Florida Weather

U.S. & Caribbean Weather Discussions and Severe Weather Events

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11881 Postby TheStormExpert » Thu Nov 30, 2017 6:56 pm

The 6-10 and 8-14 day CPC Temperature Outlooks raise even more eyes as they both show cooler than average temperatures for Florida (including South Florida) with the 8-14 day Temperature Outlook bringing the core of the coldest air up along the middle of the U.S. East Coast.

Image

Image

Also, today’s hot off the press December Temperature Outlook has below average temperatures all along the Eastern third of the U.S. East Coast including all of Florida! So maybe there is light at the end of the tunnel.

Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
chaser1
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2719
Age: 57
Joined: Sat Oct 15, 2005 5:59 pm
Location: Longwood, Fl

Re: Florida Weather

#11882 Postby chaser1 » Fri Dec 01, 2017 2:23 am

O ye of little faith :cold:
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.



User avatar
StormingB81
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5579
Age: 37
Joined: Thu Aug 27, 2009 1:45 am
Location: Rockledge, Florida

Re: Florida Weather

#11883 Postby StormingB81 » Fri Dec 01, 2017 8:36 am

Maybe just maybe we can have a "chilly" Christmas and it not be 85 lol
0 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11884 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:35 am

NAO now forecasted to go positive FWIW.
Last edited by TheStormExpert on Fri Dec 01, 2017 3:04 pm, edited 2 times in total.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20744
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11885 Postby gatorcane » Fri Dec 01, 2017 2:31 pm

The ECMWF looks to bring the 850MB 0C line down through Central Florida in about a week from now.

Yikes! :cold:

Image
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2826
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: Florida Weather

#11886 Postby psyclone » Fri Dec 01, 2017 3:18 pm

As the time frame reels in the signal gets stronger. It's coming. And it will be more than a transient 2 or 3 day shot.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11887 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Dec 01, 2017 6:27 pm

18z GFS floods the whole state with back to back reinforcing shots of cold air starting late next week/weekend through it’s long-range.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5714
Age: 54
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11888 Postby boca » Fri Dec 01, 2017 6:44 pm

I love the cold weather and the welcome change and interesting enough the GFS fantasyland forecast at 336 hours has the rain/snow line thru Jacksonville FL. I'm still very skeptical on cold weather especially here in South Florida where the planets have to line up just right and have a neg NAO and pos AO for this to occur.
0 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11889 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Dec 01, 2017 7:09 pm

gatorcane wrote:The ECMWF looks to bring the 850MB 0C line down through Central Florida in about a week from now.

Yikes! :cold:

Image

Here’s a closer look at todays 12z Euro for Florida.

 https://twitter.com/adriansweather/status/936691088903102464


0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11890 Postby TheStormExpert » Fri Dec 01, 2017 7:10 pm

boca wrote:I love the cold weather and the welcome change and interesting enough the GFS fantasyland forecast at 336 hours has the rain/snow line thru Jacksonville FL. I'm still very skeptical on cold weather especially here in South Florida where the planets have to line up just right and have a neg NAO and pos AO for this to occur.

I always though a -AO was needed along with the -AO/+PNA?
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10042
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11891 Postby NDG » Sat Dec 02, 2017 4:14 pm

I don't see anything unusual for this time of the year, usual 30s for for the Nature Coast and northern FL, 40s for central FL and 50s for south FL, is my forecast by looking at how the Euro has been backing away keeping it in its 7-10 day range as well as the GFS.
There's a lack of snow cover across the northern US.
0 likes   

User avatar
NDG
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10042
Joined: Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:14 pm
Location: Orlando, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11892 Postby NDG » Sat Dec 02, 2017 4:17 pm

TheStormExpert wrote:
boca wrote:I love the cold weather and the welcome change and interesting enough the GFS fantasyland forecast at 336 hours has the rain/snow line thru Jacksonville FL. I'm still very skeptical on cold weather especially here in South Florida where the planets have to line up just right and have a neg NAO and pos AO for this to occur.

I always though a -AO was needed along with the -AO/+PNA?


-AO doesn't do much to us, a big -NAO & +PNA is more effective to bring a really cold pattern to FL.
The big -AO we saw in the third week of November didn't do crap to our warm pattern.
0 likes   

psyclone
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2826
Joined: Wed Aug 24, 2005 9:04 pm
Location: palm harbor fl

Re: Florida Weather

#11893 Postby psyclone » Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:19 pm

NDG wrote:I don't see anything unusual for this time of the year, usual 30s for for the Nature Coast and northern FL, 40s for central FL and 50s for south FL, is my forecast by looking at how the Euro has been backing away keeping it in its 7-10 day range as well as the GFS.
There's a lack of snow cover across the northern US.


that seems a good bet but it's still a big change. we go from 10 degrees above normal to 5 to 10 below normal. I hope it doesn't go cooler than that...this is plenty..
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20744
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11894 Postby gatorcane » Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:22 pm

Also notice the 12Z and 18Z temps on the 18Z GFS runs Friday. That is quite raw for during the middle of day and evening hours for Central and north peninsula Florida (due to cloud cover). Those temps are well below normal:

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11895 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Dec 02, 2017 7:34 pm

NDG wrote:I don't see anything unusual for this time of the year, usual 30s for for the Nature Coast and northern FL, 40s for central FL and 50s for south FL, is my forecast by looking at how the Euro has been backing away keeping it in its 7-10 day range as well as the GFS.
There's a lack of snow cover across the northern US.

Nothing unusual is right. The NAO looks to be getting ready to go positive again if anything. Shouldn’t expect anything colder than what we saw here back just before Halloween which was low 50’s.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5714
Age: 54
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11896 Postby boca » Sat Dec 02, 2017 7:58 pm

I expect lows in the 60s and highs near 80 because I expect the models to totally back off on cold or even cooler weather in the next few days. I'm ready to move to a colder climate.
1 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11897 Postby TheStormExpert » Sat Dec 02, 2017 8:37 pm

boca wrote:I expect lows in the 60s and highs near 80 because I expect the models to totally back off on cold or even cooler weather in the next few days. I'm ready to move to a colder climate.

I don’t know about that. But I’m with you on moving to a colder climate maybe such as North Carolina in the mountains. As a kid I sort of remember it seeming to be a bit cooler or colder here in South Florida during the holiday season. Clearly the globe is warming as those type of holiday seasons have become few and in between over the past decade or so.
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.

User avatar
SFLcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 3315
Age: 41
Joined: Sat Jun 05, 2010 1:44 pm
Location: Pompano Beach, Florida

Re: Florida Weather

#11898 Postby SFLcane » Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:32 pm

Joke... :roll:

Maybe mid-uppers 50’s if we’re lucky across SFL Iam not buying any significant cool down
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 20744
Age: 40
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11899 Postby gatorcane » Sun Dec 03, 2017 7:43 am

The GFS and ECMWF have trended colder overnight for this event with the Euro back to the 850mb 0C line into Central Florida and the GFS with 30s into Central Florida. This cold front looks for real and looks to usher in a BIG change for Floridians:

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
TheStormExpert
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5507
Age: 25
Joined: Wed Feb 16, 2011 5:38 pm
Location: Palm Beach Gardens, FL

Re: Florida Weather

#11900 Postby TheStormExpert » Sun Dec 03, 2017 8:02 am

00z GFS was likely the coldest run yet for next Sunday morning with the 32°F line seeping almost into South Florida! The 06z GFS then backed off some as gatorcane posted but still is rather chilly for Floridians. Still would like to wait a few more days before saying this could be our first legit cold snap of the season.

Image
0 likes   
The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by storm2k.org.


Return to “USA & Caribbean Weather”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 15 guests