WPAC : INVEST 95W

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2132
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

WPAC : INVEST 95W

#1 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Oct 13, 2016 4:37 am

Another one!!!
This disturbance has flaring deep convection near 8N 166.5E / in the vicinity of Kwajalein Atoll
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/95W/95W_floater.html

Just as expected, October produces lots of activity in WPAC.
Last edited by mrbagyo on Thu Oct 13, 2016 7:06 pm, edited 3 times in total.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
mrbagyo
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2132
Age: 27
Joined: Thu Apr 12, 2012 9:18 am
Location: 14.13N 120.98E
Contact:

Re: WPAC : INVEST 95W

#2 Postby mrbagyo » Thu Oct 13, 2016 7:04 pm

Convection has tapered off and it's very dificult to ascertain if this invest has any sort of closed LLCC.
0 likes   
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to RSMC, NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16283
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC : INVEST 95W

#3 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 14, 2016 12:23 am

AN AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) HAS PERSISTED NEAR 8.9N
166.5E, APPROXIMATELY 73 NM WEST OF KWAJALEIN. ANIMATED
MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A 131936Z SSMIS 91 GHZ IMAGE
BOTH DEPICT BROAD TURNING WITH RELATIVELY DISORGANIZED CONVECTION.
UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS A MARGINALLY FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOW 5 TO 10 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND IMPROVING EQUATORWARD
OUTFLOW, ENHANCED BY A TROPICAL UPPER TROPOSPHERIC TROUGH (TUTT)
CELL LOCATED TO THE NORTHWEST AND A POINT SOURCE SITUATED OVER THE
BROAD AREA OF CIRCULATION. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATED LIMITED
DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1008 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS IS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16283
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC : INVEST 95W

#4 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 14, 2016 6:43 am

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95w) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 8.9N 166.5E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.3N 165.3E, APPROXIMATELY 435
NM NORTHEAST OF PHONPEI. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND A 140303Z MHS NOAA-19 89 GHZ IMAGE BOTH DEPICT BROAD TURNING
WITH WEAK DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN
UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND
SHEAR AND LIMITED OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE LITTLE TO NO
DEVELOPMENT AS THE SYSTEM TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL
PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS REMAINS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16283
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC : INVEST 95W

#5 Postby euro6208 » Fri Oct 14, 2016 10:13 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.3N 165.3E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 9.1N 160.7E, APPROXIMATELY 45
NM SOUTH OF UJELANG. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY AND A
142026Z 91GHZ SSMIS IMAGE BOTH DEPICT BROAD TURNING WITH WEAK
DISORGANIZED CONVECTION. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS REVEALS AN UNFAVORABLE
ENVIRONMENT WITH MODERATE 15 TO 20 KNOT VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
LIMITED OUTFLOW. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE LITTLE TO NO DEVELOPMENT AS
THE DISTURBANCE TRACKS TO THE NORTHWEST. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 10 TO 15 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1007 MB. DUE TO THE UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT,
THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/

User avatar
euro6208
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 16283
Age: 31
Joined: Mon Mar 08, 2004 7:50 pm
Location: Guam U.S.A

Re: WPAC : INVEST 95W

#6 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 15, 2016 3:53 pm

THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 95W) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 9.3N 165.3E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
0 likes   
Remember, all of my post aren't official. For official warnings and discussions, Please refer to your local NWS products...

NWS for the Western Pacific

https://www.weather.gov/gum/


Return to “2016”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest