Possible development in Western Caribbean - (Is INVEST 93L)
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- tropicwatch
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Winds appear to be increasing in that area.
Buoy 42056 Yucatan Basin
19.918 N 84.938 W (19°55'6" N 84°56'18" W)
Winds ESE 15.5kts
Pressure 1010.3
Station 42057
16.908 N 81.422 W (16°54'30" N 81°25'18" W)
Winds SE 17.5kts
Pressure 1009.9
Buoy 42056 Yucatan Basin
19.918 N 84.938 W (19°55'6" N 84°56'18" W)
Winds ESE 15.5kts
Pressure 1010.3
Station 42057
16.908 N 81.422 W (16°54'30" N 81°25'18" W)
Winds SE 17.5kts
Pressure 1009.9
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Tropicwatch
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
saved loop
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M a r k
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
The 0z Euro actually takes it to the Texas Mexico border and produces alot of rain from Houston and southward it shows up to 12 inches of rain in some spots in south Texas FWIW of course.
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.
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M a r k
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
tolakram wrote:Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.
I love the .5 km resolution!
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!
http://www.screentogif.com/
http://www.screentogif.com/
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M a r k
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- lrak
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
tolakram wrote:This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!
http://www.screentogif.com/
Thank you Mark, nifty program. Also after looking at the latest satellite the new big NW blob blow up looks like it is sucking in moisture on the southern section. Could this be the beginning?
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AKA karl
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
tolakram wrote:This is the tool I used to create the GIF. Not an endorsement, use at your own risk, and please don't ask me for help in using it!
http://www.screentogif.com/
Very cool tool, thanks for sharing
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
tolakram wrote:Here is the link to the GOES-16 imagery. The resolution is awesome, over double that of the current GOES E.
https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/goesEastfullDiskband02.html
You can't share direct links to the imagery, unfortunately. I used a screen2gif tool to create the animation in a previous post.
Area next to Jamaica looks interesting on this too.
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Nimbus wrote:Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?
I am also surprised this is not an invest, very noticeable broad surface circulation now in the GOH, just west of the deep convection.
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- Kazmit
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
How it looks on nullschool
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I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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- cycloneye
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
NDG wrote:Nimbus wrote:Not sure what we are looking at.
The latest convective burst may be signaling a persistent low pressure center.
Looks to me like the convection may be displaced east of the actual surface center(if there is one).
Beginning to look invest worthy so will be moving to active forum soon?
I am also surprised this is not an invest, very noticeable broad surface circulation now in the GOH, just west of the deep convection.
Anytime today it will be up so stay tuned.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
00z Euro Parallel more of the same.
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- lrak
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Kingarabian wrote:00z Euro Parallel more of the same.
Would more of the same mean the TX / MX border area?
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AKA karl
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Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Also
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
My posts on this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. My posts are my basic observations and are definitely not backed by any "well some" meteorological knowledge. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- wxman57
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Lowest pressures are north of Honduras (1009mb). However, pressures have been steadily rising all across the NW Caribbean this morning. Up to 1013mb near Jamaica. Place to look is near those squalls north of Honduras, if a low will form today.
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- Kingarabian
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
lrak wrote:Kingarabian wrote:00z Euro Parallel more of the same.
Would more of the same mean the TX / MX border area?
Yes.
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
12Z mesoscales are in. NAM 32km and 12km bring the low up south of the LA Coast and bend west/wsw apparently waiting for additional steering. GFS 12z out to 78h is off the Mouth of the MS. It consolidates the low much farther north of the Yucatán than NAM. CMC is only out to 24 so that's going to be a few minutes. Pretty cool to be 4/4.5 days out and only able to play probabilities and with limited model agreement.
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- Ivanhater
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Re: Possible development in Western Caribbean
Yep Steve..GFS looks better organized threatening the north central gulfcoast
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