Texas Fall 2017
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- TeamPlayersBlue
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Actually didnt even see that it showed snow for SE Tx. I just looked at the 5H chart and saw it showed a low of 25. This would be the earliest snowfall on record for Houston
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Portastorm wrote:Ntxw wrote:Cpv17 wrote:Huge differences between the Euro and GFS in regards to temperatures. Anyone care to explain why?
Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .
Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.
To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.
How much time do we have before the 18z run?
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- South Texas Storms
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
starsfan65 wrote:Portastorm wrote:Ntxw wrote:
Because the Euro has been forecasting heat 7-10 days out consistently since update .
Serious note, the Pacific pattern differs between the two.
To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.
How much time do we have before the 18z run?
The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
South Texas Storms wrote:starsfan65 wrote:Portastorm wrote:
To Ntxw's points ... you guys know I generally bow in the direction of King Euro but even I have to admit that it's not what it used to be. Not saying that 12z GFS run will verify but I just don't think we're in an environment these days where we can "bank" on the Euro.
How much time do we have before the 18z run?
The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.
I do like 50's Wednesday and Thanksgiving. No warm Thanksgiving please!!
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
starsfan65 wrote:South Texas Storms wrote:starsfan65 wrote:How much time do we have before the 18z run?
The 18z GFS starts running in about an hour.
I do like 50's Wednesday and Thanksgiving. No warm Thanksgiving please!!
No, that's no fun cooking food with a large group of people when it's 80 degrees outside, AC on constantly. Been there done that. I remember it being cold enough in San Antonio during some Thanksgivings to warrant a fire in the fireplace. Had a nice fireplace ambiance in the early morning several times while watching the Macy's parade on tv.
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Bob Rose:
Long-range forecasts indicate the current Jet Stream pattern will more of less hold in place for at least the next couple of weeks. Some colder air is expected to break loose and push south into Texas this weekend and also just before Thanksgiving. But this won't be unusually cold air.
Few changes in the position of jet stream pattern are expected as we move into December. Long-range forecast solutions continue to indicate the coldest air will remain well up to the north for at least the first week or two of December.
https://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-we ... ather.aspx
Long-range forecasts indicate the current Jet Stream pattern will more of less hold in place for at least the next couple of weeks. Some colder air is expected to break loose and push south into Texas this weekend and also just before Thanksgiving. But this won't be unusually cold air.
Few changes in the position of jet stream pattern are expected as we move into December. Long-range forecast solutions continue to indicate the coldest air will remain well up to the north for at least the first week or two of December.
https://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-we ... ather.aspx
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The preceding post is NOT an official forecast, and should not be used as such. It is only the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org. For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Did ya'll read this guy's forecast?weatherdude1108 wrote:Bob Rose:
Long-range forecasts indicate the current Jet Stream pattern will more of less hold in place for at least the next couple of weeks. Some colder air is expected to break loose and push south into Texas this weekend and also just before Thanksgiving. But this won't be unusually cold air.
Few changes in the position of jet stream pattern are expected as we move into December. Long-range forecast solutions continue to indicate the coldest air will remain well up to the north for at least the first week or two of December.
https://www.lcra.org/water/river-and-we ... ather.aspx
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- Portastorm
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?
Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...
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Any forecasts under my name are to be taken with a grain of salt. Get your best forecasts from the National Weather Service and National Hurricane Center.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
I'm a certified Advanced SKYWARN-trained spotter and am active on Twitter at @TravisCOSW, a social media partner of the NWS Austin-San Antonio office.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Portastorm wrote:BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?
Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...
I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
texas1836 wrote:Portastorm wrote:BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?
Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...
I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.
There is one. It was created back in February.
Last edited by Yukon Cornelius on Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:30 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
texas1836 wrote:Portastorm wrote:BrokenGlassRepublicn wrote:Has anyone seen my bottle of Grey Goose?
Ask and ye shall receive ... the Grey Goose-swilling mets at the Portastorm Weather Center are happy to share their beverage of choice ...
I’m surprised someone hasn’t created a “Texas Winter 2017-18” yet. I guess Winter is officially cancelled.
It is not December yet!!
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- starsfan65
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- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I do like that the Euro has been sticking with the Texas rain event but the EPS doesn't really support the op. Also, the EPS is ugly in the long range. Pacific jet roaring straight across the Pacific and basically no cold air in N. America by the end of the run.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
- bubba hotep
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!
I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.
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Winter time post are almost exclusively focused on the DFW area.
Re: Texas Fall 2017
For the latest GFS runs, I'll get my heart rate up in a few days if the trend continues. Those 240-hour runs were about the only thing exciting the last 2 winters.
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
bubba hotep wrote:starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!
I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.
60? I'll go with a 5 degree swing.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
bubba hotep wrote:starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!
I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.
Considering the 12z had temperatures colder than ever seen in November
Yeah I expect a wild swing. I don't see any support for an extreme cold solution at least not yet,
Last edited by Brent on Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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- starsfan65
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
Will it still be cool?Brent wrote:bubba hotep wrote:starsfan65 wrote:The 18z GFS is up and running!!
I'll go with a 60 degree swing at DFW from 12z.
Considering the 12z had temperatures colder than ever seen in November
Yeah I expect a wild swing. I don't see any support for an extreme cold solution.
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Re: Texas Fall 2017
I think that last run was very drunk so I agree with Bubba. In between runs Mr. GFS slept, sobered up, and is having coffee. Still exciting to see though!!!
Last edited by gpsnowman on Wed Nov 15, 2017 4:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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