2018 EPAC Season

[cycloneye]

 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1053393962701148160




 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1053401378410778624




 https://twitter.com/EricBlake12/status/1053402843485519872




 https://twitter.com/pppapin/status/1053405024171155456

[Ntxw]

History is about to be made in the EPAC. 295.2 ACE now and will be passed momentarily.

[Ntxw]

[cycloneye]

Now let's see how much more ACE units EPAC gets with Willa to be well over 300.

[Cyclenall]

I'm with Eric Blake, hoping to see this Epac season go Greek. That would be neat!

[Extratropical94]

A small area of low pressure is located about 950 miles
south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California
peninsula. Upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable
for significant development of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent.

[Ntxw]

Willa becomes 10th major. ACE at 299.

[StruThiO]

Looks like there's an Invest 91E

[supercane4867]

12z EC has Xavier or Yolanda active into November

[DioBrando]

Looks like there's an Invest 91E

...which is a complete nothingburger.

[Ntxw]

EPAC operationally now is over 300 units of ACE.

This is astonishing given not much happens above 30N unlike the other NHEM basins. Everything is pretty much deep tropics. And it's been a legit ACE per storm season. 10 Cat 4+.

[Kingarabian]

EPAC operationally now is over 300 units of ACE.

This is astonishing given not much happens above 30N unlike the other NHEM basins. Everything is pretty much deep tropics. And it's been a legit ACE per storm season. 10 Cat 4+.

What's also astonishing is that it turned out to be a hyperactive season, so soon after the 2014-2016 El Nino event. Does anyone know if 2014-2018 is the most ACE accumulated in a 5 year period?

[KWT]

EPAC operationally now is over 300 units of ACE.

This is astonishing given not much happens above 30N unlike the other NHEM basins. Everything is pretty much deep tropics. And it's been a legit ACE per storm season. 10 Cat 4+.

What's also astonishing is that it turned out to be a hyperactive season, so soon after the 2014-2016 El Nino event. Does anyone know if 2014-2018 is the most ACE accumulated in a 5 year period?

The period from 1990-1994 averaged over 200 units per season. This period will be close but 2017 will probably let it down. Will need roughly 340 units to top that this season, just about within the realm of possible I suppose.

1990-1994 was a heck of a run, the lowest was 178!

[supercane4867]

Today marks the 3 year anniversary of Hurricane Patricia, a spectacular nature phenomenon that we were extremely lucky to see in our lifetimes.

[Kingarabian]

00z GFS and GFS FV3 showing another strong CPAC classic in the long range:



Euro and CMC are also on board with CPAC development in the long range.

[Astromanía]

Seven systems landfalls this season, is that a record?

[Astromanía]

00z GFS and GFS FV3 showing another strong CPAC classic in the long range:

https://i.imgur.com/fcN7S8w.gif

Euro and CMC are also on board with CPAC development in the long range.

Another walaka? But I suppose this will be weaker, ACE this year is crazy

[Ntxw]

313 units so far now that Willa is done. GFS and Euro both show something in the EPAC. Xavier is the next name. If the system materializes 320+ units in the cards. The CPAC has been on and off on the guidance.

[Yellow Evan]

GFS and ECMWF both have another hurricane south of Guerrero in early November.

[cycloneye]

INVEST 92E is up