ATL: JOSE - Models
Moderator: S2k Moderators
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
ATL: JOSE - Models
Only model runs here.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
12z GFS does many loop movements with future Jose.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
This is nor Irma is Jose doing this long range thing.
1 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Yes, I watched this loop!
Not sure how to embed.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/34 ... 44dd72.gif
Not sure how to embed.
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/34 ... 44dd72.gif
2 likes
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
As long as it avoids Irma's large outflow conditions look good enough to get a decent hurricane out of this, most models getting into the 970s/960s so a chance of a major cane out of this one as well.
2 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
00z GFS doing loops again.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 1702
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jan 28, 2006 7:30 pm
- Location: Salt Lake City, Utah
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
Do the loops involve interaction with Irma? That can cause some really strange movements.
Either way, I wouldn't buy models on this much at all yet. Just not enough of a center fix to get good initialization.
Either way, I wouldn't buy models on this much at all yet. Just not enough of a center fix to get good initialization.
0 likes
- cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 142552
- Age: 68
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Another cat 4 for this 2017 season.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Re: ATL: INVEST 94L - Models
bob rulz wrote:Do the loops involve interaction with Irma? That can cause some really strange movements.
Either way, I wouldn't buy models on this much at all yet. Just not enough of a center fix to get good initialization.
No. It seems to have more to do with the two weather systems influencing Irma. The high press. ridge lifts out, the next trough moves in and pulls Irma northward and it lifts out, and then the hp ridge builds again, so Jose is stuck riding up down and around those two. I embedded a link with a clip of the model....above here about 5 posts.
1 likes
Cleo - 1964, Betsy - 1965, David - 1979, Andrew - 1992, Charlie (Francis, Ivan, Jeanne) - 2004, Irma - 2017, Ian - 2022
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 8788
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
-
- Tropical Storm
- Posts: 132
- Age: 40
- Joined: Sun Sep 03, 2017 1:14 pm
- Location: North Carolina
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Really, GFS?
They're gonna get cussed at if they're wrong about both Irma's and Jose's paths as well as Jose's pressure.
They're gonna get cussed at if they're wrong about both Irma's and Jose's paths as well as Jose's pressure.
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 8788
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Trend continues!!!
The pattern for this season isn't for weak ridges like the past 5-6 years.
0 likes
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Basically Jose will be lurking and seeing what his big sister will track , once he does he will meander then track somewhere but the question is where models are all over the place so far but most have a consenus close Atlantic Canada .. going to be fun to track .
0 likes
-
- Category 5
- Posts: 8788
- Age: 38
- Joined: Thu Jul 06, 2017 1:51 am
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
0 likes
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
Way off in fantasy land, but a piece of energy breaks off the trough and looks to pull Jose. Something to watch
0 likes
- Hybridstorm_November2001
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 2811
- Joined: Sat Aug 21, 2004 2:50 pm
- Location: SW New Brunswick, Canada
- Contact:
Re: ATL: JOSE - Models
MatthewsRevenge wrote:Really, GFS?
They're gonna get cussed at if they're wrong about both Irma's and Jose's paths as well as Jose's pressure.
Another cat 5, insane
0 likes
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests