Florida Weather
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Re: Florida Weather
There is still time for mother nature to drop a Winter bomb on us. It isn't over yet. The current pattern shift is welcome here...December featured a good bit chilly and lousy weather with more than 10" inches of rain. Loving the recent sun and warmth.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Florida Weather
Oh yeah plenty of time left for Mother Nature to flip the script. It is just a question of when? I would be rather surprised if we don't see at least one decent cold snap this month I admit.
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Re: Florida Weather
At this point I’m just hoping for rain that north and central Florida were getting,it’s been bone dry here.
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Re: Florida Weather
They're still hyping it for the latter half of January: https://news.yahoo.com/polar-vortex-apo ... NlYwNzcg--
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hurricanelonny
Re: Florida Weather
That article about the polar vortex is outdated by 3 weeks and so far no signs of change as of today. I’m hoping this materializes because it’s way to hot out,especially for January.
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: Florida Weather
boca wrote:That article about the polar vortex is outdated by 3 weeks and so far no signs of change as of today. I’m hoping this materializes because it’s way to hot out,especially for January.
The humidity is what makes it feel sort of unpleasant. Even at nearly 8pm you have temperatures in the upper 70’s.
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Re: Florida Weather
boca wrote:We are drier and warmer in this part of the state and in a moderate drought this is not a El Niño pattern more like La Niña.
Yeah, if I didn't know any better, with that persistent Caribbean ridge overhead it sure looks like La Nina.
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Re: Florida Weather
TheStormExpert wrote:boca wrote:That article about the polar vortex is outdated by 3 weeks and so far no signs of change as of today. I’m hoping this materializes because it’s way to hot out,especially for January.
The humidity is what makes it feel sort of unpleasant. Even at nearly 8pm you have temperatures in the upper 70’s.
I was walking around just now.......it is downright stuffy and uncomfortable out. It's been this way for days now. There's a breeze but it is somehow not helping. It's been warm in January in the past, but I cannot remember this kind of stuffiness. For January 4, these conditions are pretty nasty. Who am I kidding, this would feel uncomfortable on May 4:
Humidity 72%
Wind Speed S 12 mph
Barometer 29.99 in (1015.5 mb)
Dewpoint 72°F (22°C)
Visibility 10.00 mi
Heat Index 87°F (31°C)
Last update 4 Jan 12:53 pm EST
We won't be getting much of a frontal passage this weekend, but at least it will definitely be more dry out. That will help.
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- gatorcane
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Re: Florida Weather
Relief looks to be on the way. The FV3 GFS and ECMWF show a strong front for late this week. Looks like 40s down into Central Florida and 50s south, maybe it won’t end up that cold but it should feel cooler outside for a change.
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Re: Florida Weather
cooler weather has been delayed but not denied. this front has already overdelivered here in the precip dept with some really heavy rain. cooler air will be filtering in and while there's no big cold on the horizon...nor is there a return to the anomalous warmth. it looks really nice overall..
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- AdamFirst
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Re: Florida Weather
Was not expecting to see frontal precip on the radar tonight, light as it may be.
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: Florida Weather
It's falling apart quickly as we loose the daytime heating.
This is exactly why our drought continues to worsen, not much precipitation whatsoever associated with these frontal passages is making it past Lake-O.
This is exactly why our drought continues to worsen, not much precipitation whatsoever associated with these frontal passages is making it past Lake-O.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: Florida Weather
Yesterday picked up just under an inch of rain as the shortwave trough moved through the region late yesterday.
We do have a pretty decent front coming up on Wednesday, which will bring nice breezy conditions, and cool temperatures to the peninsula. A 1040 mb Arctic High will drop into the Great Lakes region, but moves east, not southward, as the polar jet stays well north of the peninsula. The core of the arctic air stays well north and east of the peninsula.
This also will bring onshore northeasterly flow to the peninsula by Thursday, quickly moderating the airmass. At least it will be more seasonable temps with max temps mainly in the low 60s and lows in the 40s here late this week here in North Florida.
I won't even bother with analyzing the long term up to and beyond 10 days. Pattern is still evolving and the models still are nowhere near any sense of agreement. I am confident saying that we will not have any freeze here across the North Florida peninsula within at least the next 10 days.
We do have a pretty decent front coming up on Wednesday, which will bring nice breezy conditions, and cool temperatures to the peninsula. A 1040 mb Arctic High will drop into the Great Lakes region, but moves east, not southward, as the polar jet stays well north of the peninsula. The core of the arctic air stays well north and east of the peninsula.
This also will bring onshore northeasterly flow to the peninsula by Thursday, quickly moderating the airmass. At least it will be more seasonable temps with max temps mainly in the low 60s and lows in the 40s here late this week here in North Florida.
I won't even bother with analyzing the long term up to and beyond 10 days. Pattern is still evolving and the models still are nowhere near any sense of agreement. I am confident saying that we will not have any freeze here across the North Florida peninsula within at least the next 10 days.
Last edited by northjaxpro on Sat Jan 05, 2019 8:01 am, edited 1 time in total.
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NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!
________________________________________________________________________________________
Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019
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Re: Florida Weather
TheStormExpert wrote::uarrow: It's falling apart quickly as we loose the daytime heating.
https://i.imgur.com/ArvNwWY.gif
This is exactly why our drought continues to worsen, not much precipitation whatsoever associated with these frontal passages is making it past Lake-O.
.
https://i.imgur.com/FuG12Fs.jpg
Not so much the loss of daytime heating it was due to the fact that the mid level energy passed well to the north of S FL with still some mid level ridging lagging in S FL
Last edited by NDG on Sat Jan 05, 2019 8:03 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Florida Weather
MJO is moving into Phase 8, thus the change in the pattern for the eastern US but with the NAO forecasted to be near neutral and the PNA only slightly positive the core of the colder airmasses will stay to the north of FL over the next 7-14 days, as mentioned by northjaxpro.
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: Florida Weather
NDG wrote:MJO is moving into Phase 8, thus the change in the pattern for the eastern US but with the NAO forecasted to be near neutral and the PNA only slightly positive the core of the colder airmasses will stay to the north of FL over the next 7-14 days, as mentioned by northjaxpro.
And Florida’s “escaping the extreme cold” luck continues!
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Re: Florida Weather
Our winters in South Florida have become almost nonexistent just like the rainfall every cold front dries up one it crosses Lake O. I’m hoping the pattern changes soon like NGD said we are going into phase 8, but means nothing unless you have cold air.
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Re: Florida Weather
CPC showing normal temps and precip over the next 2 weeks with no significant below normal anomalies anywhere in the continental US.
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- TheStormExpert
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Re: Florida Weather
boca wrote:Our winters in South Florida have become almost nonexistent just like the rainfall every cold front dries up one it crosses Lake O. I’m hoping the pattern changes soon like NGD said we are going into phase 8, but means nothing unless you have cold air.
That's because winter in S.FL is nonexistent. Consider ourself lucky if we manage to get multiple nights in the 40's & 50's each winter season, which we've already seen.
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Re: Florida Weather
psyclone wrote:CPC showing normal temps and precip over the next 2 weeks with no significant below normal anomalies anywhere in the continental US.
One thing I must say about the CPC's Precipitation Outlook is they have frequently busted for S.FL in forecasting above normal precipitation many times throughout the past several months, we have seen little to no precipitation in the past few months.
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