ATL: DON - Remnants - Discussion
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Airboy wrote:floridasun78 wrote:chaser1 wrote:
I'm inclined to guess that recon will get scrubbed for the mission but perhaps remain on standby for the following day.
still going out what i hearing
The mission have started and they are in the air
.... ya never know, they might have just been hungry and one of 'em offer up the idea of a Checker's Run - "I'll fly if you buy"
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.
or its the suns reflections lol
Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
when you have strong high to north that will make tropical wave fast to west
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Nimbus wrote:Aric Dunn wrote:next image may show another burst of convection over that swirl. cloud deck definitely thickened.
or its the suns reflections lol
Budget cuts have mandated a bandwidth reduction for the floaters but the C130 is flying!
Recon probably could find west winds after that last little burst.
http://hurricanecity.com/recon/recon.cg ... ing=cesium
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Looking at the latest satellite visible and IR I am not to impressed with 95 L. Seems to have lost most of the heavy cells, I would imagine it will continue to pulse until later this evening and blow up again.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Looking at close up visible from goes 16 https://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/goes/abi/ ... and02.html. you can cleary see the circ for a brief moment before the convection builds back over it. It jogged to nw briefly leaving the MLC slightly to ese. Looks well defined just very compact. Recon should find a TD.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
about 30 more min for recon to arrive and soon we will know.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
An area of low pressure located about 525 miles east-southeast of
Barbados is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since this morning and the system still appears to lack a
well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for
some development before the system reaches the Lesser Antilles late
Tuesday or early Wednesday. After that time, less favorable
upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles
beginning Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
currently en route to investigate the disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
Barbados is moving westward at 15 to 20 mph. The associated
shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization
since this morning and the system still appears to lack a
well-defined center. Environmental conditions are conducive for
some development before the system reaches the Lesser Antilles late
Tuesday or early Wednesday. After that time, less favorable
upper-level winds are expected to hinder additional development.
Regardless of development, this system is expected to bring locally
heavy rainfall and gusty winds to portions of the Lesser Antilles
beginning Tuesday. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is
currently en route to investigate the disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:from satellite. Here is likely where they will find the llc.... give or take a few 10th of a degree 11.06° N 52.15°W
I agree with your estimated location.
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- MGC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
95L is looking better by the hour...lets see what recon finds......MGC
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
Next couple of sets will tell us what is happening. Pressure field is not too bad so far pretty small though
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- cycloneye
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Recon
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
NDG wrote::uarrow: Convection firing up again near that possible LLC, talk about the perfect time that the recon will fly into, could very well be a TD, IMO.
Its cranking up
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- weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: INVEST 95L - Discussion
95L is looking really good, I wouldn't be surprised if recon finds a TD
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