away
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
18z Guidance... Again the TVCN Consensus has Julia or what's left moving over Florida Peninsula in @ 5 days... Lot's of meandering...
18z Intensity... Trending upward...
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
The intensity models have me on guard right now, one has to remember Joaquin last year as Julia could find a better environment below 30N and possibly become more than most models are showing
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
I think that the 18zGFS on Julia is trash, shows it not heading SSW when the current motion is SSW
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
Hurricaneman wrote:The intensity models have me on guard right now, one has to remember Joaquin last year as Julia could find a better environment below 30N and possibly become more than most models are showing
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
Indeed. If Julia keeps moving south, there's a large area of low shear conditions below it.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/a ... wg8shr.GIF
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
00z Guidance Models... Major SW shift in modeling...
00z Intensity... Major uptick in strength... Not sure how a naked swirl becomes a hurricane...
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Re: ATL: JULIA - Models
Blown Away wrote:
00z Guidance Models... Major SW shift in modeling...
00z Intensity... Major uptick in strength... Not sure how a naked swirl becomes a hurricane...
If shear lowers
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