WPAC: HAIMA - Post-Tropical

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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#61 Postby 1900hurricane » Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:09 pm

JMA up to a severe tropical storm. Like JTWC, they're also forecasting a T7.0 intensity.

STS 1622 (Haima)
Issued at 01:05 UTC, 16 October 2016

<Analysis at 00 UTC, 16 October>
Scale -
Intensity -
Center position N9°55' (9.9°)
E139°35' (139.6°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 15 km/h (8 kt)
Central pressure 980 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 30 m/s (55 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 40 m/s (80 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 90 km (50 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 280 km (150 NM)

<Forecast for 12 UTC, 16 October>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N11°10' (11.2°)
E138°25' (138.4°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 15 km/h (9 kt)
Central pressure 965 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (70 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (100 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 150 km (80 NM)

<Forecast for 00 UTC, 17 October>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N12°35' (12.6°)
E136°35' (136.6°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20 km/h (11 kt)
Central pressure 955 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (80 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (115 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 220 km (120 NM)

<Forecast for 00 UTC, 18 October>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N14°50' (14.8°)
E131°55' (131.9°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure 925 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 50 m/s (100 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70 m/s (140 kt)
Radius of probability circle 200 km (110 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 350 km (190 NM)

<Forecast for 00 UTC, 19 October>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N16°00' (16.0°)
E126°50' (126.8°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure 915 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 55 m/s (105 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75 m/s (150 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 430 km (230 NM)
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Tropical Storm

#62 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:14 pm

It passed over Ulithi and highest wind gust is 66mph about an hour ago before it went offline.
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Tropical Storm

#63 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 15, 2016 8:24 pm

Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#64 Postby cycloneye » Sat Oct 15, 2016 9:43 pm

JTWC upgrades to Typhoon and makes it a SuperTyphoon as it approaches northern Luzon..

Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#65 Postby mrbagyo » Sat Oct 15, 2016 10:05 pm

:uarrow:
that's a tad more south than the previous forecast - that would take it into the border of Isabela and Cagayan


Image
JMA is going for a Northern Isabela landfall - very near the coastal towns where Megi unleashed hell in 2010

Euro still showing a typhoon over or just southwest of the Pearl River Delta.
Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#66 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 15, 2016 11:38 pm

WDPN32 PGTW 160300
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TROPICAL STORM 25W (HAIMA) WARNING NR
06//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON 25W (HAIMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 13 NM NORTH-NORTHWEST
OF ULITHI, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE
PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED (EIR) SATELLITE
IMAGERY DEPICTS DEEP CONVECTION WITH IMPROVING BANDING WRAPPING INTO
THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS
PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY
(MSI). THE INITIAL INTENSITY IS RAISED TO 65 KNOTS BASED ON A BLEND
OF THE 152100Z DVORAK ESTIMATES OF T4.5 FROM KNES AND T3.5 FROM PGTW
FOLLOWED BY THE 160000Z ESTIMATE OF T4.0 FROM PGTW. TY 25W REMAINS
WITHIN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR INTENSIFICATION, WITH LOW
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SSTS. IT IS
TRACKING UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN.
B. THROUGH TAU 72, TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING
THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION, WITH WARM SSTS, EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THUS, A PERIOD OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST, AND TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO REACH SUPER
TYPHOON INTENSITY IN APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 3 DAYS.
C. BEYOND TAU 72, GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF
SLIGHTLY MORE RESTRICTED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE
SWITCHES TO THE STR NEAR TAIWAN, SO INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO
CEASE WITH SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING POSSIBLE JUST PRIOR TO LAND
INTERACTION WITH LUZON. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE JTWC INTENSITY
FORECAST SHOWING A DECREASE BY TAU 96. SOME SLIGHT RE-
INTENSIFICATION IS POSSIBLE AFTER THE LLCC EMERGES OVER THE LUZON
STRAIT OR THE SOUTH CHINA SEA. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN
GOOD AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST TRACK.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#67 Postby euro6208 » Sat Oct 15, 2016 11:41 pm

000
WTPQ82 PGUM 160435
HLSPQ2

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TYPHOON HAIMA (25W) LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
235 PM CHST SUN OCT 16 2016

...HAIMA IS NOW A TYPHOON...

.NEW INFORMATION...
NONE.

.AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS LOCAL STATEMENT PROVIDES INFORMATION AND RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
FOR PEOPLE ON YAP...FAIS AND ULITHI.

.WATCHES AND WARNINGS...
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP.

TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE EXPECTED WITHIN 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE OCCURRING OR ARE EXPECTED TO
OCCUR WITHIN 24 HOURS.

.STORM INFORMATION...
AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON HAIMA WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 DEGREES NORTH AND
LONGITUDE 139.1 DEGREES EAST.

THIS IS ABOUT 50 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI...ABOUT 105 MILES
WEST-NORTHWEST OF FAIS AND ABOUT 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF YAP.

.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
TYPHOON HAIMA IS MOVING WEST-NORTHWEST AT 9 MPH.

...FAIS...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DAMAGING WINDS ARE STILL OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. SMALL CRAFT
REMAIN IN PORT.

....WIND INFORMATION...
THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE PASSED FAIS. SOUTH WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH
WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN AND FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY LATE TONIGHT.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
ONE TO TWO FEET OF INUNDATION IS LIKELY. SURF WILL BE DANGEROUS
AT 13 TO 16 FEET ALONG WEST AND SOUTH FACING REEFS. RIP CURRENTS
WILL BE LIFE THREATENING.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES IS POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY ACROSS FAIS.

&&

...ULITHI...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
DESTRUCTIVE WINDS ARE OCCURRING AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
THE EVENING. A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT. SMALL CRAFT
REMAIN IN PORT.

....WIND INFORMATION...
THE STRONGEST WINDS HAVE LIKELY PASSED ULITH. THE EYE PASSED OVER
ULITHI FROM AROUND 8 AM TO 10 AM THIS MORNING. SOUTHWEST WINDS OF
55 TO 65 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON BUT WILL NOT FALL BELOW TROPICAL STORM INTENSITY UNTIL
MONDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
TWO TO THREE FEET OF INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. SURF WILL BE
DANGEROUS AT 14 TO 17 FEET ALONG SOUTH AND WEST FACING REEFS. RIP
CURRENTS ARE LIFE THREATENING.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
RAINFALL OF AN ADDITIONAL 4 TO 6 INCHES IS LIKELY THROUGH TONIGHT
ACROSS ULITHI.

&&

...YAP...

.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP. DAMAGING
WINDS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT REMAIN
IN PORT.

....WIND INFORMATION...

WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WILL TURN WEST AND INCREASE
TO 30 TO 40 MPH BY LATE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT AND SLOWLY WEAKEN BELOW TROPICAL STORM
INTENSITY MONDAY MORNING.

...STORM SURGE AND SURF INFORMATION...
ONE TO TWO FEET OF INUNDATION IS POSSIBLE. SURF WILL BE HAZARDOUS
AT 12 TO 15 FEET ALONG NORTH AND WEST FACING REEFS SUNDAY NIGHT
AND MONDAY. DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS TODAY THROUGH MONDAY.

...OTHER STORM EFFECTS...
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 3 TO 5 INCHES IS LIKELY TODAY THROUGH
MONDAY FOR YAP.

&&

.NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT LOCAL STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
ON TYPHOON HAIMA WILL BE AT 900 PM THIS EVENING.

$$

ZIOBRO/GUARD
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#68 Postby dexterlabio » Sun Oct 16, 2016 1:48 am

Do we have latest ASCAT image for Haima? Just to confirm if this storm's circulation is actually as huge as it seems in satellite picture.
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#69 Postby NotoSans » Sun Oct 16, 2016 1:56 am

dexterlabio wrote:Do we have latest ASCAT image for Haima? Just to confirm if this storm's circulation is actually as huge as it seems in satellite picture.

The circulation does not look very huge on the 2350Z ASCAT pass.
Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#70 Postby xtyphooncyclonex » Sun Oct 16, 2016 2:27 am

TY 1622 (Haima)
Issued at 07:05 UTC, 16 October 2016


<Analysis at 06 UTC, 16 October>
Scale -
Intensity Strong
Center position N10°25' (10.4°)
E139°05' (139.1°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 10 km/h (6 kt)
Central pressure 970 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 35 m/s (65 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 50 m/s (95 kt)
≥ 50 kt wind area ALL 90 km (50 NM)
≥ 30 kt wind area ALL 280 km (150 NM)

<Forecast for 18 UTC, 16 October>
Intensity Strong
Center position of probability circle N11°55' (11.9°)
E137°40' (137.7°)
Direction and speed of movement NW 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 960 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 40 m/s (75 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 55 m/s (105 kt)
Radius of probability circle 60 km (30 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 170 km (90 NM)

<Forecast for 06 UTC, 17 October>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N13°25' (13.4°)
E135°40' (135.7°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 20 km/h (10 kt)
Central pressure 945 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 45 m/s (85 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 60 m/s (120 kt)
Radius of probability circle 110 km (60 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 240 km (130 NM)

<Forecast for 06 UTC, 18 October>
Intensity Very strong
Center position of probability circle N15°25' (15.4°)
E130°50' (130.8°)
Direction and speed of movement WNW 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure 925 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 50 m/s (100 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 70 m/s (140 kt)
Radius of probability circle 200 km (110 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 370 km (200 NM)

<Forecast for 06 UTC, 19 October>
Intensity Violent
Center position of probability circle N16°30' (16.5°)
E125°25' (125.4°)
Direction and speed of movement W 25 km/h (13 kt)
Central pressure 915 hPa
Maximum wind speed near center 55 m/s (105 kt)
Maximum wind gust speed 75 m/s (150 kt)
Radius of probability circle 260 km (140 NM)
Storm warning area ALL 480 km (260 NM)
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#71 Postby mrbagyo » Sun Oct 16, 2016 3:13 am

Image

It looks big because of the excellent outflow.
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Severe Tropical Storm

#72 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 16, 2016 4:56 am

Up to 70 knots.

WDPN32 PGTW 160900
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/PROGNOSTIC REASONING FOR TYPHOON 25W (HAIMA) WARNING NR 07//
RMKS/
1. FOR METEOROLOGISTS.
2. 6 HOUR SUMMARY AND ANALYSIS.
TYPHOON 25W (HAIMA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 76 NM NORTHEAST OF YAP,
FSM, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.
ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) SHOWS THE SYSTEM HAS
MOSTLY MAINTAINED OVERALL CONVECTIVE SIGNATURE WITH A SLIGHT
IMPROVEMENT IN BANDING WRAPPING INTO THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC). THE INITIAL POSITION IS PLACED WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE BASED ON
A DIMPLE FEATURE OVER THE LLCC IN THE MSI LOOP. THE INITIAL INTENSITY
IS RAISED TO 70 KNOTS BASED ON A CONGRUENT DVORAK ESTIMATES FROM ALL
REPORTING AGENCIES. TY 25W REMAINS IN A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH
LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, GOOD RADIAL OUTFLOW, AND WARM SSTS. IT IS
TRACKING UNDER THE STEERING INFLUENCE OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE (STR)
TO THE NORTH.
3. FORECAST REASONING.
A. NO CHANGE TO THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY SINCE THE PREVIOUS
PROGNOSTIC REASONING BULLETIN.
B. THROUGH TAU 72, TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING
THROUGH AN ENVIRONMENT THAT IS SUPPORTIVE OF CONTINUED
INTENSIFICATION, WITH WARM SSTS, EXCELLENT UPPER-LEVEL
OUTFLOW, AND LOW VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. THUS, A PERIOD OF RAPID
INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST, AND TY 25W IS EXPECTED TO REACH SUPER
TYPHOON INTENSITY IN APPROXIMATELY 2 TO 3 DAYS.
C. BEYOND TAU 72, GLOBAL MODELS SUGGEST THE POSSIBILITY OF
SLIGHTLY MORE RESTRICTED POLEWARD OUTFLOW AS THE STEERING INFLUENCE
SWITCHES TO THE STR NEAR TAIWAN, SO INTENSIFICATION IS FORECAST TO
CEASE WITH SOME SLIGHT WEAKENING POSSIBLE JUST PRIOR TO LAND
INTERACTION WITH LUZON. THIS IS REFLECTED IN THE JTWC INTENSITY
FORECAST SHOWING A DECREASE BY TAU 96. DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT LENDING HIGH CONFIDENCE IN THE JTWC FORECAST
TRACK.//
NNNN
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#73 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 16, 2016 5:13 am

It's structure is excellent but it's CDO is very small. I wonder how strong it is now as Dvorak seems to be lagging especially in storms this small.

Image
Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#74 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 16, 2016 5:48 am

000
WTPQ32 PGUM 160904
TCPPQ2

BULLETIN
TYPHOON HAIMA (25W) ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP252016
800 PM CHST SUN OCT 16 2016

...TYPHOON HAIMA CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY
--------------------------
NONE.

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------------
A TYPHOON WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR FAIS AND ULITHI.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR YAP.

A TYPHOON WARNING MEANS TYPHOON CONDITIONS...INCLUDING DESTRUCTIVE
WINDS OF 74 MPH OR MORE...ARE OCCURING.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS...INCLUDING
DAMAGING WINDS OF 39 TO 73 MPH...ARE OCCURRING.

SUMMARY OF 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
------------------------------------------------
LOCATION...10.8N 138.5E

ABOUT 95 MILES NORTHWEST OF ULITHI
ABOUT 95 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF YAP
ABOUT 155 MILES WEST-NORTHWEST OF FAIS
ABOUT 460 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF GUAM

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NORTHWEST...305 DEGREES AT 8 MPH

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 700 PM CHST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TYPHOON HAIMA WAS LOCATED
BY SATELLITE NEAR LATITUDE 10.8 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 138.5
DEGREES EAST. HAIMA IS MOVING NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH. HAIMA IS EXPECTED
TO MAINTAIN THIS GENERAL HEADING WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 80 MPH. HAIMA WILL
CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN THE NEXT FEW DAYS.

TYPHOON FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE CENTER
WHILE TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES
FROM THE CENTER OF THE STORM.

NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER AT
1100 PM TONIGHT...FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT SCHEDULED ADVISORY AT 200 AM
MONDAY MORNING.

$$

M AYDLETT
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#75 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Oct 16, 2016 11:04 am

My current suspicions are that Haima will end up akin to Nuri '14 or Patricia '15 in terms of structure. Amidst a sea of bands and amazing outflow, it appears a small core may be developing.

Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#76 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Oct 16, 2016 11:31 am

Eye beginning to emerge.

Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#77 Postby NotoSans » Sun Oct 16, 2016 12:40 pm

Looks like RI (perhaps explosive intensification) has commenced. If I were the JMA I would switch the Himawari-8 rapid scan window over to this one. :lol:
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#78 Postby 1900hurricane » Sun Oct 16, 2016 12:43 pm

#ADTFail

Image
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#79 Postby NotoSans » Sun Oct 16, 2016 1:31 pm

JTWC goes with T5.5/5.5 while JMA at T5.0/5.0. I would expect an intensity estimate of 95 knots (80 knots from JMA) at 18Z.

TPPN12 PGTW 161824

A. TYPHOON 25W (HAIMA)

B. 16/1800Z

C. 12.24N

D. 137.82E

E. THREE/HMWRI8

F. T5.5/5.5/D2.0/24HRS STT: D1.0/03HRS

G. IR/EIR

H. REMARKS: 09A/PBO RAGGED EYE/ANMTN. OW EYE SURROUNDED BY LG
YIELDS AN E# OF 5.0. ADDED 0.5 FOR EYE ADJUSTMENT TO YIELD A DT
OF 5.5. MET AND PT YIELD A 5.0. DBO DT.

I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE


LEMBKE
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Re: WPAC: HAIMA - Typhoon

#80 Postby euro6208 » Sun Oct 16, 2016 2:27 pm

Extreme tight core. Likely getting underestimated big time now. +115 to 130 knots is my thinking. Recon?

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