Jag95 wrote: BigB0882 wrote:
Jag95 wrote:The new NAM looks nice. 3 inches in Baton Rouge and 2 in Biloxi. Looks like between 1 and 2 over this way. Not sure how much is sleet.
Where do you see this? Looking on Twisterdata the NAM is giving Baton Rouge between 3 tenths and half an inch of something (sleet/snow). I don't see anyone getting 3 inches on the NAM, not even up north. Is Twisterdata reliable for their snow outputs or is it a run behind? I think it said 12z.
The NAM map I'm looking at includes sleet (tropical tidbits). I don't think the one on Twister does. Twister sounding prediction shows a warm nose so that probably explains it. On the plus side, the discussions I've read have mentioned a quick transition from wintry mix to all snow.
Yes because thermal profiles become very favorable for precip to changeover to all snow tonight across the region. The sleet and freezing rain will be of short duration in those areas that get that.
BTW, 12Z GFS holds onto the moisture a bit longer along and just behind the arctic frontal boundary up through 18Z tomorrow afternoon. Areas over the Florida Panhandle northeast through South Georgia, into the Carolinas could see wintry precip tomorrow.
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
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