ATL: DON - Remnants - Discussion

[cycloneye]

[chaser1]

I'm inclined to guess that recon will get scrubbed for the mission but perhaps remain on standby for the following day.

still going out what i hearing

The mission have started and they are in the air

.... ya never know, they might have just been hungry and one of 'em offer up the idea of a Checker's Run - "I'll fly if you buy"

[cycloneye]

[Nimbus]

next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.

or its the suns reflections lol

Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.

[floridasun78]

when you have strong high to north that will make tropical wave fast to west

[floridasun78]

next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.

or its the suns reflections lol

Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.

http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... ing=cesium

[Miami Storm Tracker]

Looking at the latest satellite visible and IR I am not to impressed with 95 L. Seems to have lost most of the heavy cells, I would imagine it will continue to pulse until later this evening and blow up again.

[Aric Dunn]

Looking at close up visible from goes 16 https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and02.html. you can cleary see the circ for a brief moment before the convection builds back over it. It jogged to nw briefly leaving the MLC slightly to ese. Looks well defined just very compact. Recon should find a TD.

[Aric Dunn]

about 30 more min for recon to arrive and soon we will know.

[NDG]

Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.

[cycloneye]

An area of low pressure located about 525 miles east-southeast of
Barbados is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since this morning and the system still appears to lack a
well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for
some development before the system reaches the Lesser Antilles late
Tuesday or early Wednesday. After that time, less favorable
upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles
beginning Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
currently en route to investigate the disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

[cycloneye]

[Aric Dunn]

from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W

[NDG]

from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W

I agree with your estimated location.

[MGC]

95L is looking better by the hour...lets see what recon finds......MGC

[Aric Dunn]

Next couple of sets will tell us what is happening. Pressure field is not too bad so far pretty small though

[cycloneye]

[GCANE]

:uarrow: Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.

Its cranking up

[GCANE]

Cloud tops getting colder and they are Cumulus Nimbus

[weathaguyry]

95L is looking really good, I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds a TD