ATL: Helene - Models

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
User avatar
CyclonicFury
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1970
Age: 25
Joined: Sun Jul 02, 2017 12:32 pm
Location: NC
Contact:

ATL: Helene - Models

#1 Postby CyclonicFury » Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:39 pm

Models go here.
1 likes   
NCSU B.S. in Meteorology Class of 2021. Tropical weather blogger at http://www.cyclonicfury.com. My forecasts and thoughts are NOT official, for official forecasts please consult the National Hurricane Center.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: INVEST 93L - Models

#2 Postby supercane4867 » Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:59 pm

18z GFS develops 93L almost instantaneously once it clears Africa. This may get the name Helene before 92L does if GFS verifies.
3 likes   

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9793
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re: ATL: EIGHT - Models

#3 Postby artist » Fri Sep 07, 2018 7:44 pm

Image
Last edited by artist on Fri Sep 07, 2018 8:03 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

plasticup
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1295
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:49 pm
Location: Bermuda

Re: ATL: EIGHT - Models

#4 Postby plasticup » Sat Sep 08, 2018 7:40 am

Just to be clear, this thread is for Helene? The Discussion and Advisory threads had a name change, but I think this one was missed.
0 likes   
Eyes: Emily '86, Dean '89, Felix '95, Gert '99, Fabian '03, Humberto '19, Paulette '20

tolakram
Admin
Admin
Posts: 19138
Age: 60
Joined: Sun Aug 27, 2006 8:23 pm
Location: Florence, KY (name is Mark)

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#5 Postby tolakram » Sat Sep 08, 2018 8:02 am

Yep, changed the name.
0 likes   
M a r k
- - - - -
Join us in chat: Storm2K Chatroom Invite. Android and IOS apps also available.

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. Posts are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K.org. For official information and forecasts, please refer to NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
artist
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 9793
Joined: Mon Jun 06, 2005 3:26 pm
Location: West Palm

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#6 Postby artist » Sat Sep 08, 2018 10:34 am

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1981
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#7 Postby Blinhart » Sat Sep 08, 2018 11:56 am

artist wrote:Image


Will she stay organized to hit Spain as a Hurricane or TS?
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#8 Postby supercane4867 » Sat Sep 08, 2018 5:43 pm

18z GFS has Hurricane Helene wondering in the open ocean for at least 10 days, that's a lot of ACEs
0 likes   

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#9 Postby Kazmit » Sun Sep 09, 2018 8:37 am

Sizable west shift with the 06z GFS. Also makes it a major hurricane.

Image
0 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#10 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Sep 09, 2018 2:03 pm

12z EC has Helene complete a loop near 40N as a major hurricane
0 likes   

plasticup
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1295
Joined: Thu Aug 05, 2010 5:49 pm
Location: Bermuda

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#11 Postby plasticup » Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:27 pm

supercane4867 wrote:12z EC has Helene complete a loop near 40N as a major hurricane

Do you have a link or some images? How far west is that? Would she be a threat to land?
0 likes   
Eyes: Emily '86, Dean '89, Felix '95, Gert '99, Fabian '03, Humberto '19, Paulette '20

supercane4867
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4966
Joined: Wed Nov 14, 2012 10:43 am

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#12 Postby supercane4867 » Sun Sep 09, 2018 6:35 pm

plasticup wrote:
supercane4867 wrote:12z EC has Helene complete a loop near 40N as a major hurricane

Do you have a link or some images? How far west is that? Would she be a threat to land?

https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysi ... 90912&fh=0

It's not expected to be a threat for any land at the moment
0 likes   

User avatar
ColdMiser123
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 778
Age: 27
Joined: Mon Sep 26, 2016 3:26 pm
Location: Northeast US

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#13 Postby ColdMiser123 » Mon Sep 10, 2018 2:23 pm

Shades of Ophelia last year on the latest Euro.
0 likes   
B.S., M.S., Meteorology & Atmospheric Science

User avatar
Vince_and_Grace_fan
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 315
Joined: Thu Nov 03, 2016 9:25 am
Location: Szombathely (Hungary)

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#14 Postby Vince_and_Grace_fan » Tue Sep 11, 2018 6:54 am

The last GFS shows landfall in North Portugal as a TS.

Image

Image
0 likes   

User avatar
Blinhart
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1981
Age: 47
Joined: Thu Sep 08, 2011 3:13 pm
Location: Crowley, La.

Re: ATL: Helene - Models

#15 Postby Blinhart » Tue Sep 11, 2018 9:40 am

Vince_and_Grace_fan wrote:The last GFS shows landfall in North Portugal as a TS.

Image

Image


When was the last time this has happened???
1 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.


Return to “2018”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 23 guests