ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Message
Author
Red eye
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 34
Age: 46
Joined: Thu Oct 03, 2013 9:17 am
Location: Crowley,LA

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1001 Postby Red eye » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:34 pm

The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.

We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.

My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.
1 likes   

User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1002 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:35 pm

gfsperpendicular wrote:The naked swirl just clothed itself with some strong convection from that band.


Agreed, and lots of turning of the clouds here (I believe it is about to form a new, more stable COC):

Image
1 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2899
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1003 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:38 pm

This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

Image
8 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

Aric Dunn
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 21228
Age: 41
Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
Location: Ready for the Chase.
Contact:

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1004 Postby Aric Dunn » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:41 pm

yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.

and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..
4 likes   
Note: If I make a post that is brief. Please refer back to previous posts for the analysis or reasoning. I do not re-write/qoute what my initial post said each time.
If there is nothing before... then just ask :)

Space & Atmospheric Physicist, Embry-Riddle Aeronautical University,
I believe the sky is falling...

User avatar
HeeBGBz
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 341
Age: 69
Joined: Sun Sep 03, 2006 3:25 pm
Location: Biloxi, MS

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1005 Postby HeeBGBz » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

I was looking at Biloxi radar and we've got a bunch of tiny storm clouds showing up. Really odd, like storm seedlings. I've been loving all the buildup of clouds the last couple days.
1 likes   

User avatar
tarheelprogrammer
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1793
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2016 9:25 pm
Location: Raleigh, NC area (Garner, NC)

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1006 Postby tarheelprogrammer » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.


I agree 100%, it is like it instantly whipped the circulation towards itself.
1 likes   
My posts are not official forecasts. They are just my opinion and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Kazmit
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1915
Age: 21
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2016 8:49 am
Location: Williamsburg VA for college, Bermuda otherwise

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1007 Postby Kazmit » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:42 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.
1 likes   
Igor 2010, Sandy 2012, Fay 2014, Gonzalo 2014, Joaquin 2015, Nicole 2016, Humberto 2019

I am only a tropical weather enthusiast. My predictions are not official and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
StormLogic
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 201
Joined: Mon Jun 03, 2019 9:58 am
Location: Beaumont

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1008 Postby StormLogic » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:44 pm

Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.

and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..


was just about to type this hehe
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2899
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1009 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:45 pm

This is what I'm seeing.

Image
2 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

User avatar
gfsperpendicular
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 383
Age: 19
Joined: Mon Jun 19, 2017 3:04 pm
Location: Northern Virginia

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1010 Postby gfsperpendicular » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:49 pm

So now the question is, what happens to the mess of convection to the E of the center? Will it wrap more, or stay where it is?
0 likes   
I'm not sleeping, I'm waiting for the 0900 UTC advisory!

#1 CMC stan

w5yne
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 18
Joined: Tue Aug 28, 2012 7:04 am
Location: Crowley. La

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1011 Postby w5yne » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:49 pm

Red eye wrote:The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.

We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.

My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.


Hope you wrong as i live in Crowley too
0 likes   

User avatar
Texashawk
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 551
Joined: Tue Aug 14, 2007 1:50 am
Location: Missouri City, TX (Houston)

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1012 Postby Texashawk » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:50 pm

Kazmit wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.

https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.


I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now :lol:
5 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1013 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:55 pm

Texashawk wrote:
Kazmit wrote:
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.
https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg

The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.

I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now :lol:

Still lots of dry air.
Image
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 139027
Age: 67
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1014 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:56 pm


A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO GRAND ISLE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOWE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST
WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON.

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Hypercane_Kyle
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2899
Joined: Sat Mar 07, 2015 7:58 pm
Location: Cape Canaveral, FL

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1015 Postby Hypercane_Kyle » Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:57 pm

This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.
2 likes   
My posts are my own personal opinion, defer to the National Hurricane Center (NHC) and other NOAA products for decision making during hurricane season.

User avatar
GCANE
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 10787
Joined: Mon Oct 22, 2007 8:03 am

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1016 Postby GCANE » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:03 pm

storm_in_a_teacup wrote:
GCANE wrote:
StormLogic wrote:https://i.imgur.com/p3Jomsv.png
Isnt this the dry air over here?


Yes, and it is being moistened by convection.


By convection associated with Barry? Or some other convection?

(Because if it’s Barry itself doing it, then that’s basically sounding too much to me like a mammal moistening inhaled air with its nasal turbinates and...why does my mind come up with this stuff?)


Its from afternoon thunderstorms over florida and from the front dropping down thru the SE CONUS
1 likes   

User avatar
jasons2k
Storm2k Executive
Storm2k Executive
Posts: 8071
Age: 50
Joined: Wed Jul 06, 2005 12:32 pm
Location: The Woodlands, TX

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1017 Postby jasons2k » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:11 pm

When you step away all day and come back to see some satellite loops it hits you - this is one lopsided system. I don’t that I’ve ever seen a system so wide east-to-west, spanning almost the whole Gulf, and so flat on top. A wide shot of the Gulf looks a lot more like the ITCZ than a TS.
8 likes   

User avatar
northjaxpro
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8900
Joined: Mon Sep 27, 2010 11:21 am
Location: Jacksonville, FL

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1018 Postby northjaxpro » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:12 pm

Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.


Yes it did. Barry may do the same thing upon landfall this weekend.
0 likes   
NEVER, EVER SAY NEVER in the tropics and weather in general, and most importantly, with life itself!!

________________________________________________________________________________________

Fay 2008 Beryl 2012 Debby 2012 Colin 2016 Hermine 2016 Julia 2016 Matthew 2016 Irma 2017 Dorian 2019

User avatar
mpic
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 482
Joined: Thu Oct 20, 2005 11:24 am
Location: Splendora, TX

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1019 Postby mpic » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:14 pm

I'm seeing it mentioned that Barry might sag south. If it does, could this be an opportunity for it to gain steam and go more west? Our Houston stations are showing a track straight into here and telling us not to discount the possibility. What is the reasoning behind this if it's going to come in east of us?
0 likes   
NE of Houston

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8344
Age: 45
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion

#1020 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jul 11, 2019 4:21 pm

Still looks to be a lot of dry air at lower, mid and upper levels.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16&sector=gm&band=10&length=24
0 likes   


Return to “2019”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 33 guests