cycloneye wrote:CPC Weekly update of 7/16/18 has Niño 3.4 going down to +0.2C and that is down from the +0.4C that was for the past 2 weeks. Is this a brief setback towards El Niño comming by fall or Winter or is a definite trend of some cooling going on?
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/a ... ts-web.pdf
I think it's brief, while conditions aren't quite optimal anymore, indicators point to continued warming, and the cooling is likely due to an MJO-induced EWB.