2018 WPAC Season
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- mrbagyo
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
IMO, Maria should just be retired... for Atlantic and all the other basins as well. We won't run out of names.
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- JoshwaDone
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- StruThiO
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
JoshwaDone wrote:Jelawat is our first typhoon of the season!
from under to overachiever pretty quick.. already feels like this season might be more exciting than last year
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- JoshwaDone
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
StruThiO wrote:JoshwaDone wrote:Jelawat is our first typhoon of the season!
from under to overachiever pretty quick.. already feels like this season might be more exciting than last year
it reminds me of both super typhoon nina (nock-ten) in 2016 and nona (melor) in 2015 - both december typhoons.
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
At long last, my second entry in Pacific Typhoon Reanalysis is now up. This one deals with the El Nino 1982 Pacfic Typhoon Season.
Reanalyzing the Pacific Typhoon Seasons: 1982
Reanalyzing the Pacific Typhoon Seasons: 1982
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Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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- 1900hurricane
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
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Contract Meteorologist. TAMU & MSST. Fiercely authentic, one of a kind. We are all given free will, so choose a life meant to be lived. We are the Masters of our own Stories.
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
Follow me on Twitter at @1900hurricane : Read blogs at https://1900hurricane.wordpress.com/
Opinions expressed are mine alone.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
After Jelawat, I feel like there's gonna be another WPAC system early in the season... Forecast has more WWB episodes in the coming days, and as we all know they often manifest in the Pacific by spawning cyclones.
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Another early Cat 4 or 5 would be very significant.
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- JoshwaDone
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
there will be another significant system.. here in the philippines, we're just waiting for the 4th storm. probably, we're gonna have an "active" season.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Above average locally and in the whole Northern Hemisphere.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS is sniffing possible Ewiniar threat for the 2nd run in a row for the Philippines. Super long range yeah. Something to keep an eye on.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GEFS shows lowering pressures around the P.I sea and EPS has pressures lowering slowly westward.
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- cycloneye
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
12z GFS is bullish on developing a TC but is very long range so caution.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
GFS very rampant on this. 00Z had a strengthening typhoon over the central Philippines while 06Z almost has a similiar track to Jelawat recurves. Will be interesting what future runs will reveal and if other models will start to pick up on this.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Development in 240 hours.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Stronger on the 18z run.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Development time frame closer and stronger.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
Besides Ewiniar, GFS has 2 more areas to watch out. It's been consistently showing a dateline TC and another south of Guam.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
A trough extending from a circulation southwest of Chuuk is causing
the scattered showers southeast of us. GLD360 lightning data shows
there are a few thunderstorms in that group also. Most of these
showers are progged to slip south of us, so we have a bit of
increased clouds, while showers should still remain isolated. At
least we got enough rain to drive the KBDI back below 700. The GFS
brings a circulation just south of Guam in the far extended. The
ECMWF-HiRes has the same system, but is faster and weaker with it.
So, while some sort of system looks likely around mid-April, the
details are still a bit dubious.
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Re: 2018 WPAC Season
NAVGEM, CMC, and JMA joining in on development.
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