ATL: ANDREA - Remnants
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
well defined closed circ. sheared convection. Typical early season.. should be TS soon.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Looks like recon found a better defined circulation with much lower pressure than earlier pass.
212800 2850N 06841W 9843 00194 0062 +207 +206 128014 015 010 000 01
212800 2850N 06841W 9843 00194 0062 +207 +206 128014 015 010 000 01
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- weathaguyry
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
Here we go!!! First ever time in history with a named storm in the SATL and NATL simultaneously!
000
ABNT20 KNHC 202149
TWOAT
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
550 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
the low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of
Bermuda has developed a well-defined center with maximum sustained
winds of about 40 mph. A special advisory will be issued on
Subtropical Storm Andrea by 6:30 PM EDT or 2230 UTC.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Cangialosi
000
ABNT20 KNHC 202149
TWOAT
Special Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
550 PM EDT Mon May 20 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Data from an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft indicate that
the low pressure system located several hundred miles southwest of
Bermuda has developed a well-defined center with maximum sustained
winds of about 40 mph. A special advisory will be issued on
Subtropical Storm Andrea by 6:30 PM EDT or 2230 UTC.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...near 100 percent.
$$
Forecaster Zelinsky/Cangialosi
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Fifth year in a row with a preseason named storm!
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
First time since 2015 that we've had a subtropical storm and a tornado outbreak on the same day
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
CyclonicFury wrote:Fifth year in a row with a preseason named storm!
Is there even any record of this happening before? Also interesting to note that we've now had nine years of the last 13 (since 2007) where something occurred before hurricane season (and all but one being named), whereas the last time before that was 1981 with a named system, and only four between having depressions (the last was 1993)
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Hell yeah, first name of the season off the board.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
weathaguyry wrote:Here we go!!! First ever time in history with a named storm in the SATL and NATL simultaneously!
We have only been naming subtropical storms since 2002. Prior to that, Andrea would not have been named. Not sure whether the South Atlantic conventions are the same, but there is a good chance that 18 years ago neither of these systems would have been named.
Last edited by plasticup on Mon May 20, 2019 5:55 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
This will be a bit of a surprise for many here in Bermuda. I wonder if we'll get a TS warning.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Kazmit wrote:This will be a bit of a surprise for many here in Bermuda. I wonder if we'll get a TS warning.
It's been on MAJ's list since yesterday. You want something more official than that?
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
plasticup wrote:weathaguyry wrote:Here we go!!! First ever time in history with a named storm in the SATL and NATL simultaneously!
We have only been naming subtropical storms since 2002. Prior to that, Andrea would not have been named. Not sure whether the South Atlantic conventions are the same, but there is a good change that 18 years ago neither of these systems would have received names.
They don't even get named in the CPAC or EPAC.
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Re: ATL: INVEST 90L - Discussion
wxman57 wrote:Looks pathetic and LESS organized past 2 hours, to me. Time to head home...
And right afterwards NHC upgraded it. I'm guessing they announced it right when you left.
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Got my eyes on moving right into Hurricane Alley: Florida.
Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Last vis pics of the day.
Typical STS looking for this time of the year.
Typical STS looking for this time of the year.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Re: Looking pathetic and weak, it's a subtropical storm in May, what do you expect?
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
And we might squeeze two named in may.. have to sw carrib in 7 to 10 days
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Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
If there is nothing before... then just ask
Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...
Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
NDG wrote:Last vis pics of the day.
Typical STS looking for this time of the year.
https://i.imgur.com/1eOtKIM.gif
On that satpic it looked much more extratropical in appearance, with a front or shear axis.?
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Aric Dunn wrote:And we might squeeze two named in may.. have to sw carrib in 7 to 10 days
Looks like GEFS dropped that in favor of the EPac though.
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Tho this storm wont bother anybody. Its ominous for the season
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
SEASON_CANCELED wrote:Tho this storm wont bother anybody. Its ominous for the season
Not really, 2015 had pre-season development and wasn't that bad of a year. If we get early MDR development like the last two years then watch out.
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My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.
Re: ATL: ANDREA - SubTropical Storm
Thought the shear might blow it out before it got named but convection is persistent on IR imagery tonight.
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