ATL: BARRY - Post-Tropical - Discussion
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.
We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.
My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.
We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.
My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.
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- tarheelprogrammer
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
gfsperpendicular wrote:The naked swirl just clothed itself with some strong convection from that band.
Agreed, and lots of turning of the clouds here (I believe it is about to form a new, more stable COC):
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This is a very strange looking tropical storm.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.
and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..
and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I was looking at Biloxi radar and we've got a bunch of tiny storm clouds showing up. Really odd, like storm seedlings. I've been loving all the buildup of clouds the last couple days.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.
I agree 100%, it is like it instantly whipped the circulation towards itself.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.
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- StormLogic
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Aric Dunn wrote:yeah the vort that just tucked under the convection has changed the low level flow to the clouds to the east. looks like it might take over.
and if you notice it reached the bottom of the grye but the last hour it started moving in a straight line still Sw..
was just about to type this hehe
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The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This is what I'm seeing.
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- gfsperpendicular
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
So now the question is, what happens to the mess of convection to the E of the center? Will it wrap more, or stay where it is?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Red eye wrote:The more I watch weather the greater the appreciation I have for the models and the meteorologists'. This storm with all the vortices. I have counted close to ten over the last 2 days since this thing splashed, and yet one is to materialize. Kudos to whoever/whatever nails the track. And Thank God the vortices are boxing for dominance. It could be worse at this point as far as intensity.
We are pretty much in the path right now (Crowley), so I had thought early that I had watched the storm to the east, but what do you know more shifts west with the 12Z.
My two cents, and one I like to watch is the long term water vapor. Mimic. 120 hours. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/m ... anim=html5
Looking at this imagery I can see the high pressure coming in from the North and filling fast. I think this will make the storm move west more.
Hope you wrong as i live in Crowley too
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- Texashawk
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Kazmit wrote:
The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.
I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now
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- SouthFloridawx
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Texashawk wrote:Kazmit wrote:Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This is a very strange looking tropical storm.
https://i.imgur.com/IqD4arc.jpg
The north half of it looks nonexistent on satellite.
I’m sure NOLA is grateful for that half right now
Still lots of dry air.
Last edited by SouthFloridawx on Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:56 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
A HURRICANE WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF LOUISIANA
FROM INTRACOASTAL CITY TO GRAND ISLE.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND
LAKE MAUREPAS INCLUDING METROPOLITAN NEW ORLEANS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS NOWE IN EFFECT FOR THE LOUISIANA COAST
WEST OF INTRACOASTAL CITY TO CAMERON.
A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.
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- Hypercane_Kyle
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
storm_in_a_teacup wrote:GCANE wrote:StormLogic wrote:https://i.imgur.com/p3Jomsv.png
Isnt this the dry air over here?
Yes, and it is being moistened by convection.
By convection associated with Barry? Or some other convection?
(Because if it’s Barry itself doing it, then that’s basically sounding too much to me like a mammal moistening inhaled air with its nasal turbinates and...why does my mind come up with this stuff?)
Its from afternoon thunderstorms over florida and from the front dropping down thru the SE CONUS
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
When you step away all day and come back to see some satellite loops it hits you - this is one lopsided system. I don’t that I’ve ever seen a system so wide east-to-west, spanning almost the whole Gulf, and so flat on top. A wide shot of the Gulf looks a lot more like the ITCZ than a TS.
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- northjaxpro
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Hypercane_Kyle wrote:This storm definitely reminds me a lot of Isaac in 2012. Really struggled in the Gulf due to dry air and shear, but was able to ramp up to a hurricane right before landfall.
Yes it did. Barry may do the same thing upon landfall this weekend.
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
I'm seeing it mentioned that Barry might sag south. If it does, could this be an opportunity for it to gain steam and go more west? Our Houston stations are showing a track straight into here and telling us not to discount the possibility. What is the reasoning behind this if it's going to come in east of us?
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Re: ATL: BARRY - Tropical Storm - Discussion
Still looks to be a lot of dry air at lower, mid and upper levels.
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=gm&band=10&length=24
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/sector_band.php?sat=G16§or=gm&band=10&length=24
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